NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1MTL

MTL

34-18-10

25-23-14

NHLSat, Mar 7FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasLA -115

MTL · top performer

Juraj Slafkovsky

LW · #20

3Points

—

SOG

LA · top performer

Alex Laferriere

RW · #14

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AndersonRW · #17	0	0	0	3	0	4	0	13:53
Z. BolducRW · #76	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	13:39
C. CaufieldRW · #13	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	13:16
K. DachC · #77	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	13:48
P. DanaultC · #24	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	15:18
I. DemidovRW · #93	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:30
J. EvansC · #71	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	17:03
B. GallagherRW · #11	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	9:51
O. KapanenC · #91	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	18:34
A. NewhookC · #15	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	13:18
J. SlafkovskyLW · #20	2	1	1	4	0	1	0	16:38
N. SuzukiC · #14	1	2	0	5	0	0	2	17:14

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. CarrierD · #45	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	18:31
N. DobsonD · #53	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	21:31
K. GuhleD · #21	0	0	-1	0	3	2	2	24:26
L. HutsonD · #48	0	1	2	2	1	2	0	21:55
M. MathesonD · #8	0	0	-3	1	3	1	0	24:25
A. XhekajD · #72	0	0	2	0	3	0	2	9:10

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. DobesG · #75	39	3	36	.923	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Q. ByfieldRW · #55	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	21:26
S. HeleniusC · #79	0	0	-1	2	7	0	0	7:08
A. KempeRW · #9	0	1	1	3	1	1	0	22:10
A. KopitarC · #11	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	22:53
A. LaferriereRW · #14	1	0	0	5	3	1	0	20:48
S. LaughtonC · #21	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	15:08
J. MalottLW · #39	0	0	-2	2	2	0	0	6:42
T. MooreLW · #12	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	18:05
A. PanarinLW · #10	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	23:46
A. TurcotteC · #15	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	10:56
T. WardRW · #52	0	0	-2	2	2	1	0	8:04
J. WrightRW · #53	0	1	1	2	2	0	0	10:44

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AndersonD · #44	0	0	-2	0	7	4	0	19:50
C. CeciD · #5	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	12:59
B. ClarkeD · #92	0	2	2	3	0	3	0	24:38
D. DoughtyD · #8	0	0	-2	1	0	1	0	23:04
B. DumoulinD · #2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	14:31
J. EdmundsonD · #6	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	18:00

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. KuemperG · #35	23	4	19	.826	58:37

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

MTL

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

100.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 12

LA5@

MTL1

Mar 8

MTL4@

LA3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

MTL-10551%

LA-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 26 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MTL beat LA 4-3. J. Slafkovsky led the way — 2 G · 1 A · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
MTL	0	2	2	4
LA	1	1	1	3

Period scoring

MTL won 2 · LA won 1

MTL

Play-by-play · 301 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:57
Artemi Panarin Slap Shot Wide Right
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:51
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:51
Icing
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:47
Phillip Danault Wrist Shot Wide Left
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:26
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Oliver Kapanen
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:10
Adrian Kempe Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·19:09
Brandt Clarke Slap Shot Wide Right
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·18:05
Juraj Slafkovský Backhand saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·17:41
Mikey Anderson hit Nick Suzuki
· ·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·16:49
Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·16:45
Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Josh Anderson
· ·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·16:40
Adrian Kempe shot blocked by Josh Anderson
· ·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·16:24
Giveaway by Anze Kopitar
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:54
Jake Evans shot blocked by Cody Ceci
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:41
Giveaway by Scott Laughton
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:33
Giveaway by Cody Ceci
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:27
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:27
Nick Suzuki Goal (21) Slap Shot, assists: Juraj Slafkovský (29), Cole Caufield (27)
· ·
MTL 4·LA 3
3rd·15:22
Takeaway by Cole Caufield
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·15:20
Nick Suzuki Wrist Shot saved by Darcy Kuemper
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·15:02
Nick Suzuki Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:58
Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:58
Icing
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:55
Zachary Bolduc hit Joel Edmundson
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:43
Giveaway by Brandt Clarke
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:38
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Jake Evans
·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:38
Juraj Slafkovský Goal (23) Slap Shot, assists: Lane Hutson (53), Nick Suzuki (53)
· ·
MTL 3·LA 3
3rd·14:07
Quinton Byfield faceoff won against Nick Suzuki
·
MTL 2·LA 3

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 6.5·MTL -105/LA -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

ontreal Canadiens went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 4–3.

MTL +1.5 cashed (LA lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

49.8%

ensemble · MTL favored

Elo Static
49.7%
P(LA win)
46%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
49.7%
P(LA win)
10%
weight
Xg Blend
49.9%
P(LA win)
44%
weight

Disagreement

0.10 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

99% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

2 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LA vs MTL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

135

projections · 114 high confidence

Shots on goal

Alex LaferriereLA
3.0± 1.6high
Quinton ByfieldLA
3.0± 2.2high
Cole CaufieldMTL
2.8± 1.4high

Goals

Adrian KempeLA
0.5± 0.7high
Cole CaufieldMTL
0.5± 0.5high
Quinton ByfieldLA
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Mats ZuccarelloLA
1.1± 1.1high
Cole CaufieldMTL
0.9± 0.7high
Lane HutsonMTL
0.9± 0.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Team pages

Montreal CanadiensLos Angeles Kings

Elsewhere in the NHL