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FINAL+1CBJ
CBJ

CBJ

39-27-12

43
DET

DET

40-29-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Apr 7FinalSeriesCBJ win series 2-1VegasDET -110

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets went into Detroit Red Wings and beat them, 4–3.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CBJ · top performer

CBJ
Adam Fantilli

Adam Fantilli

C · #19

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

DET · top performer

DET
Dylan Larkin

Dylan Larkin

C · #71

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Columbus Blue Jackets at Detroit Red Wings · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
4
3
CBJ39-27-12DET40-29-9
CBJ

CBJ

39-27-12

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
DET

DET

40-29-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

8

Season series

CBJ win series 2-1

Nov 22CBJCBJ3@DETDET4
Dec 5DETDET5@CBJCBJ6
Apr 7CBJCBJ4@DETDET3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJCBJ-11052%
DETDET-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat DET 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
CBJ111014
DET111003

Period scoring

CBJ won 1 · DET won 0

1
1

1

1
1

2

1
1

3

0
0

OT

1
0

SO

CBJ
DET

Play-by-play · 384 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  4. SO·0:00

    Zach Werenski Goal Wrist Shot

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  5. SO·0:00

    James van Riemsdyk Backhand saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  6. SO·0:00

    Adam Fantilli Wrist Shot Hit Right Post

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  7. SO·0:00

    Dylan Larkin Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  8. SO·0:00

    Charlie Coyle Goal Wrist Shot

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  9. SO·0:00

    Alex DeBrincat Goal Snap Shot

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  10. SO·0:00

    Kirill Marchenko Snap Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  11. SO·0:00

    Patrick Kane Goal Backhand

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  12. SO·0:00

    Kent Johnson Goal Wrist Shot

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  13. SO·0:00

    Lucas Raymond Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  14. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    CBJ 3·DET 2

  15. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  16. OT·4:49

    Mason Marchment Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  17. OT·4:38

    Mason Marchment Wrist Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  18. OT·4:01

    Patrick Kane Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  19. OT·3:50

    Simon Edvinsson Wrist Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  20. OT·3:31

    Andrew Copp Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  21. OT·3:04

    Takeaway by Kirill Marchenko

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  22. OT·2:11

    Dylan Larkin Backhand saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  23. OT·2:06

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Sean Monahan

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  24. OT·2:06

    Puck in Netting

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  25. OT·2:03

    Patrick Kane shot blocked by Denton Mateychuk

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  26. OT·1:56

    Andrew Copp faceoff won against Sean Monahan

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  27. OT·1:56

    Goalie Stopped

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  28. OT·1:54

    Andrew Copp Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  29. OT·1:37

    Justin Faulk Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

  30. OT·1:27

    Ivan Provorov Snap Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    CBJ 3·DET 3

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

DET

Home

35

Shots

37

25.0

PCT

100.0

4

PIM

8

34

Faceoffs W

29

23

Blocks

25

15

Giveaways

14

6

Takeaways

5

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 5.5·CBJ -110/DET -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
    DIST MI299.999+
  • Moritz SeiderDET · D
    DIST MI299.899
  • Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
    BURSTS30199
  • Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
    DIST MI289.198
  • Adam FantilliCBJ · C
    DIST MI256.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · DET favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DET win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DET win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(DET win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-110

Close price

-110

Open no-vig

50.0%

Close no-vig

50.0%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR