MLBTop 8
TEX 2@ATH 4
+57.9pplow
MLBMid 6
SD 3@CLE 0
-50.9pplow
MLBTop 7
COL 10@SF 7
-56.6pplow
MLBBot 9
KC 3@LAA 0
-45.7pplow
MLBTop 8
MIL 4@LAD 1
-55.0pplow
MLBBot 7
BOS 3@PIT 7
+57.6pplow
WNBA4:27 - 3rd
IND 51@ATL 58
+18.9pphigh
WNBA1:31 - 3rd
CHI 58@SEA 52
-33.2pppeak
TONIGHTGraded picks 6-1 so far (MLB 6-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Detmers (LAA): 8.0 IP · 11 K in a win over KC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Baez (STL): 3 H · 3 HR · 5 RBI in a win over CHC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Arenado (ARI): 2 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over ATL
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Recalled RHP Kyle Hurt from Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBAstros: Recalled RHP Miguel Ullola from Sugar Land (PCL) (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Recalled LHP Hunter Barco and 3B Nick Yorke from Indianapolis (IL) (Aug 16)
MLBTop 8
TEX 2@ATH 4
+57.9pplow
MLBMid 6
SD 3@CLE 0
-50.9pplow
MLBTop 7
COL 10@SF 7
-56.6pplow
MLBBot 9
KC 3@LAA 0
-45.7pplow
MLBTop 8
MIL 4@LAD 1
-55.0pplow
MLBBot 7
BOS 3@PIT 7
+57.6pplow
WNBA4:27 - 3rd
IND 51@ATL 58
+18.9pphigh
WNBA1:31 - 3rd
CHI 58@SEA 52
-33.2pppeak
TONIGHTGraded picks 6-1 so far (MLB 6-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Detmers (LAA): 8.0 IP · 11 K in a win over KC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Baez (STL): 3 H · 3 HR · 5 RBI in a win over CHC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Arenado (ARI): 2 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over ATL
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Recalled RHP Kyle Hurt from Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBAstros: Recalled RHP Miguel Ullola from Sugar Land (PCL) (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBPirates: Recalled LHP Hunter Barco and 3B Nick Yorke from Indianapolis (IL) (Aug 16)
HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
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THE ONE Analytics
Beta
NFL logoNFLHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersFantasyDraft '26LeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
77,494 attended
FINAL+3MIN
MIN

MIN

1-0

13
10
NYG

NYG

0-1

NFL · Drive chart

20 drives · 2 TD · 3 FG · 2 INT · 12 Punt
  1. FGMIN10p · 54y
  2. PuntNYG6p · 5y
  3. PuntMIN3p · 7y
  4. TDNYG10p · 63y
  5. PuntMIN8p · 26y
  6. PuntNYG8p · 27y
  7. PuntMIN3p · 1y
  8. FGNYG6p · 17y
  9. PuntNYG3p · 8y
  10. FGMIN8p · 57y
  11. INTNYG1p
  12. TDMIN7p · 27y
  13. PuntNYG3p · -7y
  14. PuntMIN3p · 8y
  15. INTNYG3p · 4y
  16. PuntMIN4p · 14y
  17. PuntNYG3p · 3y
  18. PuntMIN3p · 9y
  19. PuntNYG10p · 51y
  20. EndMIN7p · 31y

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Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

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Team pages

Minnesota VikingsatNew York Giants

Elsewhere in the NFL

  • Panthers14@Bills29Final
  • Browns10@Bears34Final
  • Rams20@Chiefs12Final
  • Jaguars24@Saints20Final
  • Eagles7@Ravens24Final
  • Cowboys17@Seahawks7Final

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

63%Last 7 · 64-37
63%Last 30 · 298-176
Receipts →

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · NYG favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYG win)

    33%

    weight

  • Qb Elo

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYG win)

    33%

    weight

  • Dvoa Proxy

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYG win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

On the call · NFL

7 officials

Line Judge

Kent Payne

Side Judge

James Coleman

Back Judge

Jonah Monroe

Back Judge

Tony Josselyn

Field Judge

Karina Tovar

Umpire

Scott Walker

Down Judge

Andy Warner

Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.

NFL·Sat, Aug 15·Final/VegasMIN -1.5

MIN · top performer

MIN
Carson Wentz

Carson Wentz

· #11

81Pass yds

9/14

C/A

1

TD

0

INT

NYG · top performer

NYG
Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston

· #19

89Pass yds

8/9

C/A

0

TD

0

INT

Game flowMIN ↔ NYG

Biggest swing: 15pp · —

NFL · Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants · final

NFL · Box scoreNGS

Final

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Carson Wentz · #11
9/148110
J.J. McCarthy · #9
4/73400
Kyler Murray · #1
2/31000
Max Brosmer · #12
1/2600
Team16/2612710

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Demond Claiborne · #21
123409
Dillon Bell · #89
227017
Aaron Jones Sr. · #33
327018
Jordan Mason · #27
317015
Zavier Scott · #36
2604
J.J. McCarthy · #9
1101
Jermar Jefferson · #17
3003
Carson Wentz · #11
1-10-1
Team27111018

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Myles Price · #4
451128
Jeshaun Jones · #82
117017
Bryson Nesbit · #83
21307
Marshall Lang · #81
112012
Dontae Fleming · #19
31007
Jordan Addison · #3
1808
Ben Yurosek · #85
1707
Zavier Scott · #36
1606
Tai Felton · #13
1505
Max Bredeson · #45
1202
Aaron Jones Sr. · #33
0000
Michael Briscoe · #46
0000
Gavin Bartholomew · #86
0000
Dillon Bell · #89
0000
Team16131128

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
James Pierre · #23
6400
Bangally Kamara · #59
5401
Ivan Pace Jr. · #0
4301
Jake Golday · #41
4200
Jacob Thomas · #39
4200
Chaz Chambliss · #57
3300
Josh Ross · #52
3200
Jacob Roberts · #48
3200
Caleb Banks · #95
3200
Dallas Turner · #15
2211
Jay Ward · #24
2211
Theo Jackson · #26
2200
Kahlef Hailassie · #25
2200
Max Bredeson · #45
2200
Charles Demmings · #20
2200
Eric Wilson · #55
2000
Jahvaree Ritzie · #96
2000
Arden Walker · #56
2000
Elijah Williams · #99
1111
Bo Richter · #98
1111
Jamal Adams · #32
1101
Isaiahh Loudermilk · #69
1101
Dwight McGlothern Jr. · #6
1100
Zemaiah Vaughn · #34
1100
Blake Cashman · #51
1000
Joshua Metellus · #44
1000
Tavierre Thomas · #37
1000
Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins · #90
1000
Domonique Orange · #97
1000
Marcus Allen · #29
1000
Cam'Ron Stewart · #49
0000
Team654248

Interceptions

interceptions box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jacob Roberts · #48
160
Jacob Thomas · #39
100
Team260

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Demond Claiborne · #21
250280
Team250280

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Dontae Fleming · #19
227180
Tai Felton · #13
2880
Team435180

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Will Reichard · #16
2/2541/17
Team2/2541/17

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Brett Thorson · #47
314147.01
Johnny Hekker · #5
311337.72
Team625442.33

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jameis Winston · #19
8/98900
Brandon Allen · #12O
5/84502
Jaxson Dart · #6
3/42610
Team16/2113112

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Eric Gray · #20O
82004
Cam Skattebo · #44O
41907
Dante Miller · #25O
51406
Damon Bankston · #37
3604
Tyrone Tracy Jr. · #29O
2505
Jameis Winston · #19
2302
Devin Singletary · #26
3309
Team277009

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Devin Singletary · #26
140040
Malachi Fields · #O
334115
Dalen Cambre · #83
120020
Eric Gray · #20O
21709
Ryan Miller · #5O
114014
Isaiah Likely · #9
21106
Braxton Berrios · #87
1909
Theo Johnson · #84
1606
Odell Beckham Jr. · #3O
2606
Isaiah Hodgins · #89
1202
Xavier Gipson · #88
1101
Tyrone Tracy Jr. · #29O
0000
Thomas Fidone II · #86
0000
Team16160140

Fumbles

fumbles box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jameis Winston · #19
101
Ben Mann · #58
100
Jordan Stout · #15
001
Team202

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jack Kelly · #51
5200
Khalid Kareem · #54
3200
Jason Pinnock · #25D
3200
Nic Jones · #31
3201
Beau Brade · #34D
3200
Colton Hood · #12D
3200
Darius Alexander · #91
2211
Chauncey Golston · #57
2201
Zaire Barnes · #46
2200
Anfernee Orji · #59
2200
Sam Webb · #44D
2200
Josh Tupou · #94
2100
Raheem Layne · #43
2100
Ar'Darius Washington · #24
2100
Micah McFadden · #41
2100
Trace Ford · #48D
2101
Darius Muasau · #53
2100
Deonte Banks · #2
2100
Art Green · #23
2100
Arvell Reese · #52
2100
Ugo Amadi · #29D
1100
Dante Miller · #25O
1100
Kayvon Thibodeaux · #5D
1100
Korie Black · #38
1100
Dalen Cambre · #83
1100
Malachi Fields · #O
1100
Caleb Murphy · #33
1100
Tyler Nubin · #27
1000
Thomas Fidone II · #86
1000
Abdul Carter · #3D
1000
Marlon Davidson · #67
0000
Leki Fotu · #90
0000
Team593814

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Dante Miller · #25O
369250
Deonte Banks · #2
127270
Team496270

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Braxton Berrios · #87
230150
Xavier Gipson · #88
110100
Team340150

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Ben Sauls · #30
1/1461/14
Team1/1461/14

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jordan Stout · #15
629248.73
Team629248.73

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

238

Total yds

201

111

Rush yds

70

0

TO

2

Team stats

MIN

Away

Stat

NYG

Home

238

Total yards

201

111

Rushing yds

70

0

Turnovers

2

7-49

totalPenaltiesYards

7-45

29:27

possessionTime

30:33

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Between — and 3

Total

40.5

Defensive · -6.5 vs avg

↗1.0pt· 6.1h

Moneyline

MINMIN-12255%
NYGNYG+10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

How it ended

MIN beat NYG 13-10. Carson Wentz led the way — 9/14 · 81 YDS · 1 TD · 103.6 QBR. NYG outscored the other side 10-0 in the 2nd quarter.

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
MIN3010013
NYG0100010

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 40.5·MIN -122/NYG +102

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NFL

Minnesota Vikings went into New York Giants and beat them, 13–10. Decided by 3.

MIN -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 40.5 by 17.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

40.5

+4.0 since open

Win probability

NYG vs MIN

0255075100

Period scoring

MIN won 2 · NYG won 1

3
0

Q1

0
10

Q2

10
0

Q3

0
0

Q4

MIN
NYG

Play-by-play · 165 plays

event
  1. —

  2. —

    −2pp

  3. —

    −2pp

  4. —

    +1pp

  5. —

    +1pp

  6. —

    −4pp

  7. —

    +0.5pp

  8. —

    −4pp

  9. —

    +2pp

  10. —

    −2pp

  11. —

    +5pp

  12. —

    −1pp

  13. —

  14. —

    +0.8pp

  15. —

  16. —

  17. —

    +2pp

  18. —

    −2pp

  19. —

    −1pp

  20. —

    −3pp

  21. —

  22. —

  23. —

    +2pp

  24. —

    −1pp

  25. —

    +4pp

  26. —

    +1pp

  27. —

  28. —

    +2pp

  29. —

    −4pp

  30. —

    +3pp

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

MIN

MIN

league avg

NYG

NYG

18.0

Pts / game

23.5

▶

22.6

297

Yds / game

342

▶

347

189

Pass yds / G

225

▶

218

108

Rush yds / G

117

▶

129

1.4

TO / G

0.9

▶

0.8