Live · 9
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+3UTA
NSH

NSH

37-32-10

14
UTA

UTA

42-30-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Apr 9FinalSeriesUTA wins series 3-1VegasUTAH -180

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth held off Nashville Predators, 4–1.

UTA -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Erik Haula

Erik Haula

LW · #56

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

UTA
Clayton Keller

Clayton Keller

RW · #9

3Points

0

G

3

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Utah Mammoth · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
4
NSH37-32-10UTA42-30-6
NSH

NSH

37-32-10

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
UTA

UTA

42-30-6

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

16

PIM

4

Season series

UTA wins series 3-1

Oct 12UTAUTA3@NSHNSH2
Dec 30NSHNSH4@UTAUTA3
Jan 24UTAUTA5@NSHNSH2
Apr 10NSHNSH1@UTAUTA4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+15040%
UTAUTA-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 16 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat NSH 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NSH0011
UTA1124

Period scoring

NSH won 0 · UTA won 3

0
1

1

0
1

2

1
2

3

NSH
UTA

Play-by-play · 300 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  3. 3rd·19:47

    Dylan Guenther Backhand saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  4. 3rd·19:46

    Kailer Yamamoto Tip-In saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  5. 3rd·19:04

    Liam O'Brien hit Brady Skjei

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  6. 3rd·19:00

    Liam O'Brien Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  7. 3rd·18:50

    Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  8. 3rd·18:50

    Off-side

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  9. 3rd·18:45

    Brady Skjei shot blocked by Tyson Jost

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  10. 3rd·18:44

    Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  11. 3rd·18:44

    Icing

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  12. 3rd·18:35

    Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Fedor Svechkov

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  13. 3rd·18:35

    Puck in Benches

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  14. 3rd·18:24

    Fedor Svechkov faceoff won against Alexander Kerfoot

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  15. 3rd·18:24

    Erik Haula Misconduct

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  16. 3rd·18:24

    On-Ice Official

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  17. 3rd·17:56

    Giveaway by MacKenzie Weegar

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  18. 3rd·17:54

    Adam Wilsby Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  19. 3rd·17:41

    Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Steven Stamkos

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  20. 3rd·17:41

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  21. 3rd·17:40

    Jonathan Marchessault Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  22. 3rd·17:22

    Giveaway by Filip Forsberg

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  23. 3rd·16:38

    Takeaway by Nick Schmaltz

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  24. 3rd·16:28

    Brady Skjei Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  25. 3rd·15:54

    Michael Carcone hit Joakim Kemell

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  26. 3rd·15:48

    Erik Haula hit Alexander Kerfoot

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  27. 3rd·15:23

    Adam Wilsby Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  28. 3rd·15:20

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  29. 3rd·15:20

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 1·UTA 4

  30. 3rd·15:18

    Tyson Jost Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    NSH 1·UTA 4

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

30

Shots

27

50.0

PCT

33.3

16

PIM

4

28

Faceoffs W

22

11

Blocks

12

18

Giveaways

15

2

Takeaways

4

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH +150/UTA -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 10 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Adam WilsbyNSH · D
    BURSTS6889
  • Erik HaulaNSH · LW
    DIST MI220.688

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · UTA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR