NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2LA

22-16-13

DET

32-17-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 27FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasDET -125

Recap · NHL

os Angeles Kings went into Detroit Red Wings and beat them, 3–1.

LA +1.5 cashed (DET lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

LA · top performer

Kevin Fiala

LW · #22

1Points

—

SOG

DET · top performer

Alex DeBrincat

RW · #93

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

LA22-16-13

DET32-17-5

LA22-16-13DET32-17-5

22-16-13

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

DET

32-17-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 31

DET4@

LA3

Jan 28

LA3@

DET1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DET -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LA+10549%

DET-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DET -1.5↗SpreadBet DET -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LA beat DET 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
LA	0	1	2	3
DET	0	0	1	1

Period scoring

LA won 2 · DET won 0

DET

Play-by-play · 314 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·19:56
Albert Johansson Snap Shot Wide Right
·
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·19:53
J.T. Compher faceoff won against Samuel Helenius
·
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·19:53
Adrian Kempe Slashing against Mason Appleton
·
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·19:35
Albert Johansson Snap Shot Wide Left
·
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·19:32
Axel Sandin-Pellikka Snap Shot Wide Left
·
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·19:25
Giveaway by Corey Perry
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·18:47
Michael Rasmussen faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·18:47
Corey Perry Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Alex Laferriere (12)
·
LA 3·DET 1
3rd·18:44
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:44
Goalie Stopped
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:40
Patrick Kane Backhand saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:36
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:36
Timeout - Home
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:36
Puck in Crowd
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:35
Joel Armia shot blocked by Andrew Copp
·
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:02
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Samuel Helenius
·
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:02
Goalie Stopped
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·18:00
Moritz Seider Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·17:45
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Samuel Helenius
·
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·17:45
Alex DeBrincat Goal (28) Wrist Shot, assists: Moritz Seider (29), Patrick Kane (23)
· ·
LA 2·DET 1
3rd·17:31
Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Cody Ceci
·
LA 2·DET 0
3rd·17:29
Alex DeBrincat Snap Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·DET 0
3rd·17:28
Patrick Kane shot blocked by Kevin Fiala
·
LA 2·DET 0
3rd·17:23
Andrew Copp faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
LA 2·DET 0
3rd·17:23
Goalie Stopped
LA 2·DET 0
3rd·17:22
Alex DeBrincat Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·DET 0
3rd·17:21
Alex DeBrincat Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·DET 0
3rd·17:20
Alex DeBrincat Tip-In saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 2·DET 0

Team stats

Away

Stat

DET

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DET -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA +105/DET -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Moritz SeiderDET · D
DIST MI299.899
Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
DIST MI252.196
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
BURSTS19394
Dylan LarkinDET · C
DIST MI243.094
J.T. CompherDET · LW
BURSTS15888

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · DET favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DET win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-125

Close price

-125

Open no-vig

53.2%

Close no-vig

53.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss