TRANSACTION · MLBMets: Reinstated RHP Kodai Senga from the 15-day IL (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBBrewers: Sent RHP Brandon Woodruff on a rehab assignment to Wisconsin (ML) (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBMariners: Reinstated C Cal Raleigh and SS J.P (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NFLBears: Signed WR Kaden Davis and LB Tony Fields II to contracts (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NFLBroncos: Signed WR Hakeem Butler and CB Sean Fresch to contracts (Jun 16)
TRANSACTION · NFLTitans: Signed C Andre James and DL Jalyn Holmes to contracts (Jun 16)
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+16CLE
CLE

CLE

50-29

142126
MEM

MEM

25-54

NBAMon, Apr 6FinalSeriesCLE wins series 2-0VegasCLE -13.5

Recap · NBA

leveland Cavaliers went into Memphis Grizzlies and beat them, 142–126.

CLE -13.5 cashed (won by 16). Total cleared the 231.5 OVER by 36.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies · final

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

58

FG %

48

36

Ast

32

Season series

CLE wins series 2-0

Nov 15MEMMEM100@CLECLE108
Apr 7CLECLE142@MEMMEM126today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CLE -13.5

Between 10 and

Total

231.5

Standard · +5.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CLECLE-110092%
MEMMEM+70013%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

13.5

0.0 since open

Total

231.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCLE MEM

Biggest swing: 17pp · 1st Quarter · 3:02

CLECLE
D. Schroder

D. Schroder

G

Game leader · 29 minDouble-double

22 PTS · 5 REB · 11 AST

MEMMEM
O. Prosper

O. Prosper

F

Game leader · 19 min

24 PTS · 3 REB · 0 AST

How it ended

CLE beat MEM 142-126. D. Schroder led with 22 PTS, 5 REB, 11 AST. CLE outscored the other side 44-28 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

MEM vs CLE

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
CLECLEstarters 70% of pts

Starters(5)

99 PTS · 25 REB · 26 AST

GS 94

Bench(7)

43 PTS · 23 REB · 10 AST

GS 46

MEMMEMstarters 58% of pts

Starters(5)

73 PTS · 19 REB · 19 AST

GS 69

Bench(4)

53 PTS · 12 REB · 13 AST

GS 29

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
CLE1st Quarter · 3:02 · 20-27
+17pp59% WP

Tyrese Proctor · misses two point shot

CLE2nd Quarter · 4:09 · 47-55
+7pp49% WP

Dariq Whitehead · misses 23-foot three point jumper

CLE3rd Quarter · 2:03 · 99-85
+8pp99% WP

Nae'Qwan Tomlin · vs. Toby Okani (Craig Porter Jr. gains possession)

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
CLE24443341142
MEM36282636126

Period scoring

CLE won 3 · MEM won 1

24
36

Q1

Ellis 6

Coward 8

44
28

Q2

Ellis 10

Jackson 13

33
26

Q3

Merrill 13

Tomlin 11

41
36

Q4

Mobley 10

Bal 14

CLE
MEM

Shooting comparison

CLE
MEM

58%

52-89

FG

48%

45-94

38%

12-32

3PT

49%

29-59

70%

26-37

FT

70%

7-10

Play-by-play · 480 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    CLE 142·MEM 126

