NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WPG

CHI

23-28-10

WPG

24-26-10

NHLTue, Mar 3FinalSeriesWPG leads series 2-1VegasWPG -148

CHI · top performer

Connor Bedard

C · #98

2Points

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

Mark Scheifele

C · #55

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. BedardC · #98	0	2	0	3	1	0	2	19:19
T. BertuzziLW · #59	0	0	-1	1	0	2	0	15:44
A. BurakovskyLW · #28	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	14:05
J. DickinsonC · #16	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	15:07
R. DonatoC · #8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:18
N. FolignoLW · #17	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	12:00
R. GreeneC · #20	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	15:17
I. MikheyevRW · #95	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	17:16
O. MooreC · #11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:00
F. NazarC · #91	0	1	-1	1	0	2	0	18:30
L. SlaggertLW · #84	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	11:51
T. TeravainenC · #86	1	0	-1	1	0	3	0	17:43

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. CrevierD · #46	0	0	-1	1	3	2	0	20:13
E. Del MastroD · #38	0	0	0	1	2	3	0	15:07
M. GrzelcykD · #48	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	16:55
A. LevshunovD · #55	0	0	-2	1	3	2	0	18:47
S. RinzelD · #6	0	1	1	3	0	0	2	22:19
A. VlasicD · #72	0	0	-2	0	1	2	0	25:47

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. KnightG · #30	32	3	29	.906	62:06

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BarronC · #36	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	13:34
K. ConnorLW · #81	0	1	2	4	0	1	0	21:32
W. DuehrRW · #71	0	0	-1	0	4	0	0	9:47
A. IafalloLW · #9	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	17:14
C. KoepkeLW · #45	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	10:14
A. LowryC · #17	0	0	-1	2	5	1	0	16:40
G. NyquistRW · #14	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	13:06
T. PearsonLW · #70	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	9:42
C. PerfettiC · #91	1	0	2	3	0	0	0	16:21
M. ScheifeleC · #55	1	2	3	6	1	0	0	23:30
J. ToewsC · #19	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	13:34
G. VilardiC · #13	0	0	1	1	0	1	4	16:30

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. DeMeloD · #2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	20:20
H. FleuryD · #24	0	0	-1	1	2	2	0	14:35
E. SalomonssonD · #57	0	0	0	2	4	2	0	21:43
D. SambergD · #54	1	1	2	1	0	1	0	22:14
L. SchennD · #5	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	14:52
L. StanleyD · #64	0	1	2	3	1	1	0	26:44

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. HellebuyckG · #37	19	2	17	.895	61:18

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

WPG leads series 2-1

Oct 31

CHI3@

WPG6

Jan 20

WPG0@

CHI2

Mar 4

CHI2@

WPG3today

Apr 1

WPG4@

CHI3

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI+12445%

WPG-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 24 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WPG beat CHI 3-2. M. Scheifele led the way — 1 G · 2 A · 6 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
CHI	1	0	1	0	2
WPG	1	0	1	1	3

Period scoring

CHI won 0 · WPG won 1

CHI

WPG

Play-by-play · 298 plays

period

event

player

OT·2:06
Game End
CHI 2·WPG 3
OT·2:06
End of OT
CHI 2·WPG 3
OT·2:06
Mark Scheifele Goal (28) Wrist Shot, assists: Dylan Samberg (12)
·
CHI 2·WPG 3
OT·1:27
Ilya Mikheyev Wrap-around Failed Bank Attempt
·
CHI 2·WPG 2
OT·0:45
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight
·
CHI 2·WPG 2
OT·0:00
Frank Nazar faceoff won against Adam Lowry
·
CHI 2·WPG 2
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
CHI 2·WPG 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CHI 2·WPG 2
3rd·19:21
Adam Lowry faceoff won against Connor Bedard
· ·
CHI 2·WPG 2
3rd·19:21
Cole Perfetti Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Mark Scheifele (45), Logan Stanley (12)
· ·
CHI 2·WPG 2
3rd·19:13
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·19:13
Icing
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·19:07
Elias Salomonsson Slap Shot Wide Right
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·19:01
Kyle Connor shot blocked by Jason Dickinson
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·19:01
Mark Scheifele Backhand saved by Spencer Knight
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·19:00
Gabriel Vilardi Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·18:52
Elias Salomonsson hit Tyler Bertuzzi
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·18:50
Giveaway by Elias Salomonsson
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·18:37
Elias Salomonsson Backhand saved by Spencer Knight
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·17:28
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Frank Nazar
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·17:28
Goalie Stopped
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·17:26
Dylan DeMelo Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·17:25
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Frank Nazar
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·17:25
Icing
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·17:07
Giveaway by Mark Scheifele
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·16:54
Mark Scheifele hit Matt Grzelcyk
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·16:50
Elias Salomonsson hit Andre Burakovsky
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·16:38
Mark Scheifele shot blocked by Alex Vlasic
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·16:07
Jason Dickinson faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
CHI 2·WPG 1
3rd·16:07
Icing
CHI 2·WPG 1

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·CHI +124/WPG -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets held off Chicago Blackhawks, 3–2 in overtime.

CHI +1.5 cashed (WPG won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.5%

ensemble · WPG favored

Elo Static
57.5%
P(WPG win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
57.5%
P(WPG win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
57.5%
P(WPG win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Chicago BlackhawksWinnipeg Jets

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