NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CAR

CAR

53-22-7

NYI

43-34-5

NHLTue, Apr 14FinalSeriesCAR wins series 3-0VegasNYI -185

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into New York Islanders and beat them, 2–1.

CAR +1.5 cashed (NYI lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

Nikolaj Ehlers

LW · #27

1Points

—

SOG

NYI · top performer

Bo Horvat

C · #14

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BlakeRW · #53	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	12:58
S. Brind'AmourC · #76	0	0	-1	1	2	0	0	15:41
W. CarrierLW · #28	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	10:40
N. DeslauriersLW · #44	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	11:28
N. EhlersLW · #27	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	15:02
M. JankowskiLW · #77	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	17:34
J. KotkaniemiC · #82	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	17:29
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	18:44
B. NadeauLW · #29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	16:40
E. RobinsonLW · #50	0	0	1	3	1	0	2	14:07
L. StankovenC · #22	0	1	1	2	1	1	0	12:51
F. Unger SorumRW · #36	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	14:35

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. GostisbehereD · #4	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	19:17
C. LegaultD · #62	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	22:01
A. NikishinD · #21	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	23:40
J. NystromD · #64	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	15:51
M. ReillyD · #6	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	22:10
R. SeeleyD · #91	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	15:12

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BussiG · #32	30	1	29	.967	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BarzalC · #13	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	19:55
C. CizikasC · #53	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	12:25
V. EklundLW · #73	0	1	0	2	2	0	0	15:30
L. FoudyC · #43	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	11:17
E. HeinemanLW · #51	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	15:47
S. HolmstromRW · #92	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	16:37
B. HorvatC · #14	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	20:18
A. LeeLW · #27	0	0	-1	3	1	1	0	16:31
J. PageauC · #44	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	14:56
O. PalatLW · #81	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:48
C. RitchieC · #64	0	0	0	2	1	2	0	15:55
B. SchennC · #10	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	19:09

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. DeAngeloD · #77	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	19:38
I. GeorgeD · #36	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	16:33
S. MayfieldD · #24	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	17:45
A. PelechD · #3	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	17:30
M. SchaeferD · #48	0	0	-1	5	0	0	0	24:13
C. SoucyD · #4	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	15:44

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. RittichG · #33	21	2	19	.905	56:29

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CAR wins series 3-0

Oct 30

NYI2@

CAR6

Apr 4

NYI3@

CAR4

Apr 14

CAR2@

NYI1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYI -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CAR+15439%

NYI-18565%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗SpreadBet NYI -1.5↗

Line movement · 36 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

CAR

N. Ehlers

Top skater

1 G · 5 SOG

B. Bussi

Goaltender

29 SV · 1 GA · .967

NYI

B. Horvat

Top skater

1 G · 2 SOG

D. Rittich

Goaltender

19 SV · 2 GA · .905

How it ended

CAR beat NYI 2-1. N. Ehlers led the way — 1 G · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CAR	1	0	1	2
NYI	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

CAR won 2 · NYI won 1

CAR

NYI

Play-by-play · 276 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:58
Matthew Schaefer Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:56
Matthew Schaefer shot blocked by Jordan Martinook
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:51
Bo Horvat faceoff won against Skyler Brind'Amour
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:51
Goalie Stopped
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:49
Mathew Barzal Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:41
Skyler Brind'Amour faceoff won against Bo Horvat
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:41
Puck in Crowd
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:33
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·19:03
Matthew Schaefer Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·18:52
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·18:50
Bo Horvat faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·18:50
Puck in Crowd
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·18:34
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·18:34
Timeout - Home
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·18:34
Puck in Crowd
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·18:31
Giveaway by Mathew Barzal
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:58
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:55
Jesperi Kotkaniemi shot blocked by Calum Ritchie
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:51
Giveaway by Matthew Schaefer
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:42
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Skyler Brind'Amour
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:42
Icing
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:38
Jesperi Kotkaniemi Snap Shot Wide Left
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:35
Matthew Schaefer Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:27
Giveaway by Joel Nystrom
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:19
Mathew Barzal shot blocked by Jesperi Kotkaniemi
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:15
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Skyler Brind'Amour
·
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:15
Goalie Stopped
CAR 2·NYI 1
3rd·17:13
Adam Pelech Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
CAR 2·NYI 1

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

NYI

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NYI -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR +154/NYI -185

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 21 skaters with EDGE

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
BURSTS26999+
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
CORSI%6699+
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
CORSI%6599+
Jackson BlakeCAR · RW
CORSI%6499
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
DIST MI274.399

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Jackson Blake · CAR13:180.8157.1%70.2%13:18 TOI · 0.81 iXG · 57.1% CF · 70.2% xGF
#848420316:360.6445.7%60.5%16:36 TOI · 0.64 iXG · 45.7% CF · 60.5% xGF
Matthew Schaefer · NYI24:300.5275.9%76.0%24:30 TOI · 0.52 iXG · 75.9% CF · 76.0% xGF
Bo Horvat · NYI20:300.4468.8%65.7%20:30 TOI · 0.44 iXG · 68.8% CF · 65.7% xGF
Anders Lee · NYI16:420.4367.6%64.9%16:42 TOI · 0.43 iXG · 67.6% CF · 64.9% xGF
#848422116:120.3261.3%49.0%16:12 TOI · 0.32 iXG · 61.3% CF · 49.0% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Brandon Bussi · CAR29–1.967+2.0629–1 · .967 SV% · +2.06 GSAx
David Rittich · NYI19–2.905+0.1219–2 · .905 SV% · +0.12 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

35.4%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
47.6%
P(NYI win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
47.6%
P(NYI win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
47.6%
P(NYI win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+154

Close price

+154

Open no-vig

37.8%

Close no-vig

37.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit