NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1MIN

ANA

42-33-6

MIN

46-24-12

NHLTue, Apr 14FinalSeriesMIN wins series 3-0VegasANA -175

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild held off Anaheim Ducks, 3–2.

MIN +1.5 cashed (ANA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

ANA · top performer

Mason McTavish

C · #23

2Points

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

Robby Fabbri

C · #21

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. CarlssonC · #91	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	21:00
C. GauthierLW · #61	0	1	-1	4	1	0	0	18:14
M. GranlundC · #64	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	20:53
A. KillornLW · #17	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	20:24
M. McTavishC · #23	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	17:36
R. PoehlingC · #25	0	1	-2	1	0	1	0	14:48
B. SenneckeRW · #45	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	18:33
T. TerryRW · #19	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:54
F. VatranoRW · #77	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	8:31
J. VielLW · #28	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	11:16
T. WasheC · #42	0	0	-2	1	4	0	0	9:48

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. CarlsonD · #74	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	21:43
D. HellesonD · #14	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	14:34
T. HindsD · #60	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	15:06
J. LaCombeD · #2	0	1	-1	3	0	1	0	24:14
P. MintyukovD · #98	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	17:44
I. MooreD · #3	0	0	-1	1	2	0	0	7:27
J. TroubaD · #65	0	0	-2	2	0	1	0	19:22

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. DostalG · #1	20	3	17	.850	56:53

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
N. Aube-KubelRW · #16	0	1	1	1	2	1	0	11:58
B. BrinkRW · #10	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	17:03
R. FabbriC · #21	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	12:08
N. FolignoLW · #71	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	15:48
H. HaightC · #37	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	12:57
M. JohanssonLW · #90	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	13:34
B. JonesC · #39	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	13:23
M. McCarronC · #47	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	14:23
N. SturmC · #78	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	13:56
V. TarasenkoRW · #91	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	16:17
Y. TreninC · #13	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	15:49
D. YurovRW · #22	1	0	1	4	4	0	0	16:54

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BrodinD · #25	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	18:08
V. Gustafsson NybergD · #6	0	0	2	0	1	3	0	20:38
D. HuntD · #48	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	21:01
M. KierstedD · #26	0	0	2	0	0	5	0	20:19
J. MiddletonD · #5	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	18:43
J. PetryD · #2	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	20:06

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. WallstedtG · #30	37	2	35	.946	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

MIN wins series 3-0

Nov 15

ANA0@

MIN2

Jan 3

MIN5@

ANA2

Apr 15

ANA2@

MIN3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

ANA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ANA-17564%

MIN+14541%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet ANA -1.5↗SpreadBet ANA -1.5↗

Line movement · 38 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

ANA

M. McTavish

Top skater

2 G · 5 SOG

L. Dostal

Goaltender

17 SV · 3 GA · .850

MIN

R. Fabbri

Top skater

1 G · 4 SOG

J. Wallstedt

Goaltender35-save night

35 SV · 2 GA · .946

How it ended

MIN beat ANA 3-2. R. Fabbri led the way — 1 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
ANA	1	0	1	2
MIN	1	1	1	3

Period scoring

ANA won 0 · MIN won 1

ANA

MIN

Play-by-play · 332 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:53
John Carlson Backhand Wide Left
·
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:51
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Hunter Haight
· ·
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:51
Icing
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:46
Nico Sturm Wrist Shot Wide Right
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:43
Cutter Gauthier Backhand Wide Right
·
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:39
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Hunter Haight
· ·
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:39
Off-side
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:14
Hunter Haight faceoff won against Mikael Granlund
· ·
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:14
Mason McTavish Goal (17) Tip-In, assists: Mikael Granlund (19), Cutter Gauthier (28)
· ·
ANA 2·MIN 3
3rd·19:01
Nico Sturm faceoff won against Mikael Granlund
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·19:01
Goalie Stopped
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·19:00
Mikael Granlund Snap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·18:52
Mikael Granlund hit Nicolas Aube-Kubel
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·18:44
Mason McTavish Tip-In saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·18:35
Leo Carlsson shot blocked by Viking Gustafsson Nyberg
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·17:54
Cutter Gauthier Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·17:51
Nico Sturm faceoff won against Mikael Granlund
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·17:51
Goalie Stopped
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·17:49
Cutter Gauthier Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·17:30
Mikael Granlund faceoff won against Nico Sturm
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·17:30
Icing
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·17:26
Jesper Wallstedt Wrist Shot Wide Right
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·17:23
Robby Fabbri hit Beckett Sennecke
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·16:58
Beckett Sennecke Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·16:55
Jeff Petry hit Mason McTavish
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·16:47
Beckett Sennecke shot blocked by Jeff Petry
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·16:39
Mason McTavish Wrist Shot Above Crossbar
·
ANA 1·MIN 3
3rd·15:41
Marcus Johansson shot blocked by Jackson LaCombe
·
ANA 1·MIN 3

Team stats

ANA

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

ANA -1.5·O/U 6.5·ANA -175/MIN +145

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 29 skaters with EDGE

John CarlsonANA · D
SHOT MPH102.799+
Beckett SenneckeANA · RW
SHOT MPH96.199+
Ryan PoehlingANA · C
SKATE MPH23.498
Leo CarlssonANA · C
CORSI%6196
Cutter GauthierANA · LW
iXG29.896

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

58.3%

ensemble · MIN favored

Elo Static
62.4%
P(MIN win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
62.4%
P(MIN win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
62.4%
P(MIN win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+145

Close price

+145

Open no-vig

39.1%

Close no-vig

39.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit