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FINAL+1UTA
UTA

UTA

34-25-4

54
CBJ

CBJ

32-21-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Mar 7FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasUTAH -122

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 5–4 in overtime.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (UTA won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

UTA
Michael Carcone

Michael Carcone

LW · #53

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Charlie Coyle

Charlie Coyle

C · #3

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Utah Mammoth at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
5
4
UTA34-25-4CBJ32-21-9
UTA

UTA

34-25-4

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

32-21-9

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

16

PIM

34

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 12CBJCBJ3@UTAUTA2
Mar 8UTAUTA5@CBJCBJ4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTAUTA-12255%
CBJCBJ+10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat CBJ 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
UTA11215
CBJ11204

Period scoring

UTA won 1 · CBJ won 0

1
1

1

1
1

2

2
2

3

1
0

OT

UTA
CBJ

Play-by-play · 336 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·2:08

    Game End

    UTA 5·CBJ 4

  2. OT·2:08

    End of OT

    UTA 5·CBJ 4

  3. OT·2:08

    Logan Cooley Goal (17) Slap Shot, assists: Clayton Keller (44), John Marino (26)

    · ·

    UTA 5·CBJ 4

  4. OT·1:44

    Charlie Coyle hit Logan Cooley

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  5. OT·1:14

    MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Zach Werenski

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  6. OT·0:13

    Kirill Marchenko Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  7. OT·0:00

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  8. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  9. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  10. 3rd·19:48

    Ivan Provorov Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  11. 3rd·19:21

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  12. 3rd·19:21

    Icing

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  13. 3rd·18:53

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  14. 3rd·18:53

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  15. 3rd·18:48

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  16. 3rd·18:48

    Goalie Stopped

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  17. 3rd·18:46

    Nate Schmidt Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  18. 3rd·18:42

    MacKenzie Weegar Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  19. 3rd·18:42

    Giveaway by Boone Jenner

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  20. 3rd·18:37

    Erik Gudbranson hit Dylan Guenther

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  21. 3rd·18:36

    Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  22. 3rd·18:00

    Takeaway by Logan Cooley

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  23. 3rd·17:50

    Logan Cooley hit Ivan Provorov

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  24. 3rd·17:34

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  25. 3rd·17:34

    Goalie Stopped

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  26. 3rd·17:33

    Zach Werenski Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  27. 3rd·17:30

    Mason Marchment hit Barrett Hayton

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  28. 3rd·17:23

    Adam Fantilli Backhand saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  29. 3rd·17:06

    Lawson Crouse Snap Shot Above Crossbar

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

  30. 3rd·16:55

    Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    UTA 4·CBJ 4

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

25

Shots

31

0.0

PCT

0.0

16

PIM

34

27

Faceoffs W

30

25

Blocks

11

19

Giveaways

20

7

Takeaways

5

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·UTA -122/CBJ +102

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696
  • Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
    SHOT MPH98.692

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+102

Close price

+102

Open no-vig

47.4%

Close no-vig

47.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR