Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in UTA at CBJ?

The model favors CBJ, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1UTA

UTA

34-25-4

CBJ

32-21-9

NHLSat, Mar 7FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasUTAH -122

UTA · top performer

Logan Cooley

C · #92

2Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Adam Fantilli

C · #19

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	9:58
L. CooleyC · #92	2	0	1	5	1	2	0	18:02
L. CrouseLW · #67	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	17:02
D. GuentherRW · #11	1	0	-1	3	0	0	2	18:18
B. HaytonC · #27	0	0	0	3	3	1	2	15:34
C. KellerRW · #9	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	18:29
A. KerfootC · #15	1	1	0	1	0	3	5	10:12
J. McBainC · #22	0	0	2	3	3	0	0	14:40
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	14:04
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	0	-1	1	0	3	0	19:56
K. StenlundC · #82	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	11:45
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	12:56

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	1	1	0	0	1	5	18:07
N. DeSimoneD · #57	0	1	2	0	0	3	0	15:05
S. DurziD · #50	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	23:06
J. MarinoD · #6	0	1	-1	0	1	3	0	20:47
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	21:02
M. WeegarD · #52	0	1	0	1	2	3	0	23:21

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	31	4	27	.871	62:08

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CoyleC · #3	0	2	0	2	2	0	2	14:58
A. FantilliC · #19	1	1	2	5	1	0	0	20:04
C. GarlandRW · #83	0	0	-2	1	3	0	0	16:40
B. JennerC · #38	0	0	-2	0	5	1	0	11:59
K. JohnsonC · #91	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	15:45
I. LundestromC · #21	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	11:40
K. MarchenkoRW · #86	0	2	1	5	2	0	0	19:58
M. MarchmentLW · #17	1	1	1	4	2	2	0	19:20
S. MonahanC · #23	0	0	-1	2	2	1	0	16:57
M. OlivierRW · #24	1	1	1	2	2	0	27	11:29
C. SillingerC · #4	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	14:25
M. WoodLW · #11	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	11:05

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. GudbransonD · #44	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	17:08
D. MateychukD · #5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	18:13
I. ProvorovD · #9	0	0	-2	3	0	1	0	23:22
D. SeversonD · #78	1	1	1	1	0	0	5	23:14
Z. WerenskiD · #8	0	0	-1	2	0	3	0	26:53
E. ZamulaD · #6	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	11:14

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. MerzlikinsG · #90	25	5	20	.800	62:08

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Jan 12

CBJ3@

UTA2

Mar 8

UTA5@

CBJ4today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTA-12255%

CBJ+10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 23 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat CBJ 5-4. L. Cooley led the way — 2 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
UTA	1	1	2	1	5
CBJ	1	1	2	0	4

Period scoring

UTA won 1 · CBJ won 0

UTA

CBJ

Play-by-play · 336 plays

period

event

player

OT·2:08
Game End
UTA 5·CBJ 4
OT·2:08
End of OT
UTA 5·CBJ 4
OT·2:08
Logan Cooley Goal (17) Slap Shot, assists: Clayton Keller (44), John Marino (26)
· ·
UTA 5·CBJ 4
OT·1:44
Charlie Coyle hit Logan Cooley
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
OT·1:14
MacKenzie Weegar shot blocked by Zach Werenski
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
OT·0:13
Kirill Marchenko Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
OT·0:00
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·19:48
Ivan Provorov Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·19:21
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·19:21
Icing
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:53
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:53
Puck Frozen - Goalie
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:48
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:48
Goalie Stopped
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:46
Nate Schmidt Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:42
MacKenzie Weegar Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:42
Giveaway by Boone Jenner
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:37
Erik Gudbranson hit Dylan Guenther
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:36
Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·18:00
Takeaway by Logan Cooley
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·17:50
Logan Cooley hit Ivan Provorov
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·17:34
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·17:34
Goalie Stopped
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·17:33
Zach Werenski Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·17:30
Mason Marchment hit Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·17:23
Adam Fantilli Backhand saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·17:06
Lawson Crouse Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4
3rd·16:55
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund
·
UTA 4·CBJ 4

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·UTA -122/CBJ +102

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 5–4 in overtime.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (UTA won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

55.8%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
55.8%
P(CBJ win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
55.8%
P(CBJ win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
55.8%
P(CBJ win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+102

Close price

+102

Open no-vig

47.4%

Close no-vig

47.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in UTA at CBJ?: The model favors CBJ, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

Team pages

Utah MammothColumbus Blue Jackets

Elsewhere in the NHL