NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1MTL

MTL

34-18-10

25-23-14

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Mar 7FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasLA -115

Recap · NHL

ontreal Canadiens went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 4–3.

MTL +1.5 cashed (LA lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

MTL · top performer

Juraj Slafkovsky

LW · #20

3Points

—

SOG

LA · top performer

Adrian Kempe

RW · #9

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

MTL34-18-10

LA25-23-14

MTL34-18-10LA25-23-14

MTL

34-18-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

25-23-14

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 12

LA5@

MTL1

Mar 8

MTL4@

LA3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

MTL-10551%

LA-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MTL beat LA 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
MTL	0	2	2	4
LA	1	1	1	3

Period scoring

MTL won 2 · LA won 1

MTL

Play-by-play · 301 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:57
Artemi Panarin Slap Shot Wide Right
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:51
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:51
Icing
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:47
Phillip Danault Wrist Shot Wide Left
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:26
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:10
Adrian Kempe Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:09
Brandt Clarke Slap Shot Wide Right
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·18:05
Juraj Slafkovský Backhand saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·17:41
Mikey Anderson hit Nick Suzuki
· ·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·16:49
Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·16:45
Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Josh Anderson
· ·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·16:40
Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Josh Anderson
· ·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·16:24
Giveaway by Anze Kopitar
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:54
Jake Evans shot blocked by Cody Ceci
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:41
Giveaway by Scott Laughton
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:33
Giveaway by Cody Ceci
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:27
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:27
Nick Suzuki Goal (21) Slap Shot, assists: Juraj Slafkovský (29), Cole Caufield (27)
· ·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:22
Takeaway by Cole Caufield
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·15:20
Nick Suzuki Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·15:02
Nick Suzuki Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:58
Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:58
Icing
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:55
Zachary Bolduc hit Joel Edmundson
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:43
Giveaway by Brandt Clarke
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:38
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:38
Juraj Slafkovský Goal (23) Slap Shot, assists: Lane Hutson (53), Nick Suzuki (53)
· ·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:07
Quinton Byfield faceoff won against Nick Suzuki
·
MTL 2·LA 3

Team stats

MTL

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

100.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 6.5·MTL -105/LA -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Lane HutsonMTL · D
DIST MI71.899+
Josh AndersonMTL · RW
BURSTS7699+
Mike MathesonMTL · D
DIST MI62.999
Cole CaufieldMTL · RW
DIST MI56.699
Arber XhekajMTL · D
SHOT MPH98.598

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · LA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LA vs MTL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 126 high confidence

Shots on goal

Alex LaferriereLA
3.0± 1.6high
Quinton ByfieldLA
3.0± 2.2high
Cole CaufieldMTL
2.8± 1.4high

Goals

Adrian KempeLA
0.5± 0.7high
Cole CaufieldMTL
0.5± 0.5high
Quinton ByfieldLA
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Cole CaufieldMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Lane HutsonMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Nick SuzukiMTL
0.9± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands