NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1UTA

UTA

28-21-4

FLA

28-21-3

NHLTue, Jan 27FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasFLA -166

UTA · top performer

Sean Durzi

D · #50

2Points

—

SOG

FLA · top performer

Carter Verhaeghe

C · #23

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. ButLW · #19	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	11:42
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	1	1	1	2	0	2	12:13
L. CrouseLW · #67	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	20:26
B. HaytonC · #27	1	0	0	2	0	1	2	15:23
C. KellerRW · #9	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	18:33
J. McBainC · #22	0	1	1	0	4	0	0	16:15
L. O'BrienC · #38	0	0	-1	0	8	0	0	7:58
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	-2	1	0	0	0	16:50
N. SchmaltzC · #8	1	0	2	1	0	0	2	20:40
K. StenlundC · #82	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	16:37
B. TanevLW · #13	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7:43
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	10:45

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	0	-1	1	1	3	0	18:06
N. DeSimoneD · #57	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	12:16
S. DurziD · #50	1	1	1	2	0	1	0	19:56
J. MarinoD · #6	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	20:32
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	18:30
M. SergachevD · #98	1	0	1	2	0	4	0	25:37

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
V. VanecekG · #41	30	3	27	.900	59:58

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. BennettC · #9	0	1	-3	3	0	0	0	21:10
A.J. GreerLW · #10	0	0	2	1	4	1	2	10:42
A. LundellC · #15	0	0	0	3	2	0	2	12:19
E. LuostarinenC · #27	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	15:16
B. MarchandLW · #63	0	1	-2	3	0	0	0	18:49
S. ReinhartC · #13	0	0	-1	2	1	1	0	22:05
E. RodriguesC · #17	0	0	0	3	1	0	2	18:04
M. SamoskevichRW · #11	0	0	-2	0	3	1	0	11:03
C. SchwindtRW · #79	1	0	2	2	3	1	0	8:09
M. TkachukLW · #19	0	0	-2	2	3	0	4	17:43
C. VerhaegheC · #23	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	19:53
S. VilmanisLW · #95	1	0	2	2	5	0	0	8:03

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
U. BalinskisD · #26	0	0	-1	2	3	0	0	20:55
T. BjornfotD · #22	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	13:06
A. EkbladD · #5	0	0	-2	0	0	1	0	19:48
G. ForslingD · #42	0	0	-2	1	0	1	0	23:19
N. MikkolaD · #77	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	18:50
J. PetryD · #2	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	14:33

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. BobrovskyG · #72	19	3	16	.842	58:13

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

FLA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 11

FLA4@

UTA3

Jan 28

UTA4@

FLA3today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

FLA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTA+14042%

FLA-16662%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗SpreadBet FLA -1.5↗

Line movement

0 snapshots on file

Movement tracking online — chart appears once we have two or more snapshots logged for this game. Keep this tab open and refresh after the next ingest cycle.

How it ended

UTA beat FLA 4-3. S. Durzi led the way — 1 G · 1 A · 2 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
UTA	1	1	2	4
FLA	0	2	1	3

Period scoring

UTA won 2 · FLA won 1

UTA

FLA

Play-by-play · 292 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
UTA 4·FLA 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
UTA 4·FLA 3
3rd·19:56
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev
UTA 4·FLA 3
3rd·19:53
Sam Reinhart shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
·
UTA 4·FLA 3
3rd·19:51
Ian Cole hit Sam Bennett
·
UTA 4·FLA 3
3rd·19:48
Brad Marchand Wrist Shot saved by Vitek Vanecek
·
UTA 4·FLA 3
3rd·19:44
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Sam Reinhart
·
UTA 4·FLA 3
3rd·19:44
Carter Verhaeghe Goal (16) Snap Shot, assists: Sam Bennett (22), Brad Marchand (25)
· ·
UTA 4·FLA 3
3rd·19:29
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Sam Bennett
·
UTA 4·FLA 2
3rd·19:29
Goalie Stopped
UTA 4·FLA 2
3rd·19:27
Sam Reinhart Wrist Shot saved by Vitek Vanecek
·
UTA 4·FLA 2
3rd·19:04
Sam Reinhart faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund
·
UTA 4·FLA 2
3rd·19:04
Barrett Hayton Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Kevin Stenlund (8)
·
UTA 4·FLA 2
3rd·18:57
Giveaway by Ian Cole
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·18:55
Giveaway by Carter Verhaeghe
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·18:47
Giveaway by Uvis Balinskis
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·18:43
Sam Reinhart shot blocked by Barrett Hayton
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·17:51
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Sam Reinhart
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·17:51
TV Timeout
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·17:51
Matthew Tkachuk Embellishment
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·17:51
Nick Schmaltz Tripping against Matthew Tkachuk
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·17:18
A.J. Greer Snap Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·16:39
Mackie Samoskevich Deflected Wide Right
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·16:29
Carter Verhaeghe shot blocked by Ian Cole
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·16:28
Mackie Samoskevich hit John Marino
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·16:01
Michael Carcone hit Niko Mikkola
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·15:58
Giveaway by Michael Carcone
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·15:57
Matthew Tkachuk hit Michael Carcone
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·15:24
JJ Peterka Slap Shot saved by Sergei Bobrovsky
·
UTA 3·FLA 2
3rd·15:09
Nick Schmaltz Slap Shot Wide Left
·
UTA 3·FLA 2

Betting line

FLA -1.5·O/U 6.5·UTA +140/FLA -166

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth went into Florida Panthers and beat them, 4–3.

UTA +1.5 cashed (FLA lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · FLA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
33%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(FLA win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Utah MammothFlorida Panthers

Elsewhere in the NHL