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    CLE 142·MEM 126

  3. Q4·7.7

    Tyrese Proctor defensive rebound

    CLE 142·MEM 126

  4. Q4·14.2

    Dariq Whitehead misses 23-foot three point jumper

    CLE 142·MEM 126

  5. Q4·22.6

    Tyrese Proctor makes free throw 2 of 2

    CLE 142·MEM 126

  6. Q4·22.6

    Tyrese Proctor makes free throw 1 of 2

    CLE 141·MEM 126

  7. Q4·22.6

    Olivier-Maxence Prosper enters the game for Lucas Williamson

    ·

    CLE 140·MEM 126

  8. Q4·22.6

    Lucas Williamson personal take foul

    CLE 140·MEM 126

  9. Q4·23.9

    Cavaliers defensive team rebound

    CLE 140·MEM 126

  10. Q4·25.2

    GG Jackson misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot

    CLE 140·MEM 126

  11. Q4·32.5

    Craig Porter Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2

    CLE 140·MEM 126

  12. Q4·32.5

    Craig Porter Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2

    CLE 139·MEM 126

  13. Q4·32.5

    Lucas Williamson personal take foul

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  14. Q4·37.1

    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  15. Q4·40.5

    Cam Spencer misses running pullup jump shot

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  16. Q4·46.5

    GG Jackson defensive rebound

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  17. Q4·50.6

    Tristan Enaruna misses 25-foot three point jumper

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  18. Q4·1:09

    Cavaliers defensive team rebound

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  19. Q4·1:10

    Lucas Williamson misses 25-foot three point jumper

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  20. Q4·1:16

    Riley Minix enters the game for Jarrett Allen

    ·

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  21. Q4·1:16

    Tristan Enaruna enters the game for Keon Ellis

    ·

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  22. Q4·1:16

    Olivier Sarr enters the game for Evan Mobley

    ·

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  23. Q4·1:16

    Cam Spencer enters the game for Adama Bal

    ·

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  24. Q4·1:16

    Tyrese Proctor personal take foul

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  25. Q4·1:22

    Evan Mobley makes 1-foot driving dunk (Keon Ellis assists)

    ·

    CLE 138·MEM 126

  26. Q4·1:41

    Adama Bal makes 24-foot three pointer (Walter Clayton Jr. assists)

    ·

    CLE 136·MEM 126

  27. Q4·1:44

    Lucas Williamson offensive rebound

    CLE 136·MEM 123

  28. Q4·1:47

    Adama Bal misses 25-foot three point jumper

    CLE 136·MEM 123

  29. Q4·1:56

    Evan Mobley makes layup (Craig Porter Jr. assists)

    ·

    CLE 136·MEM 123

  30. Q4·2:10

    Cavaliers defensive team rebound

    CLE 134·MEM 123

Team stats

CLE

Away

Stat

MEM

Home

52-89

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

45-94

58

FG %

48

12-32

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

29-59

26-37

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

7-10

36

Assists

32

12

Turnovers

13

Betting line

CLE -13.5·O/U 231.5·CLE -1100/MEM +700

DraftKings · via ESPN

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 6 players in cohort
  • Jarrett AllenCLE · C
    CONT9.898
  • Evan MobleyCLE · C
    CONT9.498
  • Sam MerrillCLE · G
    TS%64.491
  • Dennis SchroderCLE · G
    DRIVES6.680
  • Keon EllisCLE · G
    DEFL2.276

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · CLE favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MEM win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MEM win)

    34%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MEM win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

MEM vs CLE.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

180

projections · 135 high confidence

Points

  • Donovan MitchellCLE
    27.5± 7.3high
  • James HardenCLE
    19.6± 6.6high
  • Ja MorantMEM
    19.6± 8.8high

Rebounds

  • Zach EdeyMEM
    11.3± 7.8low
  • Evan MobleyCLE
    8.0± 3.5high
  • Jarrett AllenCLE
    7.3± 2.3high

Assists

  • Ja MorantMEM
    8.1± 3.9high
  • James HardenCLE
    5.9± 2.8high
  • Cam SpencerMEM
    5.8± 2.9high

Blocks

  • Evan MobleyCLE
    2.1± 1.3high
  • Zach EdeyMEM
    1.9± 2.3low
  • Jarrett AllenCLE
    1.3± 0.7high

Steals

  • Scotty Pippen Jr.MEM
    1.9± 2.1low
  • Donovan MitchellCLE
    1.5± 1.8high
  • Taylor HendricksMEM
    1.5± 2.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

CLE

CLE

league avg

MEM

MEM

55.6%

Effective FG%

54.4

53.3%

47.7%

FG%

47.0

45.6%

117.4

PPG

114.9

114.7

27.1

Assists / G

25.0

27.8

13.8

Turnovers / G

14.0

14.6

Data via ESPN · hoopR