NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3NJ

NYR

24-30-8

32-29-2

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Mar 7FinalSeriesNJ leads series 1-0VegasNJ -180

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils held off New York Rangers, 6–3.

NJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

Will Cuylle

LW · #50

1Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Jack Hughes

C · #86

4Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NYR24-30-8

NJ32-29-2

NYR24-30-8NJ32-29-2

NYR

24-30-8

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

32-29-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NJ leads series 1-0

Mar 7

NYR3@

NJ6today

Mar 18

NJ6@

NYR3

Mar 31

NJ1@

NYR4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR+15040%

NJ-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat NYR 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	2	1	0	3
NJ	2	1	3	6

Period scoring

NYR won 0 · NJ won 1

NYR

Play-by-play · 311 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:41
Lenni Hameenaho Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:38
Juuso Parssinen faceoff won against Paul Cotter
·
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:38
Puck in Crowd
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:28
Paul Cotter faceoff won against Juuso Parssinen
·
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:28
Objects on Ice
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:28
Jack Hughes Goal (15) Wrist Shot, assists: Connor Brown (17), Johnathan Kovacevic (4)
· ·
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:20
Giveaway by Johnathan Kovacevic
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·18:33
Giveaway by Dougie Hamilton
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·18:29
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot Hit Left Post
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·18:16
Gabe Perreault shot blocked by Jonas Siegenthaler
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·18:03
Mika Zibanejad Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·17:38
Gabe Perreault Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·17:27
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·17:14
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·17:14
Puck in Crowd
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·16:56
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·16:56
Jack Hughes Goal (14) Wrist Shot, assists: Connor Brown (16)
· ·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·16:49
Giveaway by Adam Fox
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·16:03
Giveaway by Gabe Perreault
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:59
Giveaway by Nico Hischier
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:52
Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:52
Goalie Stopped
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:50
Timo Meier Slap Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:33
Will Cuylle shot blocked by Cody Glass
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:16
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:13
Giveaway by Will Cuylle
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:00
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:00
Goalie Stopped
NYR 3·NJ 4

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

100.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR +150/NJ -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Adam EdstromNYR · C
SKATE MPH23.898
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
DIST MI263.494
Noah LabaNYR · C
BURSTS17992
Jaroslav ChmelarNYR · RW
SKATE MPH23.291
Alexis LafreniereNYR · LW
DIST MI231.391

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NJ vs NYR.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high
Arseny GritsyukNJ
2.5± 1.5high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Dawson MercerNJ
0.4± 0.7high
Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
Jesper BrattNJ
1.0± 1.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands