Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in NSH at CBJ?

The model favors CBJ, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CBJ

NSH

27-26-8

CBJ

31-21-8

NHLTue, Mar 3FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCBJ -130

NSH · top performer

Ryan O'Reilly

C · #90

1Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Charlie Coyle

C · #3

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. BuntingLW · #58	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	15:36
L. EvangelistaRW · #77	0	1	-1	2	0	0	2	20:23
F. ForsbergLW · #9	1	0	-1	3	0	0	0	22:38
E. HaulaLW · #56	0	0	-1	1	0	3	0	20:43
T. JostC · #17	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	13:20
Z. L'HeureuxLW · #68	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	8:34
J. MarchessaultRW · #81	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	18:28
R. O'ReillyC · #90	1	0	-1	4	1	1	0	18:36
C. SmithRW · #36	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:03
S. StamkosC · #91	0	1	-2	2	0	1	2	17:34
O. WiesblattC · #89	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	7:38
M. WoodRW · #71	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	11:58

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BarronD · #20	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	10:10
N. BlankenburgD · #37	0	0	-1	2	0	2	0	17:53
N. HagueD · #41	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	21:44
R. JosiD · #59	0	0	-3	1	0	2	0	26:52
N. PerbixD · #48	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	19:15
B. SkjeiD · #76	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	22:46

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AnnunenG · #29	27	3	24	.889	57:49

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CoyleC · #3	1	0	2	6	2	2	0	22:11
A. FantilliC · #19	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	16:58
D. HeinenLW · #43	0	0	-1	1	1	1	0	13:44
K. JohnsonC · #91	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	15:10
I. LundestromC · #21	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	11:03
K. MarchenkoRW · #86	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	18:05
M. MarchmentLW · #17	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	16:55
S. MonahanC · #23	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	19:29
M. OlivierRW · #24	0	0	1	2	2	1	0	15:33
C. SillingerC · #4	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	15:48
D. VoronkovLW · #10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8:39
M. WoodLW · #11	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	7:49

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. FabbroD · #15	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	14:54
E. GudbransonD · #44	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	21:04
D. MateychukD · #5	0	1	2	2	0	1	0	19:48
I. ProvorovD · #9	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	26:49
D. SeversonD · #78	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	20:28
E. ZamulaD · #6	0	0	0	1	2	2	0	11:44

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. GreavesG · #73	23	2	21	.913	51:44
E. MerzlikinsG · #90	2	0	2	1.000	8:16

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 10

CBJ1@

NSH2

Mar 4

NSH2@

CBJ3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSH+11048%

CBJ-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 27 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat NSH 3-2. C. Coyle led the way — 1 G · 6 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NSH	1	1	0	2
CBJ	1	0	2	3

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · CBJ won 1

NSH

CBJ

Play-by-play · 322 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·19:53
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Erik Gudbranson
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·19:40
Erik Haula faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·19:40
Off-side
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·19:37
Isac Lundeström hit Nick Blankenburg
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·18:15
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:54
Filip Forsberg shot blocked by Erik Gudbranson
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:49
Erik Haula faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:49
Icing
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:40
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:40
Goalie Stopped
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:37
Sean Monahan Wrist Shot saved by Justus Annunen
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:03
Matthew Wood faceoff won against Sean Monahan
· ·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:03
Puck in Netting
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·17:00
Kirill Marchenko shot blocked by Nicolas Hague
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·16:45
Takeaway by Nicolas Hague
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·16:41
Giveaway by Nicolas Hague
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·16:39
Giveaway by Damon Severson
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·15:57
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Steven Stamkos
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·15:57
Goalie Stopped
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·15:54
Jonathan Marchessault Snap Shot Wide Right
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·15:48
Charlie Coyle hit Brady Skjei
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·15:37
Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Erik Haula
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·15:37
Goalie Stopped
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·15:35
Zachary L'Heureux Tip-In saved by Jet Greaves
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·15:25
Brady Skjei shot blocked by Mathieu Olivier
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·14:37
Dante Fabbro hit Matthew Wood
· ·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·14:23
Sean Monahan Backhand Wide Right
·
NSH 2·CBJ 3
3rd·14:12
Sean Monahan faceoff won against Matthew Wood
· ·
NSH 2·CBJ 3

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH +110/CBJ -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off Nashville Predators, 3–2.

NSH +1.5 cashed (CBJ won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

61.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
61.1%
P(CBJ win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.1%
P(CBJ win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.1%
P(CBJ win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in NSH at CBJ?: The model favors CBJ, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

Team pages

Nashville PredatorsColumbus Blue Jackets

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