
DET
33-18-6

COL
36-9-9
DET · top performer

Lucas Raymond
LW · #23
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
COL · top performer

Nathan MacKinnon
C · #29
0
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:39 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17:13 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:45 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17:14 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21:25 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11:31 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:31 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:02 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21:41 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 22:27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13:50 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18:21 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 27:34 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0 | 21 | 1.000 | 60:00 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:30 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8:47 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16:27 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:05 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:01 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:07 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:44 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:56 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 24:02 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:32 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17:33 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24:50 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15:58 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16:21 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20:19 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 57:14 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
14
Team stats
DET
Away
Stat
COL
Home
25
Shots
21
0.0
PCT
0.0
4
PIM
14
23
Faceoffs W
25
17
Blocks
15
10
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
2
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
COL -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 24 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
DET beat COL 2-0. L. Raymond led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 3 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Period scoring
DET won 2 · COL won 0
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 306 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 2·COL 0
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 2·COL 0
- 3rd·19:59
Josh Manson shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
·
DET 2·COL 0
- 3rd·19:39
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Jack Drury
·
DET 2·COL 0
- 3rd·19:39
Icing
DET 2·COL 0
- 3rd·19:29
Jack Drury faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
DET 2·COL 0
- 3rd·19:29
Valeri Nichushkin Misconduct
DET 2·COL 0
- 3rd·19:29
Lucas Raymond Goal (19) Wrist Shot, assists: Dylan Larkin (25)
·
DET 2·COL 0
- 3rd·19:22
Ben Chiarot hit Brock Nelson
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·18:39
J.T. Compher faceoff won against Nathan MacKinnon
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·18:39
On-Ice Official
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·18:22
Victor Olofsson hit Jacob Bernard-Docker
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·18:10
Ben Chiarot shot blocked by Brent Burns
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·18:07
Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·18:05
Moritz Seider hit Nathan MacKinnon
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·16:56
Cale Makar Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson
· ·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·16:52
Brock Nelson faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·16:52
Goalie Stopped
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·16:50
Devon Toews Backhand saved by John Gibson
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·16:46
Dylan Larkin hit Valeri Nichushkin
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·16:43
Ben Chiarot hit Nathan MacKinnon
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·16:06
Parker Kelly hit Andrew Copp
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·14:52
Devon Toews hit Marco Kasper
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·14:44
Valeri Nichushkin hit Lucas Raymond
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·14:40
Valeri Nichushkin shot blocked by Moritz Seider
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·14:27
Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Dylan Larkin
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·14:27
Goalie Stopped
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·14:25
Ben Chiarot Wrist Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·14:20
Andrew Copp Wrist Shot saved by Mackenzie Blackwood
·
DET 1·COL 0
- 3rd·14:18
Andrew Copp Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
DET 1·COL 0
Betting line
COL -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET +160/COL -192
Recap · NHL
etroit Red Wings went into Colorado Avalanche and beat them, 2–0.
DET +1.5 cashed (COL lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 4.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
63.4%
ensemble · COL favored
Elo Static
63.4%
P(COL win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
63.4%
P(COL win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
63.4%
P(COL win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.