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FINAL+4DET
DET

DET

32-16-5

51
WPG

WPG

20-24-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 24FinalSeriesDET wins series 2-0VegasWPG -125

Recap · NHL

etroit Red Wings went into Winnipeg Jets and beat them, 5–1.

DET +1.5 cashed (WPG lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DET · top performer

DET
J.T. Compher

J.T. Compher

LW · #37

2Points

2

G

0

A

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

WPG
Morgan Barron

Morgan Barron

C · #36

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
1
DET32-16-5WPG20-24-7
DET

DET

32-16-5

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
WPG

WPG

20-24-7

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

6

Season series

DET wins series 2-0

Dec 31WPGWPG1@DETDET2
Jan 25DETDET5@WPGWPG1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET+10549%
WPGWPG-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat WPG 5-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
DET0145
WPG0101

Period scoring

DET won 1 · WPG won 0

0
0

1

1
1

2

4
0

3

DET
WPG

Play-by-play · 313 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    DET 5·WPG 1

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    DET 5·WPG 1

  3. 3rd·18:43

    Adam Lowry faceoff won against Michael Rasmussen

    ·

    DET 5·WPG 1

  4. 3rd·18:43

    Marco Kasper Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Lucas Raymond (40)

    ·

    DET 5·WPG 1

  5. 3rd·18:34

    Luke Schenn shot blocked by Lucas Raymond

    ·

    DET 4·WPG 1

  6. 3rd·18:11

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Morgan Barron

    ·

    DET 4·WPG 1

  7. 3rd·18:11

    Alex DeBrincat Goal (27) Snap Shot, assists: Andrew Copp (24), Patrick Kane (22)

    · ·

    DET 4·WPG 1

  8. 3rd·17:30

    Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Mason Appleton

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  9. 3rd·17:20

    Jonathan Toews Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  10. 3rd·16:33

    Giveaway by Lucas Raymond

    DET 3·WPG 1

  11. 3rd·16:06

    Nino Niederreiter Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  12. 3rd·15:53

    Takeaway by Moritz Seider

    DET 3·WPG 1

  13. 3rd·15:47

    Cole Koepke shot blocked by Moritz Seider

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  14. 3rd·15:47

    Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker

    DET 3·WPG 1

  15. 3rd·15:37

    Giveaway by Alex DeBrincat

    DET 3·WPG 1

  16. 3rd·15:25

    Tanner Pearson hit Andrew Copp

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  17. 3rd·15:22

    Morgan Barron shot blocked by Moritz Seider

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  18. 3rd·15:20

    Tanner Pearson shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  19. 3rd·14:53

    Mason Appleton hit Jonathan Toews

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  20. 3rd·14:49

    Michael Rasmussen Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck

    · ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  21. 3rd·14:41

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against J.T. Compher

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  22. 3rd·14:41

    Icing

    DET 3·WPG 1

  23. 3rd·13:47

    Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Patrick Kane

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  24. 3rd·13:02

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Andrew Copp

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  25. 3rd·13:02

    Icing

    DET 3·WPG 1

  26. 3rd·12:48

    Elias Salomonsson Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  27. 3rd·12:29

    Elias Salomonsson Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  28. 3rd·12:28

    Jonathan Toews faceoff won against J.T. Compher

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

  29. 3rd·12:28

    Goalie Stopped

    DET 3·WPG 1

  30. 3rd·12:26

    Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 3·WPG 1

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

31

Shots

27

0.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

6

33

Faceoffs W

27

14

Blocks

15

15

Giveaways

12

6

Takeaways

4

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·DET +105/WPG -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
    DIST MI293.099+
  • Moritz SeiderDET · D
    DIST MI299.899
  • Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
    SKATE MPH24.299
  • Morgan BarronWPG · C
    SHOT MPH95.697
  • Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
    DIST MI282.397

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · WPG favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WPG win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+105

Close price

+105

Open no-vig

46.8%

Close no-vig

46.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR