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FINAL+1NSH
NSH

NSH

30-28-9

43
WPG

WPG

28-28-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 17FinalSeriesWPG wins series 2-1VegasWPG -130

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators went into Winnipeg Jets and beat them, 4–3.

NSH +1.5 cashed (WPG lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Filip Forsberg

Filip Forsberg

LW · #9

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

WPG
Kyle Connor

Kyle Connor

LW · #81

3Points

0

G

3

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Winnipeg Jets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
4
3
NSH30-28-9WPG28-28-11
NSH

NSH

30-28-9

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
WPG

WPG

28-28-11

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

2

Season series

WPG wins series 2-1

Oct 18NSHNSH1@WPGWPG4
Nov 30WPGWPG5@NSHNSH2
Mar 18NSHNSH4@WPGWPG3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+11048%
WPGWPG-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat WPG 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
NSH111014
WPG111003

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · WPG won 0

1
1

1

1
1

2

1
1

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

NSH
WPG

Play-by-play · 312 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  4. SO·0:00

    Kyle Connor Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  5. SO·0:00

    Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  6. SO·0:00

    Mark Scheifele Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  7. SO·0:00

    Ryan O'Reilly Goal Snap Shot

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  8. SO·0:00

    Gabriel Vilardi Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  9. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    NSH 1·WPG 0

  10. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  11. OT·4:58

    Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Dylan Samberg

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  12. OT·4:45

    Brady Skjei Slap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  13. OT·4:42

    Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck

    · ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  14. OT·4:35

    Cole Perfetti Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  15. OT·4:28

    Filip Forsberg Slap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck

    · ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  16. OT·4:03

    Adam Lowry hit Matthew Wood

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  17. OT·3:37

    Matthew Wood faceoff won against Adam Lowry

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  18. OT·3:37

    Puck in Netting

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  19. OT·3:34

    Steven Stamkos Slap Shot Hit Right Post

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  20. OT·3:13

    Kyle Connor Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  21. OT·3:03

    Steven Stamkos hit Kyle Connor

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  22. OT·2:10

    Gabriel Vilardi Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  23. OT·1:59

    Matthew Wood Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  24. OT·1:35

    Matthew Wood faceoff won against Morgan Barron

    · ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  25. OT·1:35

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  26. OT·1:33

    Mark Scheifele Backhand saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  27. OT·1:31

    Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  28. OT·1:08

    Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  29. OT·0:24

    Filip Forsberg Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

  30. OT·0:15

    Adam Lowry shot blocked by Ryan O'Reilly

    ·

    NSH 3·WPG 3

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

23

Shots

39

100.0

PCT

25.0

8

PIM

2

25

Faceoffs W

31

17

Blocks

13

8

Giveaways

11

6

Takeaways

3

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·NSH +110/WPG -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 24 skaters with EDGE
  • Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
    DIST MI293.099+
  • Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
    SKATE MPH24.299
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Morgan BarronWPG · C
    SHOT MPH95.697
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · WPG favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR