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FINAL+1MIN
CHI

CHI

21-23-9

34
MIN

MIN

30-14-10

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 27FinalSeriesMIN leads series 2-0VegasMIN -198

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild held off Chicago Blackhawks, 4–3.

CHI +1.5 cashed (MIN won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

MIN
Joel Eriksson Ek

Joel Eriksson Ek

C · #14

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/SO
3
4
CHI21-23-9MIN30-14-10
CHI

CHI

21-23-9

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
MIN

MIN

30-14-10

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

10

Season series

MIN leads series 2-0

Nov 27MINMIN4@CHICHI3
Jan 28CHICHI3@MINMIN4today
Mar 17MINMIN4@CHICHI3
Mar 19CHICHI2@MINMIN1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+16438%
MINMIN-19866%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat CHI 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTSOT
CHI210003
MIN012014

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · MIN won 2

2
0

1

1
1

2

0
2

3

0
0

OT

0
1

SO

CHI
MIN

Play-by-play · 319 plays

period
event
player
  1. SO·0:00

    Game End

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  2. SO·0:00

    End of OT

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  3. SO·0:00

    End of Shootout

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  4. SO·0:00

    Ryan Donato Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  5. SO·0:00

    Matt Boldy Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  6. SO·0:00

    Connor Bedard failed shot attempt on Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  7. SO·0:00

    Kirill Kaprizov Goal Wrist Shot

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  8. SO·0:00

    Frank Nazar Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  9. SO·0:00

    Mats Zuccarello Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 0·MIN 1

  10. SO·0:00

    Start of Shootout

    CHI 0·MIN 0

  11. OT·5:00

    End of OT

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  12. OT·4:53

    Teuvo Teravainen Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  13. OT·4:41

    Joel Eriksson Ek faceoff won against Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  14. OT·4:41

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  15. OT·4:39

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  16. OT·4:27

    Frank Nazar Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  17. OT·4:25

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  18. OT·4:18

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    · ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  19. OT·4:18

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  20. OT·4:16

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  21. OT·3:58

    Frank Nazar faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  22. OT·3:58

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  23. OT·3:56

    Teuvo Teravainen shot blocked by Jake Middleton

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  24. OT·3:25

    Frank Nazar Wrist Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  25. OT·3:23

    Takeaway by Frank Nazar

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  26. OT·3:14

    Frank Nazar Snap Shot saved by Jesper Wallstedt

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  27. OT·3:04

    Teuvo Teravainen faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  28. OT·3:04

    Timeout - Visitor

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  29. OT·3:04

    Matt Boldy Tripping against Alex Vlasic

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

  30. OT·2:51

    Matt Boldy Snap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 3·MIN 3

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

32

Shots

23

0.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

10

38

Faceoffs W

27

5

Blocks

15

14

Giveaways

14

6

Takeaways

3

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +164/MIN -198

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock FaberMIN · D
    BURSTS2799+
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Matt BoldyMIN · LW
    SHOT MPH92.897
  • Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
    SKATE MPH23.696
  • Marcus JohanssonMIN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.296

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MIN favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR