NY
48-28
HOU
46-29
Recap · NBA
ouston Rockets held off New York Knicks, 111–94.
HOU +1.5 cashed (NY lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 218.5 by 13.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NY · top performer
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · #32
22
Pts
8
Reb
3
Ast
HOU · top performer
Kevin Durant
F · #7
27
Pts
6
Reb
8
Ast
NBA · New York Knicks at Houston Rockets · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 38 | 8 | 3-9 | 2-8 | — | -14 | 6 | 0 | |
| 34 | 22 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 6-8 | -11 | 8 | 3 | |
| 29 | 13 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | -22 | 5 | 2 | |
| 34 | 7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | — | -11 | 3 | 4 | |
| 37 | 12 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | -26 | 6 | 8 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | +2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | +2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | +2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 16 | 5 | 2-4 | — | 1-2 | -14 | 5 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | +2 | 2 | 0 | |
| 19 | 10 | 4-6 | — | 2-2 | +2 | 2 | 0 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | — | +9 | 1 | 2 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1-9 | 1-5 | — | -8 | 1 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | +2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team | 94 | 36-85 | 10-34 | 12-16 | 41 | 22 | ||
| DNP: D. Jones | ||||||||
DNP: D. Jones
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 35 | 27 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 3-4 | +28 | 6 | 8 | |
| 39 | 15 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | +14 | 6 | 2 | |
| 30 | 17 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | +21 | 8 | 3 | |
| 30 | 13 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | +8 | 5 | 10 | |
| 39 | 17 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | +19 | 4 | 8 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | — | -11 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | +11 | 2 | 1 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -11 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | — | — | — | -2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 28 | 20 | 8-12 | 4-7 | — | +10 | 5 | 2 | |
| Team | 111 | 42-78 | 15-35 | 12-16 | 38 | 35 | ||
| DNP: D. Finney-Smith | ||||||||
DNP: D. Finney-Smith
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
42
FG %
54
22
Ast
35
Season series
Series tied 1-1
HOU106@NY108NY94@HOU111todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NY -1.5
Between — and 5
Total
218.5
Defensive · -7.5 vs avg
Moneyline
NY-11553%HOU-10551%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
218.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 6pp · 2nd Quarter · 7:24
NYK. Towns
CGame leader · 34 min
22 PTS · 8 REB · 3 AST
HOUK. Durant
FGame leader · 35 min
27 PTS · 6 REB · 8 AST
How it ended
HOU beat NY 111-94. K. Durant paced them with 27 PTS, 6 REB, 8 AST. HOU outscored the other side 37-21 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
HOU vs NY
Starters vs bench
production by unitNYstarters 66% of ptsStarters(5)
62 PTS · 28 REB · 17 AST
GS 48
Bench(9)
32 PTS · 13 REB · 5 AST
GS 21
HOUstarters 80% of ptsStarters(5)
89 PTS · 29 REB · 31 AST
GS 90
Bench(7)
22 PTS · 9 REB · 4 AST
GS 16
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 21 | 29 | 22 | 22 | 94 |
| HOU | 37 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 111 |
Period scoring
NY won 2 · HOU won 2
Q1
Brunson 5
Durant 13
Q2
Alvarado 8
Durant 8
Q3
Towns 9
Durant 9
Q4
Towns 9
Sheppard 5
Shooting comparison
42%
36-85
FG
54%
42-78
29%
10-34
3PT
43%
15-35
75%
12-16
FT
75%
12-16
Play-by-play · 426 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 94·HOU 111
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 94·HOU 111
- Q4·15.4
shot clock turnover
NY 94·HOU 111
- Q4·39.5
Jeremy Sochan makes alley oop dunk (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 94·HOU 111
- Q4·44.1
Ariel Hukporti offensive rebound
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·45.9
Pacome Dadiet misses 29-foot three point shot
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·53.4
Pacome Dadiet defensive rebound
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·54.6
Jeff Green misses 27-foot three point jumper
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:18
Jeff Green defensive rebound
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:19
Ariel Hukporti misses two point shot
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:21
Ariel Hukporti offensive rebound
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:22
Jeremy Sochan misses 28-foot three point jumper
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:32
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:33
Jeff Green misses 26-foot three point jumper
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Tyler Kolek enters the game for Josh Hart
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Ariel Hukporti enters the game for Karl-Anthony Towns
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Pacome Dadiet enters the game for Mikal Bridges
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Jeremy Sochan enters the game for Jalen Brunson
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Mohamed Diawara enters the game for OG Anunoby
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
JD Davison enters the game for Kevin Durant
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Jae'Sean Tate enters the game for Alperen Sengun
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Aaron Holiday enters the game for Reed Sheppard
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Josh Okogie enters the game for Jabari Smith Jr.
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Jeff Green enters the game for Amen Thompson
·
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:47
Jalen Brunson personal take foul
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:55
Karl-Anthony Towns makes two point shot
NY 92·HOU 111
- Q4·1:56
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
NY 90·HOU 111
- Q4·1:57
Josh Hart misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot
NY 90·HOU 111
- Q4·2:07
Alperen Sengun makes 12-foot fade away jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
·
NY 90·HOU 111
- Q4·2:26
Josh Hart makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 90·HOU 109
Team stats
NY
Away
Stat
HOU
Home
36-85
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
42-78
42
FG %
54
10-34
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
15-35
12-16
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
12-16
22
Assists
35
11
Turnovers
8
Betting line
NY -1.5·O/U 218.5·NY -115/HOU -105
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Tari EasonHOU · FDEFL4.599
Jalen BrunsonNY · GTOUCHES89.699
Amen ThompsonHOU · GTOUCHES86.297
Josh HartNY · GDEFL4.197
OG AnunobyNY · FCONT8.496
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(HOU win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(HOU win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(HOU win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
HOU vs NY.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
175
projections · 155 high confidence
Points
- Jalen BrunsonNY27.4± 9.6high
- Kevin DurantHOU25.3± 4.5high
- Amen ThompsonHOU20.2± 7.7high
Rebounds
- Karl-Anthony TownsNY10.8± 3.1high
- Alperen SengunHOU9.4± 3.5high
- Steven AdamsHOU8.6± 2.2high
Assists
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.2± 3.2high
- Kevin DurantHOU5.8± 2.2high
- Amen ThompsonHOU5.7± 2.0high
Blocks
- Alperen SengunHOU1.1± 0.7high
- Kevin DurantHOU1.0± 1.1high
- OG AnunobyNY1.0± 1.0high
Steals
- Amen ThompsonHOU1.9± 1.3high
- Tari EasonHOU1.8± 1.8high
- Reed SheppardHOU1.6± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
NY
league avg
HOU
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.4
53.7%
48.0%
FG%
47.0
47.4%
116.4
PPG
114.9
114.1
27.0
Assists / G
25.0
25.1
12.7
Turnovers / G
14.0
14.3