NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+35TOR

BKN

20-62

101136

TOR

46-36

NBASun, Apr 12FinalSeriesTOR wins series 3-1VegasTOR -23.5

Recap · NBA

oronto Raptors held off Brooklyn Nets, 136–101. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

TOR -23.5 cashed (won by 35). Total cleared the 218.5 OVER by 18.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BKN · top performer

Chaney Johnson

F · #31

14.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

TOR · top performer

Scottie Barnes

F · #4

27.6Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
T. ScottF · #13	26	8	3-8	2-5	—	-17	3	1
E.J. LiddellF · #9	27	17	5-10	3-5	4-4	-18	4	1
M. SmithG · #18	36	8	3-9	2-6	—	-30	5	6
D. PowellG · #4	25	8	3-10	0-4	2-2	-32	1	0
B. SarafG · #77	26	15	6-10	0-1	3-4	-7	3	4
Bench
J. WilsonF · #22	26	9	3-9	—	3-6	-27	8	3
C. JohnsonF · #31	36	16	6-14	0-3	4-5	-23	13	2
T. EtienneG · #10	37	20	6-16	2-10	6-8	-21	1	4
Team		101	35-86	9-34	22-29		38	21
DNP: N. Claxton, D. Sharpe, O. Agbaji, N. Traore

DNP: N. Claxton, D. Sharpe, O. Agbaji, N. Traore

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
B. IngramF · #3	32	25	7-10	3-5	8-8	+22	9	2
R. BarrettF · #9	29	26	9-15	2-5	6-9	+22	3	2
S. BarnesF · #4	32	18	8-11	—	2-2	+35	12	12
J. PoeltlC · #19	19	11	5-5	—	1-5	+16	5	2
I. QuickleyG · #5	17	4	2-6	0-2	—	+7	2	5
Bench
S. MamukelashviliF · #54	18	9	4-5	1-2	—	+12	3	3
T. Jackson-DavisF · #32	5	4	2-3	—	—	+5	4	0
J. BattleF · #77	5	2	1-2	0-1	—	+5	0	0
C. Murray-BoylesF · #12	13	2	—	—	2-2	+12	2	2
J. MogboF · #2	5	2	1-1	—	—	+5	1	2
G. TempleG · #17	4	3	1-1	1-1	—	+5	1	1
A.J. LawsonG · #0	11	10	4-6	2-4	—	+10	0	0
J. SheadG · #23	20	6	3-6	0-2	—	+5	1	4
J. WalterG · #14	24	11	3-5	3-5	2-2	+9	0	1
G. DickG · #1	5	3	1-4	—	1-1	+5	0	0
Team		136	51-80	12-27	22-29		43	36

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Season series

TOR wins series 3-1

Nov 12

TOR119@

BKN109

Nov 23

BKN109@

TOR119

Dec 21

TOR81@

BKN96

Apr 12

BKN101@

TOR136today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

TOR -23.5

Between 10 and —

Total

218.5

Defensive · -7.5 vs avg

Moneyline

BKN+18005%

TOR-500098%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet TOR -23.5↗SpreadBet TOR -23.5↗

Line movement · 9 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

23.5

0.0 since open

Total

218.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowBKN ↔ TOR

BKN

C. Johnson

Game leader · 36 minDouble-double

16 PTS · 13 REB · 2 AST

TOR

S. Barnes

Game leader · 32 minTriple-double

18 PTS · 12 REB · 12 AST

How it ended

TOR beat BKN 136-101. S. Barnes stuffed the line with 18 PTS, 12 REB, and 12 AST. TOR outscored the other side 36-17 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

TOR vs BKN

Starters vs bench

production by unit

BKNstarters 55% of pts

Starters(5)

56 PTS · 16 REB · 12 AST

GS 33

Bench(3)

45 PTS · 22 REB · 9 AST

GS 33

TORstarters 62% of pts

Starters(5)

84 PTS · 31 REB · 23 AST

GS 85

Bench(10)

52 PTS · 12 REB · 13 AST

GS 48

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
BKN	27	34	23	17	101
TOR	32	38	30	36	136

Period scoring

BKN won 0 · TOR won 4

Liddell 11

Ingram 12

Saraf 9

Barrett 25

Etienne 7

Ingram 11

Etienne 7

Barrett 9

BKN

TOR

Shooting comparison

BKN

TOR

41%

35-86

64%

51-80

26%

9-34

3PT

44%

12-27

76%

22-29

76%

22-29

Play-by-play · 476 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
BKN 101·TOR 136
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
BKN 101·TOR 136
Q4·16.1
Tyson Etienne makes 24-foot running jump shot (Chaney Johnson assists)
·
BKN 101·TOR 136
Q4·19.7
Malachi Smith defensive rebound
BKN 98·TOR 136
Q4·22.9
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses 2-foot two point shot
BKN 98·TOR 136
Q4·42.5
Garrett Temple defensive rebound
BKN 98·TOR 136
Q4·45.6
Trevon Scott misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
BKN 98·TOR 136
Q4·52.8
Garrett Temple makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jonathan Mogbo assists)
·
BKN 98·TOR 136
Q4·1:04
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
BKN 98·TOR 133
Q4·1:07
Tyson Etienne misses 26-foot three point jumper
BKN 98·TOR 133
Q4·1:10
Trevon Scott offensive rebound
BKN 98·TOR 133
Q4·1:14
Drake Powell misses 26-foot three point jumper
BKN 98·TOR 133
Q4·1:30
Jamison Battle makes 6-foot floating jump shot (Garrett Temple assists)
·
BKN 98·TOR 133
Q4·1:41
Chaney Johnson makes 1-foot running dunk
BKN 98·TOR 131
Q4·1:44
Chaney Johnson defensive rebound
BKN 96·TOR 131
Q4·1:46
Gradey Dick misses two point shot
BKN 96·TOR 131
Q4·1:55
Malachi Smith lost ball turnover (Garrett Temple steals)
·
BKN 96·TOR 131
Q4·2:09
Jonathan Mogbo makes driving dunk
BKN 96·TOR 131
Q4·2:31
Tyson Etienne makes free throw 2 of 2
BKN 96·TOR 129
Q4·2:31
Tyson Etienne makes free throw 1 of 2
BKN 95·TOR 129
Q4·2:31
Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul
BKN 94·TOR 129
Q4·2:42
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes driving layup
BKN 94·TOR 129
Q4·3:01
Drake Powell makes 17-foot pullup jump shot (Tyson Etienne assists)
·
BKN 94·TOR 127
Q4·3:12
Gradey Dick makes free throw 1 of 1
BKN 92·TOR 127
Q4·3:12
Trevon Scott enters the game for E.J. Liddell
·
BKN 92·TOR 126
Q4·3:12
E.J. Liddell shooting foul
BKN 92·TOR 126
Q4·3:12
Gradey Dick makes running dunk (Jonathan Mogbo assists)
·
BKN 92·TOR 126
Q4·3:16
Drake Powell lost ball turnover (Jonathan Mogbo steals)
·
BKN 92·TOR 124
Q4·3:19
Drake Powell defensive rebound
BKN 92·TOR 124
Q4·3:21
Gradey Dick misses driving floating jump shot
BKN 92·TOR 124

Team stats

BKN

Away

Stat

TOR

Home

35-86

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

51-80

FG %

9-34

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

12-27

22-29

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

22-29

Assists

Turnovers

Betting line

TOR -23.5·O/U 218.5·BKN +1800/TOR -5000

DraftKings · via ESPN

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 7 players in cohort

Jakob PoeltlTOR · C
TS%69.899
Scottie BarnesTOR · F
DRIVES16.798
RJ BarrettTOR · F
DRIVES16.497
Brandon IngramTOR · F
USG%26.890
Sandro MamukelashviliTOR · F
TS%63.789

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · BKN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TOR win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TOR win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(TOR win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

TOR vs BKN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

175

projections · 155 high confidence

Points

Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
RJ BarrettTOR
21.8± 4.6high
Scottie BarnesTOR
20.0± 6.0high

Rebounds

Michael Porter Jr.BKN
6.9± 5.2high
Scottie BarnesTOR
6.7± 3.3high
Day'Ron SharpeBKN
6.5± 2.5high

Assists

Scottie BarnesTOR
7.1± 3.8high
Immanuel QuickleyTOR
5.1± 2.5high
Jamal SheadTOR
4.8± 1.8high

Blocks

Scottie BarnesTOR
1.5± 1.4high
Collin Murray-BoylesTOR
1.0± 1.0high
Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high

Steals

Chucky HepburnTOR
1.9± 2.1low
Ziaire WilliamsBKN
1.7± 1.6high
Immanuel QuickleyTOR
1.6± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

BKN

league avg

TOR

52.0%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

54.5%

44.3%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.1%

105.9

PPG

114.9

▶

114.3

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

▶

29.2

15.0

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

13.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR