NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+5DAL

DAL

38-14-9

CGY

24-29-7

NHLTue, Mar 3FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasDAL -130

DAL · top performer

Sam Steel

C · #18

3Points

—

SOG

CGY · top performer

Morgan Frost

C · #16

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
O. BackC · #10	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	13:40
N. BastianRW · #11	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	11:33
J. BennLW · #14	1	1	1	2	0	1	0	11:43
C. BlackwellC · #15	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	13:39
M. BourqueC · #22	1	0	0	5	0	0	4	18:37
M. DucheneC · #95	0	4	3	0	0	0	0	13:07
A. ErneLW · #73	0	0	0	5	5	0	0	12:39
J. HryckowianC · #49	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	17:00
A. HyryRW · #25	0	0	1	2	3	0	0	13:43
W. JohnstonC · #53	1	1	0	2	1	1	0	17:59
J. RobertsonLW · #21	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	18:02
S. SteelC · #18	2	1	3	3	1	1	0	13:52

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. BichselD · #6	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	15:36
T. HarleyD · #55	0	1	2	1	0	1	0	22:52
M. HeiskanenD · #4	0	0	2	2	0	0	2	20:55
E. LindellD · #23	0	1	2	2	1	1	0	20:23
N. LundkvistD · #5	0	1	2	2	0	2	0	20:26
I. LyubushkinD · #46	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	16:14

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. DeSmithG · #1	21	1	20	.952	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BacklundC · #11	0	0	-2	3	0	0	0	17:02
J. BeecherC · #18	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	13:51
B. ColemanLW · #20	0	1	-1	1	2	0	2	14:25
M. CoronatoRW · #27	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	13:51
J. FarabeeLW · #86	0	0	-2	1	1	0	0	13:52
M. FrostC · #16	1	0	1	2	0	1	0	13:03
M. GridinRW · #92	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	14:37
N. KadriC · #91	0	0	-3	2	1	0	2	17:37
A. KlapkaRW · #43	0	1	0	0	5	2	2	14:40
R. LombergLW · #70	0	0	-1	0	2	1	0	13:04
Y. SharangovichC · #17	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:42
C. ZaryC · #47	0	0	-2	2	0	1	0	14:10

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. BahlD · #7	0	0	-2	2	0	1	0	20:58
J. HanleyD · #44	0	0	0	1	0	4	4	16:03
Y. KuznetsovD · #37	0	0	-2	0	2	3	0	21:15
Z. ParekhD · #19	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:37
M. WeegarD · #52	0	0	-2	0	1	2	2	19:42
Z. WhitecloudD · #28	0	0	-2	0	4	3	0	21:02

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. WolfG · #32	17	4	13	.765	26:02
D. CooleyG · #1	18	2	16	.889	33:49

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

CGY

Home

Shots

20.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 23

DAL2@

CGY3

Mar 4

DAL6@

CGY1today

Apr 8

CGY3@

DAL4

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL-13057%

CGY+11048%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 26 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DAL beat CGY 6-1. S. Steel led the way — 2 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DAL	2	4	0	6
CGY	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

DAL won 2 · CGY won 0

DAL

CGY

Play-by-play · 319 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·19:52
Oskar Bäck faceoff won against Morgan Frost
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·19:52
Goalie Stopped
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·19:50
Lian Bichsel Wrist Shot saved by Devin Cooley
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·19:17
John Beecher faceoff won against Oskar Bäck
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·19:17
Puck in Netting
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·19:15
Adam Erne shot blocked by Joel Hanley
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·18:56
Connor Zary Wrist Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·18:28
Sam Steel Deflected saved by Devin Cooley
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·18:09
Yegor Sharangovich shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·18:08
Connor Zary shot blocked by Ilya Lyubushkin
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·18:04
Giveaway by Lian Bichsel
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·18:03
Takeaway by Lian Bichsel
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·17:48
Giveaway by Zayne Parekh
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·17:38
Zayne Parekh Wrist Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·16:58
Arttu Hyry faceoff won against Nazem Kadri
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·16:58
Mavrik Bourque Interference against Adam Klapka
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·16:41
Adam Klapka hit Adam Erne
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·15:33
Wyatt Johnston faceoff won against Nazem Kadri
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·15:33
Hand Pass
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·15:07
Takeaway by Ilya Lyubushkin
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·15:05
Giveaway by Ilya Lyubushkin
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·15:00
Lian Bichsel hit Matvei Gridin
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·14:46
Arttu Hyry hit Zayne Parekh
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·14:42
Giveaway by Nathan Bastian
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·14:31
Morgan Frost faceoff won against Arttu Hyry
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·14:31
Goalie Stopped
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·14:29
Matvei Gridin Wrist Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
DAL 6·CGY 1
3rd·14:28
Matvei Gridin Wrist Shot Short
·
DAL 6·CGY 1

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 5.5·DAL -130/CGY +110

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

allas Stars went into Calgary Flames and beat them, 6–1.

DAL -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

45.2%

ensemble · DAL favored

Elo Static
45.2%
P(CGY win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
45.2%
P(CGY win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
45.2%
P(CGY win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Dallas StarsCalgary Flames

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