Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons: Live Score & Box Score

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta, GA

HALFTIME+24DEN

DEN

0-0

240

ATL

0-0

NFL · Drive chart

13 drives · 2 TD · 1 FG · 1 INT · 8 Punt

TDDEN6p · 69y
PuntATL3p · 2y
PuntDEN8p · 31y
PuntATL5p · 17y
FGDEN9p · 64y
INTATL2p
TDDEN5p · 48y
PuntATL3p · 6y
PuntDEN3p · -8y
InterATL14p · 59y
PuntATL3p
PuntDEN3p · 1y
PuntATL5p · 21y

Ensemble breakdown

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · ATL favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
33%
weight
Qb Elo
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
33%
weight
Dvoa Proxy
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(ATL win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Live model · pick

Receipts

Player props

Tale of the tape

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

DEN

league avg

ATL

24.0

Pts / game

◀

23.5

19.4

350

Yds / game

◀

342

344

231

Pass yds / G

◀

225

218

119

Rush yds / G

117

▶

126

0.8

TO / G

0.9

0.8

Team pages

Denver BroncosAtlanta Falcons

Elsewhere in the NFL

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Lil'Jordan Humphrey · #5	1	3	0	3
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Hakeem Butler · #30	0	0	0	0
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Player
JL Skinner · #34	4	3	0	1
Devon Key · #26	3	2	0	0
Jahdae Barron · #23	3	2	0	0
Jonathon Cooper · #0	2	2	0	0
Reese Taylor · #35	2	2	0	0
Karene Reid · #47	2	2	0	0
Red Murdock · #50	2	2	0	0
Alex Singleton · #49	2	1	0	0
Dondrea Tillman · #92	2	1	0	0
Justin Strnad · #40	1	1	0	0
Levelle Bailey · #56	1	1	0	0
Jonah Elliss · #52	1	1	0	0
Brent Austin · #25D	1	1	0	0
Lil'Jordan Humphrey · #5	1	0	0	0
Drew Sanders · #41	1	0	0	0
Jaleel McLaughlin · #38	1	0	0	0
Malcolm Roach · #97	0	0	0	0
Jordan Jackson · #94	0	0	0	0
Riley Moss · #21	0	0	0	0
Que Robinson · #51	0	0	0	0
Team	29	21	0	1

Player
Jahdae Barron · #23	1	97	1
Riley Moss · #21	1	2	0
Team	2	99	1

3 sub-models, blended.

Tale of the tape

3 sub-models, blended.

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense

Interceptions

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Kicking

Punting

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Fumbles

Defense

Kick Returns

Punt Returns

Punting

Tale of the tape

Player
Cooper Rush · #13	7/19	62	0	2
Tua Tagovailoa · #1	3/5	22	0	0
Team	10/24	84	0	2

Player
Tyler Goodson · #25	5	20	0	8
Brian Robinson Jr. · #15	2	6	0	6
Nathan Carter · #38	2	6	0	4
Zachariah Branch · #17	1	3	0	3
Tua Tagovailoa · #1	1	0	0	0
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Player
Chris Blair · #19	2	37	0	21
Kyle Pitts Sr. · #8	3	22	0	11
Dylan Drummond · #80	1	14	0	14
Zachariah Branch · #17	2	6	0	7
Vinny Anthony II · #86	1	5	0	5
Tyler Goodson · #25	1	0	0	0
Jack Velling · #84	0	0	0	0
Team	10	84	0	21

Player
Sydney Brown · #29	6	1	0	0
DeMarcco Hellams · #23	4	3	0	0
Christian Harris · #45	4	1	0	0
Mike Hughes · #21	3	1	0	0
Cameron Thomas · #99	3	1	0	0
Clark Phillips III · #22	3	1	0	0
Kendal Daniels · #53	3	0	0.5	0
A.J. Terrell Jr. · #24	2	1	0	0
Azeez Ojulari · #51	2	1	0.5	0
Brandon Dorlus · #54	2	1	0	0
Samson Ebukam · #52	1	1	0	0
C.J. Henderson · #26	1	1	0	0
Dylan Drummond · #80	1	1	0	0
Zach Harrison · #96	1	1	0	0
Harold Perkins Jr. · #56	1	1	0	0
James Pearce Jr. · #27	1	1	0	0
Malcolm DeWalt IV · #36	1	1	0	0
Chris Williams · #93	1	0	0	0
Darnay Holmes · #30	1	0	0	0
JD Bertrand · #40	1	0	0	0
Team	42	18	1	0

Player
Vinny Anthony II · #86	3	90	32	0
Olamide Zaccheaus · #14	1	24	24	0
Team	4	114	32	0

Player
Jake Bailey · #16	4	198	49.5	2
Matthew Hayball · #39S	1	44	44.0	1
Team	5	242	48.4	3

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Wil Lutz · #3	1/1	43	3/3	6
Team	1/1	43	3/3	6

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jeremy Crawshaw · #16	3	147	49.0	2
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