NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3SJ

27-21-3

VAN

17-31-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 27FinalSeriesSJ leads series 3-0VegasSJ -135

Recap · NHL

an Jose Sharks went into Vancouver Canucks and beat them, 5–2.

SJ -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SJ · top performer

Macklin Celebrini

C · #71

4Points

—

SOG

VAN · top performer

Jake DeBrusk

LW · #74

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

SJ27-21-3

VAN17-31-5

SJ27-21-3VAN17-31-5

27-21-3

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

VAN

17-31-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

SJ leads series 3-0

Nov 28

VAN2@

SJ3

Dec 28

SJ6@

VAN3

Jan 28

SJ5@

VAN2today

Apr 12

VAN4@

SJ3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SJ -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SJ-13557%

VAN+11447%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SJ -1.5↗SpreadBet SJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

SJ beat VAN 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
SJ	3	1	1	5
VAN	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

SJ won 2 · VAN won 0

VAN

Play-by-play · 328 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·19:45
Takeaway by Ryan Reaves
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·18:35
Barclay Goodrow hit Elias Pettersson
· ·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·18:06
Tom Willander shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·17:24
Victor Mancini Wrist Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·16:57
William Eklund Slap Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·16:28
Filip Chytil faceoff won against Zack Ostapchuk
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·16:28
Icing
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·16:19
Giveaway by John Klingberg
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·16:00
Elias Pettersson faceoff won against Zack Ostapchuk
· ·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·16:00
Puck in Netting
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·15:35
Marcus Pettersson hit Will Smith
· ·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·15:29
Aatu Raty Snap Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·14:46
Liam Ohgren Wrist Shot saved by Yaroslav Askarov
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·14:44
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·14:43
Conor Garland hit Mario Ferraro
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·14:09
Teddy Blueger faceoff won against Michael Misa
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·14:09
Puck in Netting
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·14:06
John Klingberg Slap Shot saved by Nikita Tolopilo
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·12:45
Ryan Reaves hit Linus Karlsson
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·12:43
Takeaway by Linus Karlsson
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·12:25
Linus Karlsson hit Vincent Desharnais
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·12:10
Jake DeBrusk Snap Shot Wide Right
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·11:40
Giveaway by Will Smith
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·11:23
Collin Graf hit Teddy Blueger
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·10:53
Giveaway by Macklin Celebrini
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·10:35
Teddy Blueger faceoff won against Macklin Celebrini
·
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·10:35
Icing
SJ 5·VAN 2
3rd·10:05
Teddy Blueger faceoff won against Adam Gaudette
·
SJ 5·VAN 2

Team stats

Away

Stat

VAN

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

25.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

SJ -1.5·O/U 6.5·SJ -135/VAN +114

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Filip HronekVAN · D
DIST MI292.398
Jake DeBruskVAN · LW
SKATE MPH23.595
Nils HoglanderVAN · LW
SHOT MPH93.694
Tom WillanderVAN · D
BURSTS6386
Marcus PetterssonVAN · D
DIST MI237.985

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · VAN favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VAN win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VAN win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VAN win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+114

Close price

+114

Open no-vig

44.9%

Close no-vig

44.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

VAN vs SJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

135

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

Macklin CelebriniSJ
3.4± 1.1high
Jake DeBruskVAN
3.1± 2.4high
Evander KaneVAN
2.5± 1.8high

Goals

Macklin CelebriniSJ
0.6± 0.8high
Jake DeBruskVAN
0.5± 0.7high
Brock BoeserVAN
0.4± 1.0high

Points

Macklin CelebriniSJ
1.4± 1.4high
William EklundSJ
0.9± 1.1high
Brock BoeserVAN
0.9± 1.3high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands