Los Angeles Angels vs San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Box Score — Jul 24, 2026

FINAL+1SF

LAA

41-63

43-60

Oracle Park · San Francisco, California

41,559 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

SF spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 8.0

open O/U 8.0

SF no-vig %

60.5%

open 59.1% · +1.3

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SF favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

61.3%

ensemble · SF favored

Elo Static
60.0%
P(SF win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
64.5%
P(SF win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
60.1%
P(SF win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

2.09 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

86% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+10.4pp

best edge · LAA · DraftKings

LAA

★ best

+216DraftKings

edge +10.4pp · implied 29.7%

no live price

Book	LAA	SF	Best edge
DraftKings	+216★	-296	+10.4

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

SF vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

109

projections · 83 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.4± 2.0high
Walbert UrenaLAA
5.1± 1.5high
Landen RouppSF
5.1± 2.0high

Hits

Jung Hoo LeeSF
1.2± 0.9high
Mike TroutLAA
1.1± 1.2high
Vaughn GrissomLAA
1.0± 1.0high

Total bases

Jung Hoo LeeSF
2.4± 2.8high
Osleivis BasabeSF
2.2± 3.6low
Rafael DeversSF
1.7± 2.4high

RBIs

Osleivis BasabeSF
1.2± 2.2low
Jung Hoo LeeSF
0.8± 1.4high
Vaughn GrissomLAA
0.7± 0.9high

Earned runs

Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.9± 3.0low
Carson WhisenhuntSF
3.5± 2.6low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.3± 3.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

league avg

.695

OPS

.720

▶

.724

.313

OBP

.318

.310

4.20

Runs / G

4.50

4.20

4.49

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.36

1.37

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.35

9.1

K / 9

◀

8.5

7.8

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SF wins

LAA 6 · SF 7 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SF +10pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R
LAA	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	6
SF	2	0	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.238	4	1	1	0	0	1	2
M. TroutCF	.233	2	0	0	1	0	2	1
N. Schanuel1B	.282	5	0	2	1	0	0	0
J. SolerDH	.205	5	1	1	0	0	0	3
V. Grissom2B	.255	5	1	2	2	1	0	1
W. MecklerLF	.299	5	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. AdellRF	.241	4	1	1	0	0	0	0
D. Guzman3B	.248	3	1	1	0	0	1	1
T. HeinemanC	.259	2	1	1	2	0	1	0
O. Peraza2B	.240	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team		35	6	9	6	1	5	10

Player

.238

.233

.282

.205

.255

.299

.241

.248

.259

.240

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
G. RodriguezSP	4.0	6	5	5	2	3	80
B. SuterRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	22
J. FerminRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	13
K. YatesRP	1.0	0	1	1	1	0	17
S. Natera Jr.RP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	12
R. ZeferjahnRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	1	21
C. SilsethRP	0.1	2	1	0	1	0	14
Team	9.1	9	7	6	5	8	179

Player

4.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.1

Team

9.1

179

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. Arraez2B	.324	5	0	3	0	0	0	0
H. RamosLF	.263	5	0	0	0	0	0	2
B. EldridgeDH	.266	3	2	1	0	0	2	0
R. Devers1B	.244	4	2	2	3	1	1	1
C. SchmittLF	.272	4	1	1	3	1	0	1
J. LeeRF	.299	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
W. AdamesSS	.225	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
D. GilbertCF	.233	2	0	2	0	0	1	0
D. SusacC	.257	2	0	0	1	0	0	0
G. McCrayCF	.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
D. CavanaughC	.231	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. RodríguezC	.244	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team		34	7	9	7	2	5	8

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. WebbSP	6.0	6	4	4	2	4	99
D. SmithRP	1.0	0	0	0	1	3	19
J. FoleyRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	15
E. MillerRP	1.0	0	0	0	2	1	15
C. KilianRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	1	13
Team	10.0	9	6	6	5	10	161

Team

LAA

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

SF vs LAA.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

SF vs LAA.

3 sub-models, blended.