NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WPG

WPG

35-31-12

STL

33-33-12

NHLThu, Apr 9FinalSeriesWPG wins series 3-1VegasSTL -115

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets went into St. Louis Blues and beat them, 3–2.

WPG +1.5 cashed (STL lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WPG · top performer

Mark Scheifele

C · #55

2Points

—

SOG

STL · top performer

Dylan Holloway

LW · #81

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
K. ConnorLW · #81	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	20:56
A. IafalloLW · #9	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	19:28
C. KoepkeLW · #45	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	11:46
B. LambertC · #93	0	0	0	2	2	2	0	10:31
A. LowryC · #17	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	16:47
V. NamestnikovC · #7	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	12:27
N. NiederreiterRW · #62	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:35
C. PerfettiC · #91	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	13:47
I. RosenRW · #27	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	7:49
M. ScheifeleC · #55	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	20:21
J. ToewsC · #19	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	10:20
G. VilardiC · #13	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	16:31

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. BrysonD · #78	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	11:14
D. DeMeloD · #2	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	23:10
H. FleuryD · #24	0	1	1	1	0	1	2	11:37
J. MorrisseyD · #44	1	0	2	4	1	1	2	22:16
N. PionkD · #4	0	0	0	5	3	2	2	24:04
D. SambergD · #54	0	0	-1	0	1	2	0	26:52

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
C. HellebuyckG · #37	22	2	20	.909	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. BerggrenRW · #29	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	17:06
P. BuchnevichLW · #89	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:59
D. DvorskyRW · #54	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	19:37
J. FinleyC · #37	0	0	-1	0	4	0	0	10:09
D. HollowayLW · #81	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	18:03
J. KyrouRW · #25	0	1	1	1	0	1	2	17:06
J. NeighboursLW · #63	0	0	-1	4	3	0	0	15:51
J. SnuggerudRW · #21	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	17:01
O. StenbergC · #28	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	15:57
R. ThomasC · #18	0	1	-1	1	0	0	0	17:41
A. ToropchenkoRW · #13	0	0	-1	1	3	0	0	10:56
N. WalkerLW · #26	0	0	-1	2	4	0	0	10:43

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
P. BrobergD · #6	0	1	-2	1	0	0	0	22:32
C. FowlerD · #17	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	16:47
T. LindsteinD · #41	0	0	-1	2	1	1	0	18:45
L. MaillouxD · #23	0	0	-1	0	2	1	0	20:13
C. ParaykoD · #55	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	19:24
T. TuckerD · #75	0	0	-1	1	1	3	0	14:37

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. BinningtonG · #50	34	3	31	.912	58:33

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

WPG wins series 3-1

Dec 18

WPG0@

STL1

Jan 21

STL1@

WPG3

Mar 15

STL2@

WPG3

Apr 10

WPG3@

STL2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

STL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPG-10551%

STL-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet STL -1.5↗SpreadBet STL -1.5↗

Line movement · 34 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WPG beat STL 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	2	0	3
STL	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

WPG won 1 · STL won 1

WPG

STL

Play-by-play · 253 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·18:13
Giveaway by Dylan Holloway
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·17:26
Adam Lowry faceoff won against Robert Thomas
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·17:26
Josh Morrissey High-sticking against Jimmy Snuggerud
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·17:06
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·17:06
Goalie Stopped
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·17:03
Josh Morrissey Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·16:44
Theo Lindstein hit Jonathan Toews
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·16:04
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Dalibor Dvorsky
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·16:04
Puck in Netting
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·16:01
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·15:31
Dylan DeMelo Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·15:26
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·15:17
Giveaway by Logan Mailloux
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·15:03
Pavel Buchnevich Snap Shot Wide Left
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·13:53
Logan Mailloux hit Gabriel Vilardi
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·13:36
Giveaway by Dalibor Dvorsky
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·13:36
Giveaway by Connor Hellebuyck
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·13:12
Dalibor Dvorsky Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·13:00
Dalibor Dvorsky faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·13:00
Colton Parayko Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Jordan Kyrou (25), Dylan Holloway (25)
· ·
WPG 3·STL 2
3rd·12:45
Alex Iafallo Snap Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
WPG 3·STL 1
3rd·11:44
Jake Neighbours shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
·
WPG 3·STL 1
3rd·11:35
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Vladislav Namestnikov
·
WPG 3·STL 1
3rd·11:35
Puck in Crowd
WPG 3·STL 1
3rd·11:17
Dalibor Dvorsky shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
·
WPG 3·STL 1
3rd·11:06
Logan Mailloux shot blocked by Neal Pionk
·
WPG 3·STL 1
3rd·10:56
Neal Pionk Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
WPG 3·STL 1
3rd·10:43
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Dalibor Dvorsky
·
WPG 3·STL 1

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

STL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

20.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

STL -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG -105/STL -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Philip BrobergSTL · D
BURSTS15898
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RW
SHOT MPH95.697
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

55.3%

ensemble · STL favored

Elo Static
57.6%
P(STL win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
57.6%
P(STL win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
57.6%
P(STL win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-115

Close price

-115

Open no-vig

51.1%

Close no-vig

51.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss