NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3UTA

DET

33-19-6

UTA

30-23-4

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLWed, Feb 4FinalSeriesUTA wins series 2-0VegasUTAH -135

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth held off Detroit Red Wings, 4–1.

UTA -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DET · top performer

Dylan Larkin

C · #71

1Points

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

Clayton Keller

RW · #9

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

DET33-19-6

UTA30-23-4

DET33-19-6UTA30-23-4

DET

33-19-6

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

UTA

30-23-4

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

UTA wins series 2-0

Dec 18

UTA4@

DET1

Feb 5

DET1@

UTA4today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DET+11447%

UTA-13557%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat DET 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DET	0	0	1	1
UTA	2	0	2	4

Period scoring

DET won 0 · UTA won 2

DET

UTA

Play-by-play · 311 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 1·UTA 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 1·UTA 4
3rd·19:31
Axel Sandin-Pellikka Slap Shot Wide Right
·
DET 1·UTA 4
3rd·19:28
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz
·
DET 1·UTA 4
3rd·19:28
Icing
DET 1·UTA 4
3rd·19:18
Mason Appleton Tip-In High and Wide Right
·
DET 1·UTA 4
3rd·17:42
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Michael Rasmussen
·
DET 1·UTA 4
3rd·17:42
Clayton Keller Goal (17) Snap Shot, assists: Nick Schmaltz (30), Lawson Crouse (15)
· ·
DET 1·UTA 4
3rd·17:29
Moritz Seider shot blocked by Ian Cole
·
DET 1·UTA 3
3rd·16:50
Jack McBain Snap Shot Wide Left
DET 1·UTA 3
3rd·16:26
Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 1·UTA 3
3rd·16:26
Puck Frozen - Goalie
DET 1·UTA 3
3rd·15:52
Barrett Hayton faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
DET 1·UTA 3
3rd·15:52
Dylan Larkin Goal (26) Wrist Shot, assists: James van Riemsdyk (11), Moritz Seider (31)
· ·
DET 1·UTA 3
3rd·15:49
Moritz Seider Slap Shot Wide Left
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·14:30
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·14:30
Goalie Stopped
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·14:28
Dylan Larkin Slap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·14:21
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·14:21
TV Timeout
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·14:21
Nick DeSimone Delaying Game - Puck over glass
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·14:16
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Jack McBain
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·14:16
Icing
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·13:47
Moritz Seider hit Kailer Yamamoto
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·13:20
Alex DeBrincat Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·12:34
Jacob Bernard-Docker shot blocked by Lawson Crouse
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·12:21
Lucas Raymond Snap Shot Wide Right
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·12:04
Clayton Keller Tip-In saved by John Gibson
·
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·11:37
Takeaway by J.T. Compher
DET 0·UTA 3
3rd·11:24
Emmitt Finnie hit Sean Durzi
·
DET 0·UTA 3

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

Shots

25.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 5.5·DET +114/UTA -135

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Moritz SeiderDET · D
DIST MI299.899
Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
DIST MI252.196
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
BURSTS19394
Dylan LarkinDET · C
DIST MI243.094
J.T. CompherDET · LW
BURSTS15888

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · UTA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.