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FINAL+1MIN
MIN

MIN

39-18-12

43
CHI

CHI

25-30-12

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 17FinalSeriesMIN leads series 3-0VegasMIN -180

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 4–3 in overtime.

CHI +1.5 cashed (MIN won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

MIN · top performer

MIN
Marcus Johansson

Marcus Johansson

LW · #90

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
4
3
MIN39-18-12CHI25-30-12
MIN

MIN

39-18-12

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CHI

CHI

25-30-12

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

2

Season series

MIN leads series 3-0

Nov 27MINMIN4@CHICHI3
Jan 28CHICHI3@MINMIN4
Mar 17MINMIN4@CHICHI3today
Mar 19CHICHI2@MINMIN1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

MINMIN-18064%
CHICHI+15040%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat CHI 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
MIN30014
CHI11103

Period scoring

MIN won 2 · CHI won 2

3
1

1

0
1

2

0
1

3

1
0

OT

MIN
CHI

Play-by-play · 287 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·3:09

    Game End

    MIN 4·CHI 3

  2. OT·3:09

    End of OT

    MIN 4·CHI 3

  3. OT·3:09

    Mats Zuccarello Goal (13) Snap Shot, assists: Marcus Johansson (29), Brock Faber (32)

    · ·

    MIN 4·CHI 3

  4. OT·2:30

    Quinn Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  5. OT·2:12

    Quinn Hughes Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  6. OT·1:49

    Matt Boldy Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  7. OT·1:40

    Vladimir Tarasenko Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  8. OT·1:07

    Ryan Greene Backhand saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  9. OT·0:20

    Kirill Kaprizov Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  10. OT·0:00

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  11. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  12. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  13. 3rd·19:30

    Connor Bedard shot blocked by Jonas Brodin

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  14. 3rd·18:48

    Louis Crevier Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  15. 3rd·18:20

    Danila Yurov faceoff won against Ryan Donato

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  16. 3rd·18:20

    Frank Nazar Goal (11) Snap Shot, assists: Connor Bedard (37), Artyom Levshunov (22)

    · ·

    MIN 3·CHI 3

  17. 3rd·17:44

    Kirill Kaprizov Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  18. 3rd·17:39

    Ryan Hartman faceoff won against Teuvo Teravainen

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  19. 3rd·17:39

    Off-side

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  20. 3rd·16:58

    Connor Bedard hit Nico Sturm

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  21. 3rd·16:41

    Giveaway by Alex Vlasic

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  22. 3rd·16:35

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Nico Sturm

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  23. 3rd·16:35

    Icing

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  24. 3rd·16:27

    Nico Sturm faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  25. 3rd·16:27

    Goalie Stopped

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  26. 3rd·16:25

    Sam Rinzel Snap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  27. 3rd·16:06

    Ryan Donato Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  28. 3rd·16:03

    Takeaway by Ryan Donato

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  29. 3rd·15:19

    Matt Boldy Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

  30. 3rd·14:31

    Brock Faber hit Tyler Bertuzzi

    ·

    MIN 3·CHI 2

Team stats

MIN

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

37

Shots

26

100.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

2

28

Faceoffs W

20

14

Blocks

15

13

Giveaways

16

6

Takeaways

5

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 5.5·MIN -180/CHI +150

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock FaberMIN · D
    BURSTS2799+
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Matt BoldyMIN · LW
    SHOT MPH92.897
  • Marcus JohanssonMIN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.296
  • Quinn HughesMIN · D
    BURSTS1895

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+150

Close price

+150

Open no-vig

38.4%

Close no-vig

38.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR