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FINAL+1CBJ
NSH

NSH

27-26-8

23
CBJ

CBJ

31-21-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Mar 3FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCBJ -130

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off Nashville Predators, 3–2.

NSH +1.5 cashed (CBJ won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NSH · top performer

NSH
Luke Evangelista

Luke Evangelista

RW · #77

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Charlie Coyle

Charlie Coyle

C · #3

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Nashville Predators at Columbus Blue Jackets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
3
NSH27-26-8CBJ31-21-8
NSH

NSH

27-26-8

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CBJ

CBJ

31-21-8

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

4

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 10CBJCBJ1@NSHNSH2
Mar 4NSHNSH2@CBJCBJ3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CBJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NSHNSH+11048%
CBJCBJ-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗SpreadBet CBJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat NSH 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
NSH1102
CBJ1023

Period scoring

NSH won 1 · CBJ won 1

1
1

1

1
0

2

0
2

3

NSH
CBJ

Play-by-play · 322 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  3. 3rd·19:53

    Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Erik Gudbranson

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  4. 3rd·19:40

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  5. 3rd·19:40

    Off-side

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  6. 3rd·19:37

    Isac Lundeström hit Nick Blankenburg

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  7. 3rd·18:15

    Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Charlie Coyle

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  8. 3rd·17:54

    Filip Forsberg shot blocked by Erik Gudbranson

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  9. 3rd·17:49

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Charlie Coyle

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  10. 3rd·17:49

    Icing

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  11. 3rd·17:40

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  12. 3rd·17:40

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  13. 3rd·17:37

    Sean Monahan Wrist Shot saved by Justus Annunen

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  14. 3rd·17:03

    Matthew Wood faceoff won against Sean Monahan

    · ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  15. 3rd·17:03

    Puck in Netting

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  16. 3rd·17:00

    Kirill Marchenko shot blocked by Nicolas Hague

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  17. 3rd·16:45

    Takeaway by Nicolas Hague

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  18. 3rd·16:41

    Giveaway by Nicolas Hague

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  19. 3rd·16:39

    Giveaway by Damon Severson

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  20. 3rd·15:57

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Steven Stamkos

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  21. 3rd·15:57

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  22. 3rd·15:54

    Jonathan Marchessault Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  23. 3rd·15:48

    Charlie Coyle hit Brady Skjei

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  24. 3rd·15:37

    Charlie Coyle faceoff won against Erik Haula

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  25. 3rd·15:37

    Goalie Stopped

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  26. 3rd·15:35

    Zachary L'Heureux Tip-In saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  27. 3rd·15:25

    Brady Skjei shot blocked by Mathieu Olivier

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  28. 3rd·14:37

    Dante Fabbro hit Matthew Wood

    · ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  29. 3rd·14:23

    Sean Monahan Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

  30. 3rd·14:12

    Sean Monahan faceoff won against Matthew Wood

    · ·

    NSH 2·CBJ 3

Team stats

NSH

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

25

Shots

27

50.0

PCT

0.0

8

PIM

4

32

Faceoffs W

32

16

Blocks

16

15

Giveaways

12

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

CBJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·NSH +110/CBJ -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CBJ win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR