
CLE
50-29

MEM
25-54
Recap · NBA
leveland Cavaliers went into Memphis Grizzlies and beat them, 142–126.
CLE -13.5 cashed (won by 16). Total cleared the 231.5 OVER by 36.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CLE · top performer

Dennis Schroder
G · #8
22
Pts
5
Reb
11
Ast
MEM · top performer

Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · #18
24
Pts
3
Reb
0
Ast
NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 25 | 13 | 5-7 | — | 3-5 | +11 | 9 | 1 | |
| 26 | 24 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 5-8 | -2 | 6 | 4 | |
| 29 | 22 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | +16 | 5 | 11 | |
| 28 | 21 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 3-4 | -5 | 2 | 2 | |
| 27 | 19 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | +15 | 3 | 8 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 21 | 10 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | +3 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | +4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | +18 | 1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | +12 | 9 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | +4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 11 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | +2 | 8 | 6 | |
| 22 | 10 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 5-6 | +2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 142 | 52-89 | 12-32 | 26-37 | 48 | 36 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 19 | 24 | 10-12 | 4-5 | 0-1 | +4 | 3 | 0 | |
| 18 | 12 | 5-6 | 2-3 | — | +19 | 5 | 3 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | |
| 40 | 17 | 5-15 | 5-12 | 2-2 | -13 | 5 | 4 | |
| 21 | 9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | +1 | 1 | 9 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 31 | 20 | 7-15 | 6-12 | — | -33 | 3 | 1 | |
| 32 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | -14 | 2 | 1 | |
| 37 | 20 | 7-14 | 6-11 | — | -25 | 6 | 0 | |
| 25 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-5 | — | -19 | 1 | 11 | |
| Team | 126 | 45-94 | 29-59 | 7-10 | 31 | 32 | ||
| DNP: T. Gibson, T. Hendricks, J. Wells | ||||||||
DNP: T. Gibson, T. Hendricks, J. Wells
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
58
FG %
48
36
Ast
32
Season series
CLE wins series 2-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CLE -13.5
Between 10 and —
Total
231.5
Standard · +5.5 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
13.5
0.0 since open
Total
231.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 17pp · 1st Quarter · 3:02
D. Schroder
GGame leader · 29 minDouble-double
22 PTS · 5 REB · 11 AST
O. Prosper
FGame leader · 19 min
24 PTS · 3 REB · 0 AST
How it ended
CLE beat MEM 142-126. D. Schroder led with 22 PTS, 5 REB, 11 AST. CLE outscored the other side 44-28 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
MEM vs CLE
Starters vs bench
production by unitStarters(5)
99 PTS · 25 REB · 26 AST
GS 94
Bench(7)
43 PTS · 23 REB · 10 AST
GS 46
Starters(5)
73 PTS · 19 REB · 19 AST
GS 69
Bench(4)
53 PTS · 12 REB · 13 AST
GS 29
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactTyrese Proctor · misses two point shot
Dariq Whitehead · misses 23-foot three point jumper
Nae'Qwan Tomlin · vs. Toby Okani (Craig Porter Jr. gains possession)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 24 | 44 | 33 | 41 | 142 |
| MEM | 36 | 28 | 26 | 36 | 126 |
Period scoring
CLE won 3 · MEM won 1
Q1
Ellis 6
Coward 8
Q2
Ellis 10
Jackson 13
Q3
Merrill 13
Tomlin 11
Q4
Mobley 10
Bal 14
Shooting comparison
58%
52-89
FG
48%
45-94
38%
12-32
3PT
49%
29-59
70%
26-37
FT
70%
7-10
Play-by-play · 480 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CLE 142·MEM 126
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CLE 142·MEM 126
- Q4·7.7
Tyrese Proctor defensive rebound
CLE 142·MEM 126
- Q4·14.2
Dariq Whitehead misses 23-foot three point jumper
CLE 142·MEM 126
- Q4·22.6
Tyrese Proctor makes free throw 2 of 2
CLE 142·MEM 126
- Q4·22.6
Tyrese Proctor makes free throw 1 of 2
CLE 141·MEM 126
- Q4·22.6
Olivier-Maxence Prosper enters the game for Lucas Williamson
·
CLE 140·MEM 126
- Q4·22.6
Lucas Williamson personal take foul
CLE 140·MEM 126
- Q4·23.9
Cavaliers defensive team rebound
CLE 140·MEM 126
- Q4·25.2
GG Jackson misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
CLE 140·MEM 126
- Q4·32.5
Craig Porter Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
CLE 140·MEM 126
- Q4·32.5
Craig Porter Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2
CLE 139·MEM 126
- Q4·32.5
Lucas Williamson personal take foul
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·37.1
Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·40.5
Cam Spencer misses running pullup jump shot
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·46.5
GG Jackson defensive rebound
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·50.6
Tristan Enaruna misses 25-foot three point jumper
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:09
Cavaliers defensive team rebound
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:10
Lucas Williamson misses 25-foot three point jumper
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:16
Riley Minix enters the game for Jarrett Allen
·
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:16
Tristan Enaruna enters the game for Keon Ellis
·
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:16
Olivier Sarr enters the game for Evan Mobley
·
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:16
Cam Spencer enters the game for Adama Bal
·
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:16
Tyrese Proctor personal take foul
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:22
Evan Mobley makes 1-foot driving dunk (Keon Ellis assists)
·
CLE 138·MEM 126
- Q4·1:41
Adama Bal makes 24-foot three pointer (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)
·
CLE 136·MEM 126
- Q4·1:44
Lucas Williamson offensive rebound
CLE 136·MEM 123
- Q4·1:47
Adama Bal misses 25-foot three point jumper
CLE 136·MEM 123
- Q4·1:56
Evan Mobley makes layup (Craig Porter Jr. assists)
·
CLE 136·MEM 123
- Q4·2:10
Cavaliers defensive team rebound
CLE 134·MEM 123
Team stats
CLE
Away
Stat
MEM
Home
52-89
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
45-94
58
FG %
48
12-32
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
29-59
26-37
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
7-10
36
Assists
32
12
Turnovers
13
Betting line
CLE -13.5·O/U 231.5·CLE -1100/MEM +700
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 6 players in cohort
Jarrett AllenCLE · CCONT9.898
Evan MobleyCLE · CCONT9.498
Sam MerrillCLE · GTS%64.491
Dennis SchroderCLE · GDRIVES6.680
Keon EllisCLE · GDEFL2.276
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · CLE favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MEM win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MEM win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MEM win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
MEM vs CLE.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
180
projections · 135 high confidence
Points
- Donovan MitchellCLE27.5± 7.3high
- James HardenCLE19.6± 6.6high
- Ja MorantMEM19.6± 8.8high
Rebounds
- Zach EdeyMEM11.3± 7.8low
- Evan MobleyCLE8.0± 3.5high
- Jarrett AllenCLE7.3± 2.3high
Assists
- Ja MorantMEM8.1± 3.9high
- James HardenCLE5.9± 2.8high
- Cam SpencerMEM5.8± 2.9high
Blocks
- Evan MobleyCLE2.1± 1.3high
- Zach EdeyMEM1.9± 2.3low
- Jarrett AllenCLE1.3± 0.7high
Steals
- Scotty Pippen Jr.MEM1.9± 2.1low
- Donovan MitchellCLE1.5± 1.8high
- Taylor HendricksMEM1.5± 2.0high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
CLE
league avg
MEM
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.3%
47.7%
FG%
47.0
45.6%
117.4
PPG
114.9
114.7
27.1
Assists / G
25.0
▶27.8
13.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
14.6