Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Sep 25, 2025

FINAL+5KC

80-79

LAA

71-88

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

35,752 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

39.9%

ensemble · KC favored

Elo Static
45.2%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
42.8%
P(LAA win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
44.1%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.98 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

94% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs KC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 99 high confidence

Strikeouts

Reid DetmersLAA
6.4± 2.0high
Noah CameronKC
5.1± 3.3high
Walbert UrenaLAA
5.1± 1.5high

Hits

Mike TroutLAA
1.1± 1.2high
Vaughn GrissomLAA
1.1± 0.9high
Salvador PerezKC
1.0± 0.7high

Total bases

Salvador PerezKC
1.9± 1.5high
Vaughn GrissomLAA
1.8± 2.0high
Jac CaglianoneKC
1.6± 1.8high

RBIs

Luke MaileKC
1.0± 1.6low
Vaughn GrissomLAA
0.8± 0.9high
Jac CaglianoneKC
0.5± 0.8high

Earned runs

Grayson RodriguezLAA
3.5± 2.7low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.3± 3.3low
Noah CameronKC
3.0± 2.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

league avg

LAA

.711

OPS

◀

.720

.695

.313

OBP

.318

.313

4.17

Runs / G

4.50

4.17

4.85

Team ERA

4.18

▶

4.48

1.43

WHIP

1.30

▶

1.36

7.6

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

KC wins

KC 9 · LAA 4 (by 5)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked KC +5pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
KC	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	4	9
LAA	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	4

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. Garcia3B	.286	4	2	1	0	0	1	1
B. Witt Jr.SS	.296	5	2	4	1	0	0	0
V. Pasquantino1B	.267	4	2	1	3	1	1	0
S. PerezDH	.241	4	1	1	3	0	0	1
M. YastrzemskiLF	.228	3	0	1	1	0	2	1
R. GrichukDH	.198	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
C. JensenC	.280	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
J. CaglianoneRF	.160	3	0	0	0	0	0	2
M. Massey2B	.233	4	1	2	0	0	0	1
A. Frazier2B	.283	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
J. RaveRF	.205	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. TolbertSS	.280	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team		37	9	11	9	1	4	9

Player

.286

.296

.267

.241

.228

.198

.280

.160

.233

.283

.205

.280

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. LorenzenSP	5.2	5	2	2	0	9	84
J. SchreiberRP	1.1	0	0	0	0	1	18
S. CruzRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	1	20
L. AvilaSP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	15
Team	9.0	7	4	4	0	13	137

Player

5.2

1.1

1.0

1.0

Team

9.0

137

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Schanuel1B	.267	4	1	1	1	1	0	1
M. TroutCF	.228	4	1	1	2	1	0	2
Y. Moncada3B	.234	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. AdellRF	.237	4	1	2	1	1	0	2
C. TaylorCF	.162	4	0	0	0	0	0	3
L. O'HoppeC	.217	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. Moore2B	.203	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
D. Guzman3B	.156	3	0	1	0	0	0	1
B. TeodosioLF	.206	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
L. Rengifo3B	.241	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team		34	4	7	4	3	0	13

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. FarrisRP	5.0	5	4	4	2	5	84
C. BrogdonRP	2.0	0	0	0	0	3	36
R. ZeferjahnRP	1.0	2	1	1	1	0	21
S. BachmanRP	1.0	4	4	4	1	1	26
Team	9.0	11	9	9	4	9	167

Team

LAA

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs KC.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs KC.

3 sub-models, blended.