HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
MLBTop 5
BAL 2@TB 2
-13.0pphigh
MLBTop 6
WSH 1@NYM 0
-37.5ppmedium
MLBTop 6
ARI 1@ATL 0
-46.5ppmedium
MLBTop 6
NYY 1@TOR 0
-28.1ppmedium
MLBMid 2
SEA 2@HOU 1
-27.5ppmedium
MLBBot 5
SD 5@CLE 3
-47.5pplow
MLBBot 7
CHW 8@DET 3
-50.7pplow
MLBTop 7
BOS 2@PIT 7
+58.1pplow
WNBAHalftime
DAL 37@IND 35
NFLHalftime
TB 10@NYJ 13
NFLHalftime
MIA 7@WSH 17
NFLHalftime
DEN 24@ATL 0
TONIGHTGraded picks 1-0 so far (MLB 1-0)
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Cavalli (WSH): 8.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CHC — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBB. Ashcraft (PIT): 9.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over MIA — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Flores Jr. (PIT): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over MIA — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBNationals: Sent LHP DJ Herz on a rehab assignment to Harrisburg (EL) (Aug 14)
TRANSACTION · MLBCardinals: Optioned 3B César Prieto to Memphis (IL) (Aug 14)
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Agreed to terms with RHP Casey Lawrence on a minor league contract (Aug 14)
MLBTop 5
BAL 2@TB 2
-13.0pphigh
MLBTop 6
WSH 1@NYM 0
-37.5ppmedium
MLBTop 6
ARI 1@ATL 0
-46.5ppmedium
MLBTop 6
NYY 1@TOR 0
-28.1ppmedium
MLBMid 2
SEA 2@HOU 1
-27.5ppmedium
MLBBot 5
SD 5@CLE 3
-47.5pplow
MLBBot 7
CHW 8@DET 3
-50.7pplow
MLBTop 7
BOS 2@PIT 7
+58.1pplow
WNBAHalftime
DAL 37@IND 35
NFLHalftime
TB 10@NYJ 13
NFLHalftime
MIA 7@WSH 17
NFLHalftime
DEN 24@ATL 0
TONIGHTGraded picks 1-0 so far (MLB 1-0)
LAST NIGHT · MLBC. Cavalli (WSH): 8.0 IP · 10 K in a win over CHC — Standout Index 95
LAST NIGHT · MLBB. Ashcraft (PIT): 9.0 IP · 10 K · 1 ER in a win over MIA — Standout Index 93
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Flores Jr. (PIT): 2 H · 2 HR · 6 RBI in a win over MIA — Standout Index 91
TRANSACTION · MLBNationals: Sent LHP DJ Herz on a rehab assignment to Harrisburg (EL) (Aug 14)
TRANSACTION · MLBCardinals: Optioned 3B César Prieto to Memphis (IL) (Aug 14)
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Agreed to terms with RHP Casey Lawrence on a minor league contract (Aug 14)
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THE ONE Analytics
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TB logo
TB
10
LiveHalftime
NYJ logo
NYJ
13
Updated 8:41 PM ET
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
HALFTIME+3NYJ↑
TB

TB

0-0

10
13
NYJ

NYJ

0-0

NFL · Drive chart

11 drives · 1 TD · 3 FG · 1 INT · 5 Punt
  1. PuntTB3p · -3y
  2. FGNYJ12p · 65y
  3. PuntTB5p · 12y
  4. TDNYJ4p · 48y
  5. FGTB14p · 63y
  6. InterNYJ3p · 3y
  7. INTNYJ2p · -9y
  8. PuntTB3p · -1y
  9. PuntNYJ3p · 1y
  10. PuntTB3p · -1y
  11. FGNYJ10p · 54y
Ensemble breakdown
Live model · pick
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Player props

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21+

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Team pages

Tampa Bay BuccaneersatNew York Jets

Elsewhere in the NFL

  • Dolphins7@Commanders17Halftime
  • Broncos24@Falcons0Halftime

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · NYJ favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Qb Elo

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYJ win)

    33%

    weight

  • Dvoa Proxy

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYJ win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

68%Last 7 · 67-31
63%Last 30 · 287-167
Receipts →

On the call · NFL

5 officials

Line Judge

Tim Podraza

Side Judge

Allen Baynes

Back Judge

Matt Edwards

Umpire

Duane Heydt

Line Judge

Brett Bergman

Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.

QB · live passing line

ESPN leaders · live

C. Bazelak

TB · #16 · QB

72 yds12/20 · 0 TD · 0 INT

C. Klubnik

NYJ · #10 · QB

56 yds5/7 · 0 TD · 0 INT

Recent plays · last 8

ESPN PBP · live
  1. NYJ · Official Timeout1st & 10 · no gainQ2
  2. NYJ · Pass Incompletion1st & 10 · no gainQ2
  3. NYJ · Rush2nd & 10 · -8 ydsQ2
  4. NYJ · Timeout3rd & 18 · no gainQ2
  5. NYJ · Timeout3rd & 18 · no gainQ2
  6. NYJ · Pass Reception3rd & 18 · +8 ydsQ2
  7. NYJ · Timeout4th & 10 · no gainQ2
  8. NYJ · Field Goal Good4th & 10 · +38 ydsQ2
NFL·Fri, Aug 14·Halftime/VegasNYJ -5.5
Updated 0s ago

TB · top performer

TB
Connor Bazelak

Connor Bazelak

· #16

72Pass yds

12/20

C/A

0

TD

0

INT

NYJ · top performer

NYJ
Cade Klubnik

Cade Klubnik

· #10

56Pass yds

5/7

C/A

0

TD

0

INT

Game flowTB ↔ NYJ

Recent swing: 5pp · —

NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New York Jets · live

NFL · Box score

Halftime

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Connor Bazelak · #16
12/207200
Team12/206500

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Sean Tucker · #44
41204
Connor Bazelak · #16
1808
Dennis Houston · #89
1000
Team62008

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Dennis Houston · #89
223019
Ted Hurst III · #17
219012
Dean Patterson · #8O
41807
Sean Tucker · #44
21108
Josh Williams · #18
1202
Garrett Greene · #85
0000
Bauer Sharp · #84
1-10-1
Team1272019

Fumbles

fumbles box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Josh Williams · #18
100
Team100

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Damarion Williams · #28
5411
Roman Parodie · #37
4200
Xavier Williams · #26
3300
Rashad Wisdom · #38
3100
Elijah Roberts · #95
2212
Nick Jackson · #53
2200
Ayden Garnes · #24
2201
Keionte Scott · #22
2200
Josiah Trotter · #45
2100
Ifeatu Melifonwu · #35
1100
Devin Culp · #82
1100
Mohamed Kamara · #59
1101
David Walker · #51
1100
Anthony Nelson · #98
1000
Evan Deckers · #86
1000
Jayson Jones · #93
1000
John Bullock · #30
1000
Josiah Green · #96
1000
Team342325

Interceptions

interceptions box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Ayden Garnes · #24
1471
Rashad Wisdom · #38
120
Team2491

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Kadarius Calloway · #49
239290
Garrett Greene · #85
128280
Team367290

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Chase McLaughlin · #4
1/1231/14
Team1/1231/14

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Riley Dixon · #9
419348.30
Team419348.30

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Cade Klubnik · #10
5/75600
Bailey Zappe · #11
5/95102
Team10/169602

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Braelon Allen · #0
444131
Breece Hall · #20
416014
Kene Nwangwu · #3
6605
Team1466131

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Garrett Wilson · #5
232021
Omar Cooper Jr. · #83
231026
Mason Taylor · #85
219012
Jamaal Pritchett · #81
111011
Malik McClain · #84
1808
Kene Nwangwu · #3
1404
Jelani Woods · #86
1202
Arian Smith · #82
0000
Team10107026

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Marcelino McCrary-Ball · #41
4401
Jordan Clark · #33
4200
Dane Belton · #6
3100
Harrison Phillips · #97
2100
Kiko Mauigoa · #51
2100
Will McDonald IV · #9
1111
Andrew Beck · #47
1100
Minkah Fitzpatrick · #29
1100
Kene Nwangwu · #3
1100
Tre Brown · #30
1100
Andre Cisco · #8
1100
Nathan Voorhis · #69
1100
Mykal Walker · #43
1000
Jowon Briggs · #91
1000
Jarvis Brownlee Jr. · #2
1000
Dean Clark · #35D
1000
Braiden McGregor · #55
1000
David Bailey · #31
1000
Azareye'h Thomas · #1
1000
Mory Bamba · #38D
1000
Team301612

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jamaal Pritchett · #81
346190
Team346190

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Cade York · #36
2/2380/06
Jason Sanders · #19
0/001/11
Team2/2381/17

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Austin McNamara · #14
14848.00
Team14848.00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

85

Total yds

162

20

Rush yds

66

0

TO

2

Team stats

TB

Away

Stat

NYJ

Home

85

Total yards

162

20

Rushing yds

66

0

Turnovers

2

2-15

totalPenaltiesYards

0-0

14:52

possessionTime

15:08

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYJ -5.5

Between 3 and 7

Total

35.5

Defensive · -11.5 vs avg

Moneyline

TBTB+19034%
NYJNYJ-23070%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYJ -5.5↗SpreadBet NYJ -5.5↗

How it's going

NYJ lead TB 13-10 (Halftime). Cade Klubnik led the way — 5/7 · 56 YDS · 94.9 QBR. NYJ have outscored the other side 10-0 in the 1st quarter.

Linescore (quarters)

Team12T
TB01010
NYJ10313

Betting line

NYJ -5.5·O/U 35.5·TB +190/NYJ -230

DraftKings · via ESPN

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

5.5

+4.0 since open

Total

35.5

-1.0 since open

Win probability

NYJ vs TB

0255075100

Period scoring

TB won 1 · NYJ won 1

0
10

Q1

10
3

Q2

TB
NYJ

Play-by-play · 87 plays

event
  1. —

  2. —

    +2pp

  3. —

  4. —

    +4pp

  5. —

  6. —

    +2pp

  7. —

    −4pp

  8. —

    +1pp

  9. —

    BIG MOMENT

    +6pp

  10. —

    −3pp

  11. —

    +2pp

  12. —

    +4pp

  13. —

    +1pp

  14. —

  15. —

    −3pp

  16. —

    −3pp

  17. —

    +1pp

  18. —

  19. —

    +1pp

  20. —

  21. —

    −2pp

  22. —

    +2pp

  23. —

  24. —

    +1pp

  25. —

    +1pp

  26. —

    +0.6pp

  27. —

    +2pp

  28. —

  29. —

  30. —

    +2pp

Tale of the tape

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

TB

TB

league avg

NYJ

NYJ

22.9

Pts / game

◀

23.5

14.5

335

Yds / game

◀

342

287

221

Pass yds / G

◀

225

164

115

Rush yds / G

117

▶

123

0.8

TO / G

◀

0.9

1.1