NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WPG

WPG

21-24-7

27-24-2

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 27FinalSeriesWPG wins series 2-0VegasNJ -130

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets went into New Jersey Devils and beat them, 4–3.

WPG +1.5 cashed (NJ lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WPG · top performer

Kyle Connor

LW · #81

2Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Jesper Bratt

LW · #63

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

WPG21-24-7

NJ27-24-2

WPG21-24-7NJ27-24-2

WPG

21-24-7

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

27-24-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

WPG wins series 2-0

Jan 11

NJ3@

WPG4

Jan 28

WPG4@

NJ3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

WPG+11048%

NJ-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WPG beat NJ 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
WPG	1	3	0	4
NJ	1	1	1	3

Period scoring

WPG won 1 · NJ won 1

WPG

Play-by-play · 283 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·19:52
Vladislav Namestnikov Snap Shot Wide Left
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·19:41
Jesper Bratt shot blocked by Vladislav Namestnikov
·
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·19:35
Timo Meier Backhand saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·19:22
Connor Brown Tip-In saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·19:16
Takeaway by Jack Hughes
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·19:10
Giveaway by Jack Hughes
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·18:14
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·18:14
Nico Hischier Goal (17) Tip-In, assists: Jesper Bratt (27), Jack Hughes (24)
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 3
3rd·17:52
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Nico Hischier
·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·17:42
Giveaway by Josh Morrissey
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·17:27
Arseny Gritsyuk Snap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·17:18
Vladislav Namestnikov Backhand saved by Jake Allen
·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·17:13
Giveaway by Simon Nemec
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·16:48
Kyle Connor Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·15:55
Dawson Mercer shot blocked by Dylan Samberg
·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·15:19
Dougie Hamilton shot blocked by Luke Schenn
·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·15:03
Jesper Bratt Deflected saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:23
Morgan Barron hit Connor Brown
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:20
Connor Brown shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:19
Dougie Hamilton Slap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:09
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Morgan Barron
·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:09
Goalie Stopped
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:09
Connor Brown Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:07
Dougie Hamilton Slap Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:00
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Morgan Barron
·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·14:00
Josh Morrissey Tripping against Arseny Gritsyuk
·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·13:57
Jack Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
WPG 4·NJ 2
3rd·13:18
Dawson Mercer faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
WPG 4·NJ 2

Team stats

WPG

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·WPG +110/NJ -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE

Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Morgan BarronWPG · C
SHOT MPH95.697
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397
Logan StanleyBUF · D
SHOT MPH95.991

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

NJ vs WPG.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 114 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Kyle ConnorWPG
3.7± 1.8high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Kyle ConnorWPG
0.6± 0.8high
Dawson MercerNJ
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Mark ScheifeleWPG
1.4± 1.2high
Jesper BrattNJ
1.0± 1.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands