Apr 8, 26sim 98
65
129764(H)6
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+4BOS
NJ
42-37-3
04
BOS
45-27-10
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
oston Bruins held off New Jersey Devils, 4–0.
BOS -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NJ · top performer
Nick Bjugstad
C · #72
0Points
0
G
0
A
—
SOG
BOS · top performer
Mark Kastelic
C · #47
2Points
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
NJ42-37-3
04
BOS45-27-10
NJ42-37-3BOS45-27-10
NJ
42-37-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
BOS
45-27-10
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
0
PIM
2
Season series
BOS wins series 2-1
Dec 7NJ1@BOS4
NJ1@BOS4Mar 16BOS3@NJ4
BOS3@NJ4Apr 14NJ0@BOS4today
NJ0@BOS4todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
BOS -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NJ+13043%BOS-15561%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 12 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
BOS beat NJ 4-0.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BOS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Period scoring
NJ won 0 · BOS won 1
0
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
3
NJ
BOS
Play-by-play · 298 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:54
Nick Bjugstad hit Mason Lohrei
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:50
Mark Kastelic Tip-In Above Crossbar
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:45
Tanner Jeannot Snap Shot Above Crossbar
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:44
Sean Kuraly shot blocked by Mark Kastelic
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:34
Tanner Jeannot Snap Shot saved by Nico Daws
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:09
Nick Bjugstad Backhand Wide Left
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:05
Johnathan Kovacevic Slap Shot Wide Right
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:04
Nick Bjugstad faceoff won against Sean Kuraly
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:04
Puck in Benches
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·19:02
Takeaway by Fraser Minten
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·18:52
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Cody Glass
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·18:31
Andrew Peeke hit Maksim Tsyplakov
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·18:19
Michael Eyssimont Snap Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·17:23
Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Marc McLaughlin
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·17:23
Goalie Stopped
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·17:20
Jack Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·17:00
Brenden Dillon shot blocked by Andrew Peeke
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·16:58
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Nikita Zadorov
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·16:49
Jesper Bratt hit Andrew Peeke
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·16:25
Takeaway by Johnathan Kovacevic
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·16:01
Johnathan Kovacevic Slap Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·15:41
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Sean Kuraly
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·15:41
Puck in Netting
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·15:39
Hampus Lindholm shot blocked by Paul Cotter
· ·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·15:05
Nick Bjugstad faceoff won against Sean Kuraly
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·15:05
Goalie Stopped
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·15:03
Jack Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
NJ 0·BOS 4
- 3rd·14:56
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
NJ 0·BOS 4
Team stats
NJ
Away
Stat
BOS
Home
21
Shots
26
0.0
PCT
0.0
0
PIM
2
20
Faceoffs W
36
9
Blocks
22
25
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
7
Betting line
BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·NJ +130/BOS -155
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 14 skaters with EDGE
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · CSKATE MPH23.092
Morgan GeekieBOS · CSHOT MPH88.989
Jonathan AspirotBOS · DSHOT MPH94.081
Tanner JeannotBOS · LWSHOT MPH86.679- Mark KastelicBOS · CSKATE MPH22.477
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · BOS favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BOS win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-155
Close price
-155
Open no-vig
58.3%
Close no-vig
58.3%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit
Player projections
BOS vs NJ.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
141
projections · 120 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Jack HughesNJ4.3± 1.7high
- Timo MeierNJ3.3± 3.0high
- David PastrnakBOS3.2± 2.2high
Goals
- Morgan GeekieBOS0.6± 0.9high
- Jack HughesNJ0.6± 0.8high
- Dawson MercerNJ0.4± 0.7high
Points
- Jack HughesNJ1.6± 1.7high
- David PastrnakBOS1.1± 1.1high
- Jesper BrattNJ1.0± 1.7high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands