NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1MTL

BOS

37-23-8

MTL

37-20-10

NHLTue, Mar 17FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasMTL -155

BOS · top performer

Pavel Zacha

C · #18

2Points

—

SOG

MTL · top performer

Cole Caufield

RW · #13

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	0	1	0	2	1	1	0	17:09
M. EyssimontC · #81	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	12:13
M. GeekieC · #39	0	0	-1	3	0	1	0	15:53
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	12:00
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	11:37
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	16:32
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	12:14
E. LindholmC · #28	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	19:14
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	19:42
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	16:36
D. PastrnakRW · #88	0	1	-1	2	1	1	0	24:35
P. ZachaC · #18	2	0	-1	4	4	0	0	16:22

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AspirotD · #45	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	16:21
H. LindholmD · #27	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	19:48
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	21:03
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	1	-1	3	0	2	0	26:44
A. PeekeD · #26	0	0	-1	3	3	3	0	16:44
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	0	-1	1	2	2	0	17:07

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SwaymanG · #1	31	3	28	.903	64:38

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AndersonRW · #17	1	0	1	3	4	0	0	13:21
Z. BolducRW · #76	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	14:00
C. CaufieldRW · #13	1	1	2	4	0	1	0	19:58
P. DanaultC · #24	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	14:45
I. DemidovRW · #93	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	12:39
J. EvansC · #71	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	17:29
B. GallagherRW · #11	0	1	1	2	6	1	0	10:39
O. KapanenC · #91	0	0	-1	1	1	3	0	13:20
A. NewhookC · #15	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	9:14
J. SlafkovskyLW · #20	0	1	1	3	1	1	0	19:33
N. SuzukiC · #14	1	1	2	3	1	0	0	24:18
A. TexierLW · #85	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	13:37

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. CarrierD · #45	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	18:19
N. DobsonD · #53	0	0	0	3	2	3	0	24:02
K. GuhleD · #21	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	22:22
L. HutsonD · #48	0	2	1	1	1	0	0	21:41
M. MathesonD · #8	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	23:16
J. StrubleD · #47	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	13:40

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DobesG · #75	28	2	26	.929	64:22

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

MTL

Home

Shots

25.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Nov 16

BOS3@

MTL2

Dec 24

MTL6@

BOS2

Jan 25

MTL3@

BOS4

Mar 17

BOS2@

MTL3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MTL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS+13043%

MTL-15561%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗

Line movement · 24 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MTL beat BOS 3-2. C. Caufield led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
BOS	1	1	0	0	2
MTL	1	1	0	1	3

Period scoring

BOS won 0 · MTL won 1

BOS

MTL

Play-by-play · 336 plays

period

event

player

OT·4:38
Game End
BOS 2·MTL 3
OT·4:38
End of OT
BOS 2·MTL 3
OT·4:38
Cole Caufield Goal (40) Tip-In, assists: Nick Suzuki (56), Lane Hutson (58)
· ·
BOS 2·MTL 3
OT·4:01
Pavel Zacha Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·3:52
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·3:52
Goalie Stopped
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·3:50
Alexandre Texier Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·3:13
Viktor Arvidsson hit Noah Dobson
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·2:54
Noah Dobson Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·2:46
Ivan Demidov Snap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·2:41
Juraj Slafkovský Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·2:07
Takeaway by Lane Hutson
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·0:00
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Mark Kastelic
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·19:04
Marat Khusnutdinov shot blocked by Noah Dobson
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·18:53
Fraser Minten hit Mike Matheson
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·18:49
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Fraser Minten
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·18:49
Goalie Stopped
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·18:47
David Pastrnak Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·17:42
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·17:42
Off-side
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·17:33
Josh Anderson hit Charlie McAvoy
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·17:07
Noah Dobson Snap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·16:59
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·16:59
Goalie Stopped
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·16:56
Kaiden Guhle Snap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·16:49
Nick Suzuki shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·16:46
Cole Caufield Backhand Wide Left
·
BOS 2·MTL 2
3rd·16:33
Giveaway by David Pastrnak
BOS 2·MTL 2

Betting line

MTL -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS +130/MTL -155

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ontreal Canadiens held off Boston Bruins, 3–2 in overtime.

BOS +1.5 cashed (MTL won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Cole Caufield · MTL20:001.0171.1%75.5%20:00 TOI · 1.01 iXG · 71.1% CF · 75.5% xGF
Jake Evans · MTL17:420.9064.7%65.6%17:42 TOI · 0.90 iXG · 64.7% CF · 65.6% xGF
Pavel Zacha · BOS16:300.8035.7%46.3%16:30 TOI · 0.80 iXG · 35.7% CF · 46.3% xGF
Nick Suzuki · MTL26:360.5762.5%62.4%26:36 TOI · 0.57 iXG · 62.5% CF · 62.4% xGF
Viktor Arvidsson · BOS17:180.4635.5%38.8%17:18 TOI · 0.46 iXG · 35.5% CF · 38.8% xGF
Juraj Slafkovský · MTL22:240.4471.7%83.1%22:24 TOI · 0.44 iXG · 71.7% CF · 83.1% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Jakub Dobes · MTL26–2.929+1.6026–2 · .929 SV% · +1.60 GSAx
Jeremy Swayman · BOS28–3.903+1.3628–3 · .903 SV% · +1.36 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.6%

ensemble · MTL favored

Elo Static
57.6%
P(MTL win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
57.6%
P(MTL win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
57.6%
P(MTL win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Boston BruinsMontreal Canadiens

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