
DET
32-16-5

WPG
20-24-7
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
etroit Red Wings went into Winnipeg Jets and beat them, 5–1.
DET +1.5 cashed (WPG lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DET · top performer

J.T. Compher
LW · #37
2
G
0
A
—
SOG
WPG · top performer

Morgan Barron
C · #36
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Winnipeg Jets · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


DET
32-16-5
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
WPG
20-24-7
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
2
PIM
6
Season series
DET wins series 2-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
WPG -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 11 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
DET beat WPG 5-1.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| WPG | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
DET won 1 · WPG won 0
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 313 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
DET 5·WPG 1
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DET 5·WPG 1
- 3rd·18:43
Adam Lowry faceoff won against Michael Rasmussen
·
DET 5·WPG 1
- 3rd·18:43
Marco Kasper Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Lucas Raymond (40)
·
DET 5·WPG 1
- 3rd·18:34
Luke Schenn shot blocked by Lucas Raymond
·
DET 4·WPG 1
- 3rd·18:11
Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Morgan Barron
·
DET 4·WPG 1
- 3rd·18:11
Alex DeBrincat Goal (27) Snap Shot, assists: Andrew Copp (24), Patrick Kane (22)
· ·
DET 4·WPG 1
- 3rd·17:30
Elias Salomonsson shot blocked by Mason Appleton
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·17:20
Jonathan Toews Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·16:33
Giveaway by Lucas Raymond
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·16:06
Nino Niederreiter Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·15:53
Takeaway by Moritz Seider
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·15:47
Cole Koepke shot blocked by Moritz Seider
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·15:47
Giveaway by Jacob Bernard-Docker
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·15:37
Giveaway by Alex DeBrincat
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·15:25
Tanner Pearson hit Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·15:22
Morgan Barron shot blocked by Moritz Seider
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·15:20
Tanner Pearson shot blocked by Jacob Bernard-Docker
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·14:53
Mason Appleton hit Jonathan Toews
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·14:49
Michael Rasmussen Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·14:41
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·14:41
Icing
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·13:47
Josh Morrissey shot blocked by Patrick Kane
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·13:02
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Andrew Copp
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·13:02
Icing
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·12:48
Elias Salomonsson Slap Shot Wide Right
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·12:29
Elias Salomonsson Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·12:28
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against J.T. Compher
·
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·12:28
Goalie Stopped
DET 3·WPG 1
- 3rd·12:26
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson
·
DET 3·WPG 1
Team stats
DET
Away
Stat
WPG
Home
31
Shots
27
0.0
PCT
0.0
2
PIM
6
33
Faceoffs W
27
14
Blocks
15
15
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
4
Betting line
WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·DET +105/WPG -125
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Kyle ConnorWPG · LWDIST MI293.099+
Moritz SeiderDET · DDIST MI299.899
Cole KoepkeWPG · LWSKATE MPH24.299
Morgan BarronWPG · CSHOT MPH95.697
Josh MorrisseyWPG · DDIST MI282.397
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · WPG favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+105
Close price
+105
Open no-vig
46.8%
Close no-vig
46.8%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit