NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3NJ

NYR

24-30-8

32-29-2

NHLSat, Mar 7FinalSeriesNJ leads series 1-0VegasNJ -180

NYR · top performer

Will Cuylle

LW · #50

1Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Jack Hughes

C · #86

4Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChmelarRW · #49	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6:30
W. CuylleLW · #50	1	0	1	2	3	0	2	16:46
A. EdstromC · #84	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	7:34
T. KartyeLW · #24	0	1	-1	0	2	0	0	14:15
N. LabaC · #42	0	1	-1	1	1	1	0	15:26
A. LafreniereLW · #13	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	20:44
J. ParssinenC · #71	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	6:48
G. PerreaultRW · #94	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	22:21
T. RaddyshRW · #14	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	16:29
C. ShearyLW · #43	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	13:28
V. TrocheckC · #16	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	22:52
M. ZibanejadC · #93	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	24:00

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. BorgenD · #17	1	0	1	2	3	2	0	16:25
A. FoxD · #23	0	0	-2	2	0	1	0	26:28
V. GavrikovD · #44	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	22:42
V. IorioD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	9:09
M. RobertsonD · #29	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	16:12
B. SchneiderD · #4	0	1	2	1	2	0	0	19:49

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. QuickG · #32	34	5	29	.853	57:35

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. BjugstadC · #72	0	0	-1	1	1	0	2	6:27
J. BrattLW · #63	1	2	0	5	0	0	0	16:51
C. BrownRW · #16	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	17:44
P. CotterLW · #47	0	0	-1	0	2	0	0	6:11
C. GlassC · #12	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	14:28
A. GritsyukRW · #81	0	1	1	1	0	0	4	15:21
L. HameenahoRW · #29	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	11:55
N. HischierC · #13	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	20:34
J. HughesC · #86	3	1	1	5	0	0	2	20:44
T. MeierRW · #28	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	19:25
D. MercerC · #91	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	20:07
M. TsyplakovRW · #42	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	5:17

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. DillonD · #5	0	0	2	1	0	2	2	19:41
D. HamiltonD · #7	0	1	-1	2	1	1	0	20:36
L. HughesD · #43	0	1	-1	4	0	1	0	19:13
J. KovacevicD · #8	0	2	1	1	1	1	0	20:05
S. NemecD · #17	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	19:57
J. SiegenthalerD · #71	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	18:12

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. MarkstromG · #25	20	3	17	.850	59:12

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

100.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

NJ leads series 1-0

Mar 7

NYR3@

NJ6today

Mar 18

NJ6@

NYR3

Mar 31

NJ1@

NYR4

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR+15040%

NJ-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 26 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat NYR 6-3. J. Hughes led the way — 3 G · 1 A · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	2	1	0	3
NJ	2	1	3	6

Period scoring

NYR won 0 · NJ won 1

NYR

Play-by-play · 311 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:41
Lenni Hameenaho Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:38
Juuso Parssinen faceoff won against Paul Cotter
·
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:38
Puck in Crowd
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:28
Paul Cotter faceoff won against Juuso Parssinen
·
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:28
Objects on Ice
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:28
Jack Hughes Goal (15) Wrist Shot, assists: Connor Brown (17), Johnathan Kovacevic (4)
· ·
NYR 3·NJ 6
3rd·19:20
Giveaway by Johnathan Kovacevic
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·18:33
Giveaway by Dougie Hamilton
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·18:29
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot Hit Left Post
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·18:16
Gabe Perreault shot blocked by Jonas Siegenthaler
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·18:03
Mika Zibanejad Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·17:38
Gabe Perreault Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·17:27
Vincent Trocheck Wrist Shot High and Wide Right
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·17:14
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·17:14
Puck in Crowd
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·16:56
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·16:56
Jack Hughes Goal (14) Wrist Shot, assists: Connor Brown (16)
· ·
NYR 3·NJ 5
3rd·16:49
Giveaway by Adam Fox
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·16:03
Giveaway by Gabe Perreault
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:59
Giveaway by Nico Hischier
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:52
Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:52
Goalie Stopped
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:50
Timo Meier Slap Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:33
Will Cuylle shot blocked by Cody Glass
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:16
Jesper Bratt Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:13
Giveaway by Will Cuylle
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:00
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
NYR 3·NJ 4
3rd·15:00
Goalie Stopped
NYR 3·NJ 4

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR +150/NJ -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils held off New York Rangers, 6–3.

NJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Alexis Lafrenière · NYR20:540.7054.8%65.1%20:54 TOI · 0.70 iXG · 54.8% CF · 65.1% xGF
Timo Meier · NJD19:240.6956.8%58.4%19:24 TOI · 0.69 iXG · 56.8% CF · 58.4% xGF
Dawson Mercer · NJD20:060.6348.8%48.2%20:06 TOI · 0.63 iXG · 48.8% CF · 48.2% xGF
Jesper Bratt · NJD17:000.4852.9%45.4%17:00 TOI · 0.48 iXG · 52.9% CF · 45.4% xGF
Jack Hughes · NJD20:480.4767.6%55.2%20:48 TOI · 0.47 iXG · 67.6% CF · 55.2% xGF
Will Cuylle · NYR16:420.3846.9%32.3%16:42 TOI · 0.38 iXG · 46.9% CF · 32.3% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Jacob Markstrom · FLA17–3.850-0.6417–3 · .850 SV% · -0.64 GSAx
Jonathan Quick · NYR29–5.853-2.0329–5 · .853 SV% · -2.03 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

61.4%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
61.4%
P(NJ win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.4%
P(NJ win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.4%
P(NJ win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

New York RangersNew Jersey Devils

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