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FINAL+3OTT
OTT

OTT

31-22-9

74
SEA

SEA

29-24-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Mar 7FinalSeriesOTT wins series 2-0VegasOTT -162

Recap · NHL

ttawa Senators went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 7–4.

OTT -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

OTT · top performer

OTT
Shane Pinto

Shane Pinto

C · #12

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

SEA · top performer

SEA
Jordan Eberle

Jordan Eberle

RW · #7

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
7
4
OTT31-22-9SEA29-24-9
OTT

OTT

31-22-9

7
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
SEA

SEA

29-24-9

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

23

PIM

6

Season series

OTT wins series 2-0

Oct 16SEASEA3@OTTOTT4
Mar 8OTTOTT7@SEASEA4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

OTTOTT-16262%
SEASEA+13642%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗

Line movement · 12 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

OTT beat SEA 7-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
OTT2237
SEA1124

Period scoring

OTT won 3 · SEA won 0

2
1

1

2
1

2

3
2

3

OTT
SEA

Play-by-play · 330 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  3. 3rd·19:48

    Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot saved by Linus Ullmark

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  4. 3rd·19:40

    Tim Stützle Slap Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  5. 3rd·19:15

    Giveaway by Ben Meyers

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  6. 3rd·18:48

    Eeli Tolvanen Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  7. 3rd·18:17

    Giveaway by Shane Wright

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  8. 3rd·18:17

    Takeaway by Shane Wright

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  9. 3rd·18:14

    Takeaway by Thomas Chabot

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  10. 3rd·17:45

    Shane Wright faceoff won against Shane Pinto

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  11. 3rd·17:45

    Brandon Montour Goal (8) Slap Shot, assists: Vince Dunn (28), Jordan Eberle (22)

    · ·

    OTT 7·SEA 4

  12. 3rd·17:27

    Matty Beniers faceoff won against Ridly Greig

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  13. 3rd·17:27

    Puck in Netting

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  14. 3rd·17:25

    Brandon Montour shot blocked by Thomas Chabot

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  15. 3rd·16:58

    Shane Pinto faceoff won against Matty Beniers

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  16. 3rd·16:58

    Lars Eller Hooking against Berkly Catton

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  17. 3rd·16:35

    Lars Eller faceoff won against Shane Wright

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  18. 3rd·16:35

    On-Ice Official Video Review

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  19. 3rd·16:35

    Tyler Kleven Game Misconduct

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  20. 3rd·16:35

    Tyler Kleven Cross-checking against Jared McCann served by Drake Batherson

    · ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  21. 3rd·16:35

    Jared McCann Roughing against Tyler Kleven

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  22. 3rd·16:35

    Tyler Kleven Slashing against Jared McCann served by Drake Batherson

    · ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  23. 3rd·16:04

    Jacob Melanson Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  24. 3rd·15:10

    Giveaway by Berkly Catton

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  25. 3rd·14:32

    Fabian Zetterlund shot blocked by Cale Fleury

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  26. 3rd·14:18

    Lars Eller Batted saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  27. 3rd·14:16

    Lars Eller Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  28. 3rd·14:11

    Warren Foegele shot blocked by Cale Fleury

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  29. 3rd·14:10

    Lars Eller faceoff won against Ben Meyers

    ·

    OTT 7·SEA 3

  30. 3rd·14:10

    Puck in Netting

    OTT 7·SEA 3

Team stats

OTT

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

37

Shots

21

0.0

PCT

20.0

23

PIM

6

37

Faceoffs W

26

8

Blocks

18

10

Giveaways

16

5

Takeaways

6

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 5.5·OTT -162/SEA +136

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Brandon MontourSEA · D
    SHOT MPH101.698
  • Matty BeniersSEA · C
    DIST MI267.798
  • Jared McCannSEA · LW
    SHOT MPH94.496
  • Jordan EberleSEA · RW
    DIST MI236.192
  • Ryker EvansSEA · D
    SKATE MPH23.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+136

Close price

+136

Open no-vig

40.7%

Close no-vig

40.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR