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FINAL+1WPG
CHI

CHI

23-28-10

23
WPG

WPG

24-26-10

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 3FinalSeriesWPG leads series 2-1VegasWPG -148

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets held off Chicago Blackhawks, 3–2 in overtime.

CHI +1.5 cashed (WPG won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

WPG
Mark Scheifele

Mark Scheifele

C · #55

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
2
3
CHI23-28-10WPG24-26-10
CHI

CHI

23-28-10

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
WPG

WPG

24-26-10

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

WPG leads series 2-1

Oct 31CHICHI3@WPGWPG6
Jan 20WPGWPG0@CHICHI2
Mar 4CHICHI2@WPGWPG3today
Apr 1WPGWPG4@CHICHI3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+12445%
WPGWPG-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WPG beat CHI 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
CHI10102
WPG10113

Period scoring

CHI won 0 · WPG won 1

1
1

1

0
0

2

1
1

3

0
1

OT

CHI
WPG

Play-by-play · 298 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·2:06

    Game End

    CHI 2·WPG 3

  2. OT·2:06

    End of OT

    CHI 2·WPG 3

  3. OT·2:06

    Mark Scheifele Goal (28) Wrist Shot, assists: Dylan Samberg (12)

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 3

  4. OT·1:27

    Ilya Mikheyev Wrap-around Failed Bank Attempt

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 2

  5. OT·0:45

    Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 2

  6. OT·0:00

    Frank Nazar faceoff won against Adam Lowry

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 2

  7. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    CHI 2·WPG 2

  8. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 2·WPG 2

  9. 3rd·19:21

    Adam Lowry faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    · ·

    CHI 2·WPG 2

  10. 3rd·19:21

    Cole Perfetti Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Mark Scheifele (45), Logan Stanley (12)

    · ·

    CHI 2·WPG 2

  11. 3rd·19:13

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  12. 3rd·19:13

    Icing

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  13. 3rd·19:07

    Elias Salomonsson Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  14. 3rd·19:01

    Kyle Connor shot blocked by Jason Dickinson

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  15. 3rd·19:01

    Mark Scheifele Backhand saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  16. 3rd·19:00

    Gabriel Vilardi Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  17. 3rd·18:52

    Elias Salomonsson hit Tyler Bertuzzi

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  18. 3rd·18:50

    Giveaway by Elias Salomonsson

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  19. 3rd·18:37

    Elias Salomonsson Backhand saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  20. 3rd·17:28

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  21. 3rd·17:28

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  22. 3rd·17:26

    Dylan DeMelo Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  23. 3rd·17:25

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  24. 3rd·17:25

    Icing

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  25. 3rd·17:07

    Giveaway by Mark Scheifele

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  26. 3rd·16:54

    Mark Scheifele hit Matt Grzelcyk

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  27. 3rd·16:50

    Elias Salomonsson hit Andre Burakovsky

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  28. 3rd·16:38

    Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Alex Vlasic

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  29. 3rd·16:07

    Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Mark Scheifele

    ·

    CHI 2·WPG 1

  30. 3rd·16:07

    Icing

    CHI 2·WPG 1

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

19

Shots

32

33.3

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

33

Faceoffs W

25

18

Blocks

11

14

Giveaways

10

3

Takeaways

4

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·CHI +124/WPG -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
    DIST MI293.099+
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
    SKATE MPH24.299
  • Morgan BarronWPG · C
    SHOT MPH95.697
  • Ilya MikheyevCHI · RW
    SKATE MPH23.595

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · WPG favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR