
SEA
32-34-11

MIN
45-21-12
SEA · top performer

Adam Larsson
D · #6
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
MIN · top performer

Joel Eriksson Ek
C · #14
1
G
2
A
—
SOG
NHL · Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:56 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18:26 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:31 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | |
| 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:26 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | |
| 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 | |
| 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22:18 | |
| 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19:23 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:18 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15:14 | |
| 1 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19:43 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:08 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 4 | 24 | .857 | 58:08 |
Forwards
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14:29 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13:09 | |
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:52 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:27 | |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:58 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | |
| 1 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11:40 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 | |
| 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11:53 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:28 |
Defensemen
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:59 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 25:19 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:30 | |
| 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:00 | |
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 18:29 |
Goalies
| Player | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 2 | 25 | .926 | 60:00 |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
9
PIM
13
Team stats
SEA
Away
Stat
MIN
Home
27
Shots
29
0.0
PCT
0.0
9
PIM
13
24
Faceoffs W
24
11
Blocks
18
15
Giveaways
20
3
Takeaways
5
Season series
MIN wins series 3-0
Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
MIN -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 53 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
MIN beat SEA 5-2. J. Eriksson Ek led the way — 1 G · 2 A · 3 SOG.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| MIN | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Period scoring
SEA won 1 · MIN won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 279 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·19:31
Giveaway by Kirill Kaprizov
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:35
Marcus Foligno Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:28
Michael McCarron faceoff won against Oscar Fisker Molgaard
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:28
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·18:26
Michael McCarron Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:38
Eeli Tolvanen Wrist Shot Failed Bank Attempt
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:36
Eeli Tolvanen Snap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:24
Danila Yurov faceoff won against Oscar Fisker Molgaard
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:24
Puck in Benches
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:17
Oscar Fisker Molgaard faceoff won against Danila Yurov
·
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:17
Joel Eriksson Ek Goal (19) Wrist Shot, assists: none
SEA 2·MIN 5
- 3rd·17:14
Giveaway by Berkly Catton
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:45
Giveaway by Matt Boldy
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:34
Jared McCann Slap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:25
Chandler Stephenson Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·16:14
Jared McCann Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·15:30
Bobby McMann Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·15:21
Giveaway by Kirill Kaprizov
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
Freddy Gaudreau faceoff won against Ryan Hartman
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
TV Timeout
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
Brandon Montour Cross-checking against Joel Eriksson Ek
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
Joel Eriksson Ek Roughing against Brandon Montour
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·14:50
Off-side
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·13:17
Ryan Hartman faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·13:17
Off-side
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·13:04
Kirill Kaprizov Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·12:38
Michael McCarron Snap Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
- 3rd·12:37
Yakov Trenin Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
SEA 2·MIN 4
Betting line
MIN -1.5·O/U 6.5·SEA +220/MIN -270
Recap · NHL
innesota Wild held off Seattle Kraken, 5–2.
MIN -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
68.5%
ensemble · MIN favored
Elo Static
68.5%
P(MIN win)
69%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
68.5%
P(MIN win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
68.5%
P(MIN win)
16%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
1 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.