CHA
44-38
NY
53-29
Recap · NBA
harlotte Hornets went into New York Knicks and beat them, 110–96.
NY +14.5 cashed (CHA won by 14). Total stayed UNDER 217.5 by 11.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHA · top performer
Coby White
G · #3
19
Pts
1
Reb
2
Ast
NY · top performer
Miles McBride
G · #2
21
Pts
3
Reb
1
Ast
NBA · Charlotte Hornets at New York Knicks · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 24 | 7 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | +6 | 1 | 2 | |
| 26 | 4 | 2-3 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 3 | |
| 27 | 19 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 6-7 | +8 | 3 | 2 | |
| 29 | 19 | 7-19 | 5-16 | — | +2 | 7 | 6 | |
| 31 | 14 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 1-1 | +15 | 6 | 5 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 21 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | — | +16 | 6 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -7 | 0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 9 | 4-4 | — | 1-1 | +13 | 5 | 2 | |
| 16 | 19 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 4-6 | +18 | 1 | 2 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | — | +9 | 2 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -7 | 0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-5 | — | +4 | 5 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -7 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team | 110 | 39-85 | 19-52 | 13-17 | 46 | 27 | ||
| DNP: X. Tillman, P. Connaughton | ||||||||
DNP: X. Tillman, P. Connaughton
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 34 | 5 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | -7 | 4 | 6 | |
| 30 | 8 | 4-8 | — | — | +1 | 9 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 34 | 16 | 6-16 | 4-9 | — | -19 | 5 | 7 | |
| 24 | 21 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | -1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 18 | 4 | 2-3 | — | — | -15 | 2 | 2 | |
| 20 | 12 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | -10 | 6 | 5 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 27 | 12 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | -15 | 4 | 2 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | — | -1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 25 | 14 | 6-11 | 2-6 | — | -3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 96 | 39-90 | 13-40 | 5-8 | 39 | 25 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
46
FG %
43
27
Ast
25
Season series
Series tied 2-2
NY129@CHA101CHA104@NY119NY103@CHA114CHA110@NY96todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CHA -14.5
Between 10 and —
Total
217.5
Defensive · -8.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CHA-90090%NY+60014%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 15 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
14.5
0.0 since open
Total
217.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 17pp · 1st Quarter · 1:42
CHAC. White
GGame leader · 16 min
19 PTS · 1 REB · 2 AST
NYM. McBride
GGame leader · 24 min
21 PTS · 3 REB · 1 AST
How it ended
CHA beat NY 110-96. C. White led with 19 PTS, 1 REB, 2 AST. CHA outscored the other side 30-20 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
NY vs CHA
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHAstarters 57% of ptsStarters(5)
63 PTS · 26 REB · 18 AST
GS 50
Bench(8)
47 PTS · 20 REB · 9 AST
GS 42
NYstarters 52% of ptsStarters(5)
50 PTS · 21 REB · 15 AST
GS 42
Bench(6)
46 PTS · 18 REB · 10 AST
GS 32
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactMohamed Diawara · enters the game for Miles McBride
Brandon Miller · makes free throw 1 of 2
Pacome Dadiet · lost ball turnover (Ryan Kalkbrenner steals)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA | 30 | 27 | 30 | 23 | 110 |
| NY | 20 | 24 | 29 | 23 | 96 |
Period scoring
CHA won 3 · NY won 0
Q1
White 10
McBride 10
Q2
Ball 9
McBride 8
Q3
White 9
Sochan 7
Q4
James 6
Sochan 21
Shooting comparison
46%
39-85
FG
43%
39-90
37%
19-52
3PT
33%
13-40
76%
13-17
FT
63%
5-8
Play-by-play · 454 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHA 110·NY 96
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHA 110·NY 96
- Q4·11.3
shot clock turnover
CHA 110·NY 96
- Q4·35.4
Pacome Dadiet makes 25-foot three point jumper (Mohamed Diawara assists)
·
CHA 110·NY 96
- Q4·49.6
Ryan Kalkbrenner makes two point shot
CHA 110·NY 93
- Q4·49.6
Ryan Kalkbrenner offensive rebound
CHA 108·NY 93
- Q4·51.2
Ariel Hukporti blocks Liam McNeeley 's 2-foot driving layup
·
CHA 108·NY 93
- Q4·1:11
Sion James defensive rebound
CHA 108·NY 93
- Q4·1:14
Kevin McCullar Jr. misses 28-foot three point jumper
CHA 108·NY 93
- Q4·1:22
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
CHA 108·NY 93
- Q4·1:25
Tre Mann misses 17-foot pullup jump shot
CHA 108·NY 93
- Q4·1:43
Mohamed Diawara makes running layup (Kevin McCullar Jr. assists)
·
CHA 108·NY 93
- Q4·1:48
Tidjane Salaun bad pass turnover (Kevin McCullar Jr. steals)
·
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·2:12
Sion James defensive rebound
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·2:14
Kevin McCullar Jr. misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·2:24
Mohamed Diawara enters the game for Jose Alvarado
·
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·2:24
Ryan Kalkbrenner offensive foul turnover
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·2:24
Ryan Kalkbrenner offensive foul
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·2:41
Liam McNeeley defensive rebound
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·2:44
Ryan Kalkbrenner blocks Jose Alvarado 's 11-foot pullup jump shot
·
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·3:02
Sion James makes 25-foot three point jumper (Liam McNeeley assists)
·
CHA 108·NY 91
- Q4·3:21
Pacome Dadiet makes 5-foot pullup jump shot (Jose Alvarado assists)
·
CHA 105·NY 91
- Q4·3:32
Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
CHA 105·NY 89
- Q4·3:34
Tidjane Salaun misses driving floating jump shot
CHA 105·NY 89
−1pp
- Q4·4:00
Jose Alvarado makes 27-foot three pointer
CHA 105·NY 89
- Q4·4:01
Tre Mann bad pass turnover (Jose Alvarado steals)
·
CHA 105·NY 86
- Q4·4:07
Kevin McCullar Jr. makes 9-foot driving floating jump shot
CHA 105·NY 86
- Q4·4:10
Kevin McCullar Jr. offensive rebound
CHA 105·NY 84
- Q4·4:12
Jose Alvarado misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
CHA 105·NY 84
- Q4·4:18
Tidjane Salaun enters the game for Grant Williams
·
CHA 105·NY 84
Team stats
CHA
Away
Stat
NY
Home
39-85
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
39-90
46
FG %
43
19-52
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
13-40
13-17
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
5-8
27
Assists
25
17
Turnovers
10
Betting line
CHA -14.5·O/U 217.5·CHA -900/NY +600
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 6 players in cohort
Ariel HukportiNY · CTS%61.980
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · CHA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NY vs CHA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
180
projections · 160 high confidence
Points
- Jalen BrunsonNY27.4± 9.6high
- LaMelo BallCHA22.2± 8.0high
- Brandon MillerCHA18.8± 5.5high
Rebounds
- Karl-Anthony TownsNY10.8± 3.1high
- Moussa DiabateCHA8.8± 2.9high
- Josh HartNY8.4± 3.0high
Assists
- LaMelo BallCHA7.3± 2.5high
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.2± 3.2high
- Josh HartNY4.6± 1.9high
Blocks
- Ryan KalkbrennerCHA1.3± 1.3high
- OG AnunobyNY1.0± 1.0high
- Moussa DiabateCHA0.9± 1.1high
Steals
- Josh HartNY1.5± 1.4high
- OG AnunobyNY1.5± 1.3high
- Jalen BrunsonNY1.2± 1.8high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
CHA
league avg
NY
55.0%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.9%
45.9%
FG%
47.0
▶48.0%
115.8
PPG
114.9
116.4
26.2
Assists / G
25.0
▶27.0
14.4
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶12.7