NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CAR

BOS

43-26-10

CAR

50-22-6

NHLTue, Apr 7FinalSeriesCAR wins series 2-1VegasCAR -185

BOS · top performer

Morgan Geekie

C · #39

3Points

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

Andrei Svechnikov

RW · #37

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. ArvidssonLW · #71	0	2	1	1	0	1	0	15:54
M. GeekieC · #39	3	0	1	4	1	0	0	17:37
T. JeannotLW · #84	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9:54
M. KastelicC · #47	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	6:20
M. KhusnutdinovC · #92	0	0	-2	1	2	0	0	17:16
S. KuralyC · #52	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	9:15
E. LindholmC · #28	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	21:39
F. MintenC · #93	0	0	-1	0	2	1	0	17:00
C. MittelstadtC · #11	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	16:32
D. PastrnakRW · #88	0	2	1	1	0	0	2	20:09
A. SteevesC · #21	0	0	-1	1	3	0	0	10:13
P. ZachaC · #18	1	1	0	2	0	0	0	16:59

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. AspirotD · #45	0	0	-2	2	2	2	0	17:29
H. LindholmD · #27	1	0	3	2	0	0	0	22:19
M. LohreiD · #6	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	14:04
C. McAvoyD · #73	0	2	-1	0	0	0	2	26:29
A. PeekeD · #26	0	0	-1	0	2	3	0	18:55
N. ZadorovD · #91	0	2	0	1	4	1	2	18:41

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. SwaymanG · #1	24	5	19	.792	28:33
J. KorpisaloG · #70	17	1	16	.941	32:40

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AhoC · #20	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	18:40
J. BlakeRW · #53	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	20:12
W. CarrierLW · #28	1	0	1	3	4	0	0	6:39
N. DeslauriersLW · #44	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	6:55
N. EhlersLW · #27	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	19:18
T. HallLW · #71	1	1	0	3	1	0	0	19:24
M. JankowskiLW · #77	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	8:05
S. JarvisC · #24	0	0	-1	2	0	0	0	18:03
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	14:49
J. StaalC · #11	0	1	0	2	5	1	0	17:36
L. StankovenC · #22	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	20:02
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	1	1	0	5	6	0	0	15:17

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:54
S. GostisbehereD · #4	0	0	-2	1	3	3	0	19:11
K. MillerD · #19	1	0	-1	6	1	2	0	19:32
A. NikishinD · #21	0	1	2	3	1	0	0	20:43
J. SlavinD · #74	1	0	-1	4	0	1	0	21:53
S. WalkerD · #26	0	2	1	2	4	1	0	19:26

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BussiG · #32	21	5	16	.762	61:13

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

CAR wins series 2-1

Nov 1

CAR1@

BOS2

Nov 18

CAR3@

BOS1

Apr 7

BOS5@

CAR6today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS+15439%

CAR-18565%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 75 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat BOS 6-5. A. Svechnikov led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 5 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
BOS	3	1	1	0	5
CAR	2	3	0	1	6

Period scoring

BOS won 2 · CAR won 2

BOS

CAR

Play-by-play · 353 plays

period

event

player

OT·1:13
Game End
BOS 5·CAR 6
OT·1:13
End of OT
BOS 5·CAR 6
OT·1:13
Jaccob Slavin Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Sebastian Aho (53), Andrei Svechnikov (39)
· ·
BOS 5·CAR 6
OT·0:00
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 5·CAR 5
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·19:54
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Fraser Minten
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·19:54
Off-side
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·19:41
Giveaway by Charlie McAvoy
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·19:34
Sean Walker hit Morgan Geekie
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·19:25
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Elias Lindholm
· ·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·19:25
Puck in Netting
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·19:11
Sean Walker Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·18:49
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·18:49
Icing
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·18:44
Giveaway by Pavel Zacha
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·17:49
Giveaway by K'Andre Miller
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·17:27
Sean Walker hit Casey Mittelstadt
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·16:45
David Pastrnak shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·16:44
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·16:44
Jordan Martinook Interference against Jonathan Aspirot
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·16:05
Logan Stankoven hit Hampus Lindholm
· ·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·15:38
Jackson Blake Snap Shot Wide Right
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·15:26
Logan Stankoven faceoff won against Fraser Minten
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·15:26
Goalie Stopped
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·15:23
Sebastian Aho Snap Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·15:05
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by Shayne Gostisbehere
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·14:56
Giveaway by Andrei Svechnikov
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·14:48
Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Sebastian Aho
·
BOS 5·CAR 5
3rd·14:48
Goalie Stopped
BOS 5·CAR 5

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS +154/CAR -185

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Boston Bruins, 6–5 in overtime.

BOS +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL EDGE · Possession & xG

Our PBP model

Shot-share, expected goals, and goalie goals-saved-above-expected — the control layer the box score can't show.

Skater · drove playTOIiXGCF%xGF%

Morgan Geekie · BOS17:420.6250.0%41.0%17:42 TOI · 0.62 iXG · 50.0% CF · 41.0% xGF
Andrei Svechnikov · CAR15:300.5971.1%80.3%15:30 TOI · 0.59 iXG · 71.1% CF · 80.3% xGF
Sebastian Aho · CAR18:420.5567.5%76.0%18:42 TOI · 0.55 iXG · 67.5% CF · 76.0% xGF
Jordan Staal · CAR17:480.5470.4%74.0%17:48 TOI · 0.54 iXG · 70.4% CF · 74.0% xGF
K'Andre Miller · CAR19:540.4957.5%75.2%19:54 TOI · 0.49 iXG · 57.5% CF · 75.2% xGF
William Carrier · CAR6:420.3961.5%78.2%6:42 TOI · 0.39 iXG · 61.5% CF · 78.2% xGF

GoalieSV–GASV%GSAx

Joonas Korpisalo · BOS16–1.941+1.2816–1 · .941 SV% · +1.28 GSAx
Jeremy Swayman · BOS19–5.792-2.4519–5 · .792 SV% · -2.45 GSAx
Brandon Bussi · CAR16–5.762-3.0116–5 · .762 SV% · -3.01 GSAx

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

62.3%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
62.3%
P(CAR win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
62.3%
P(CAR win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
62.3%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Boston BruinsCarolina Hurricanes

Elsewhere in the NHL