Apr 8, 26sim 97
33
9(H)4
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+3MIN
SEA
32-34-11
25
MIN
45-21-12
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
innesota Wild held off Seattle Kraken, 5–2.
MIN -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
SEA · top performer
Kaapo Kakko
RW · #84
1Points
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
MIN · top performer
Joel Eriksson Ek
C · #14
3Points
1
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
SEA32-34-11
25
MIN45-21-12
SEA32-34-11MIN45-21-12
SEA
32-34-11
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
MIN
45-21-12
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
9
PIM
13
Season series
MIN wins series 3-0
Dec 9MIN4@SEA1
MIN4@SEA1Jan 9MIN3@SEA2
MIN3@SEA2Apr 8SEA2@MIN5today
SEA2@MIN5todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
MIN -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
SEA+22031%MIN-27073%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 9 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
MIN beat SEA 5-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| MIN | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Period scoring
SEA won 1 · MIN won 2
2
1
1
0
2
2
0
2
3
SEA
MIN
Play-by-play · 279 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·19:31
Giveaway by Kirill Kaprizov
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:35
Marcus Foligno Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:28
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Oscar Fisker Molgaard
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:28
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:26
Michael McCarron Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:38
Eeli Tolvanen Wrist Shot Failed Bank Attempt
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:36
Eeli Tolvanen Snap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:24
Danila Yurov faceoff won against Oscar Fisker Molgaard
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:24
Puck in Benches
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:17
Oscar Fisker Molgaard faceoff won against Danila Yurov
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:17
Joel Eriksson Ek Goal (19) Wrist Shot, assists: none
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:14
Giveaway by Berkly Catton
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:45
Giveaway by Matt Boldy
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:34
Jared McCann Slap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:25
Chandler Stephenson Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:14
Jared McCann Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·15:30
Bobby McMann Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·15:21
Giveaway by Kirill Kaprizov
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
TV Timeout
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
Brandon Montour Cross-checking against Joel Eriksson Ek
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
Joel Eriksson Ek Roughing against Brandon Montour
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
Off-side
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·13:17
Ryan Hartman faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·13:17
Off-side
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·13:04
Kirill Kaprizov Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·12:38
Michael McCarron Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·12:37
Yakov Trenin Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
Team stats
SEA
Away
Stat
MIN
Home
27
Shots
29
0.0
PCT
0.0
9
PIM
13
24
Faceoffs W
24
11
Blocks
18
15
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
5
Betting line
MIN -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +220/MIN -270
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Brock FaberMIN · DBURSTS2799+
Bobby McMannSEA · CSKATE MPH24.399
Brandon MontourSEA · DSHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · CDIST MI267.798
Matt BoldyMIN · LWSHOT MPH92.897
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · MIN favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(MIN win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
MIN vs SEA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
141
projections · 132 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Matt BoldyMIN3.8± 1.9high
- Joel Eriksson EkMIN3.3± 1.6high
- Ryan HartmanMIN3.0± 2.3high
Goals
- Matt BoldyMIN0.5± 0.7high
- Joel Eriksson EkMIN0.4± 0.7high
- Kirill KaprizovMIN0.4± 0.5high
Points
- Quinn HughesMIN1.3± 1.1high
- Kirill KaprizovMIN1.2± 1.1high
- Mats ZuccarelloMIN1.1± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands