NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CAR

CAR

32-15-5

OTT

23-21-7

NHLSat, Jan 24FinalSeriesCAR leads series 1-0VegasCAR -135

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into Ottawa Senators and beat them, 4–1.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

Seth Jarvis

C · #24

2Points

—

SOG

OTT · top performer

Claude Giroux

RW · #28

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
S. AhoC · #20	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	18:35
J. BlakeRW · #53	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	12:41
W. CarrierLW · #28	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	11:23
N. EhlersLW · #27	0	1	-1	1	0	1	0	17:44
T. HallLW · #71	1	0	1	1	0	0	12	9:59
M. JankowskiLW · #77	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	13:23
S. JarvisC · #24	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	18:42
J. KotkaniemiC · #82	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	11:31
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	17:49
J. StaalC · #11	0	0	-1	1	1	2	0	17:48
L. StankovenC · #22	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	11:55
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	1	0	1	2	1	0	0	15:57

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	2	1	1	2	0	0	24:20
K. MillerD · #19	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	22:37
A. NikishinD · #21	0	1	1	1	1	0	2	16:30
J. NystromD · #64	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	9:40
J. SlavinD · #74	0	0	1	0	0	5	0	23:36
S. WalkerD · #26	0	0	0	2	2	0	4	17:50

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
B. BussiG · #32	37	1	36	.973	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. AmadioRW · #22	0	0	-2	1	1	0	0	13:35
D. BathersonRW · #19	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	19:23
N. CousinsC · #21	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	10:31
D. CozensC · #24	0	0	-1	3	6	0	0	19:21
L. EllerC · #89	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	10:42
C. GirouxRW · #28	0	1	1	2	3	1	2	17:17
R. GreigC · #71	0	0	0	4	3	3	0	16:22
S. HallidayC · #83	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	11:52
S. PintoC · #12	0	0	-1	4	2	0	0	16:09
T. StutzleC · #18	1	0	0	5	3	2	0	20:58
B. TkachukLW · #7	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	18:58
F. ZetterlundLW · #20	0	0	-3	2	2	2	0	11:29

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
T. ChabotD · #72	0	0	-2	3	0	1	0	19:11
T. KlevenD · #43	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	20:54
N. MatinpaloD · #33	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:26
J. SandersonD · #85	0	1	0	3	0	1	4	23:55
J. SpenceD · #10	0	0	-2	1	1	2	0	13:42
A. ZubD · #2	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	17:17

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. ReimerG · #47	19	4	15	.789	56:08

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

Apr 18

OTT0@

CAR2

Apr 20

OTT2@

CAR3

Apr 23

CAR2@

OTT1

Apr 25

CAR4@

OTT2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CAR-13557%

OTT+11447%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 16 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat OTT 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CAR	3	1	0	4
OTT	0	1	0	1

Period scoring

CAR won 1 · OTT won 0

CAR

OTT

Play-by-play · 306 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·19:59
Fabian Zetterlund Tip-In saved by Brandon Bussi
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·19:35
Lars Eller faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·19:35
Puck in Benches
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·19:13
Brady Tkachuk Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·19:06
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·19:06
Icing
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:51
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:51
Goalie Stopped
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:49
Drake Batherson Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:47
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:47
Icing
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:39
Dylan Cozens hit Jalen Chatfield
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:36
Tim Stützle shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:35
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:35
Icing
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:24
Claude Giroux shot blocked by Jaccob Slavin
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:22
Drake Batherson Slap Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:21
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:21
Puck in Netting
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:18
Tim Stützle Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:17
Claude Giroux faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·18:17
Icing
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·17:43
Alexander Nikishin Wrist Shot Wide Right
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·17:36
Sean Walker hit Claude Giroux
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·17:34
Jalen Chatfield hit Ridly Greig
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·17:29
Takeaway by Shane Pinto
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·17:26
Thomas Chabot shot blocked by Ridly Greig
·
CAR 4·OTT 1
3rd·17:17
Shane Pinto hit Sebastian Aho
·
CAR 4·OTT 1

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

OTT

Home

Shots

25.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR -135/OTT +114

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Sebastian AhoCAR · C
DIST MI60.999
Taylor HallCAR · LW
BURSTS5998
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
BURSTS5897
Seth JarvisCAR · C
DIST MI56.197
Sean WalkerCAR · D
SKATE MPH22.997

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

51.6%

ensemble · OTT favored

Elo Static
51.1%
P(OTT win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
51.1%
P(OTT win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
51.1%
P(OTT win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+114

Close price

+114

Open no-vig

44.9%

Close no-vig

44.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss