MLBTop 5
SEA 2@HOU 1
-43.8ppmedium
WNBA2:53 - 3rd
POR 53@PHX 62
+28.1pphigh
TONIGHTGraded picks 7-9 so far (MLB 7-7, WNBA 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Detmers (LAA): 8.0 IP · 11 K in a win over KC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Baez (STL): 3 H · 3 HR · 5 RBI in a win over CHC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Arenado (ARI): 2 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over ATL
TRANSACTION · MLBTwins: Sent C Alex Jackson outright to St (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBRoyals: Sent RHP Eli Morgan outright to Omaha (IL) (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Recalled RHP Kyle Hurt from Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 16)
MLBTop 5
SEA 2@HOU 1
-43.8ppmedium
WNBA2:53 - 3rd
POR 53@PHX 62
+28.1pphigh
TONIGHTGraded picks 7-9 so far (MLB 7-7, WNBA 0-2)
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Detmers (LAA): 8.0 IP · 11 K in a win over KC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Baez (STL): 3 H · 3 HR · 5 RBI in a win over CHC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Arenado (ARI): 2 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over ATL
TRANSACTION · MLBTwins: Sent C Alex Jackson outright to St (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBRoyals: Sent RHP Eli Morgan outright to Omaha (IL) (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Recalled RHP Kyle Hurt from Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 16)
HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
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THE ONE Analytics
Beta
NFL logoNFLHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersFantasyDraft '26LeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
Lumen Field · Seattle, WA
68,474 attended
FINAL+10DAL
DAL

DAL

1-0

17
7
SEA

SEA

0-1

NFL · Drive chart

15 drives · 3 TD · 1 FG · 2 Downs · 1 Miss · 6 Punt
  1. TDSEA13p · 80y
  2. PuntDAL3p · 1y
  3. PuntSEA3p · -1y
  4. FGDAL16p · 74y
  5. MissSEA15p · 50y
  6. TDDAL7p · 65y
  7. ½SEA3p · -2y
  8. TDDAL13p · 84y
  9. PuntSEA3p · 7y
  10. PuntDAL5p · 14y
  11. DownsSEA6p · 17y
  12. PuntDAL6p · 19y
  13. PuntSEA6p · 13y
  14. DownsSEA4p · -10y
  15. EndDAL14p · 63y

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Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 66-44
62%Last 30 · 300-183
Receipts →

On the call · NFL

6 officials

Back Judge

Terrence Miles

Down Judge

Dana McKenzie

Field Judge

Mearl Robinson

Side Judge

Anthony Jeffries

Umpire

Terry Killens Jr.

Line Judge

Thomas Eaton

Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Qb Elo

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Dvoa Proxy

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Team pages

Dallas CowboysatSeattle Seahawks

Elsewhere in the NFL

  • Panthers14@Bills29Final
  • Browns10@Bears34Final
  • Vikings13@Giants10Final
  • Rams20@Chiefs12Final
  • Jaguars24@Saints20Final
  • Eagles7@Ravens24Final
NFL·Sat, Aug 15·Final/VegasSEA -1.5

DAL · top performer

DAL
Joe Milton III

Joe Milton III

· #10

107Pass yds

12/15

C/A

1

TD

0

INT

SEA · top performer

SEA
Drew Lock

Drew Lock

· #2

40Pass yds

9/13

C/A

1

TD

0

INT

Game flowDAL ↔ SEA

Biggest swing: 17pp · —

NFL · Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks · final

NFL · Box scoreNGS

Final

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Joe Milton III · #10
12/1510710
Sam Howell · #16
8/129410
Team20/2720120

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Malik Davis · #20
739014
Israel Abanikanda · #30
73609
Jaydon Blue · #23
81904
Sam Howell · #16
215010
Joe Milton III · #10
71005
Anthony Smith · #83
1909
Phil Mafah · #37
4904
Team36137014

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Camden Brown · #6O
362239
Michael Trigg · #46
430010
Anthony Smith · #83
228023
Tyler Johnson · #15O
225014
Jonathan Mingo · #81
220011
Jaydon Blue · #23
215013
Jordan Hudson · #18
215010
Phil Mafah · #37
1606
DJ Rogers · #49
1202
Marquez Valdes-Scantling · #11
0000
Israel Abanikanda · #30
0000
Zack Kuntz · #47O
1-20-2
Team20201239

Fumbles

fumbles box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Traeshon Holden · #80
110
Joe Milton III · #10
101
DJ Rogers · #49
100
Team311

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Curtis Robinson · #42
8501
Julius Wood · #32
5200
Caelen Carson · #21
4300
Justin Barron · #45
4201
James Houston · #41
3211
Markquese Bell · #14
3200
Reddy Steward · #27
320.50
Malachi Lawrence · #57
3200
Langston Patterson · #47D
3100
Kelvin Gilliam Jr. · #94
3000
Josh Butler · #31
2200
Ameer Speed · #39
2200
Isaiah Land · #58
2111
Trikweze Bridges · #25
2100
D.J. Withers · #59
2100
Jay Toia · #93
2000
Sam Williams · #54
2000
Shemar James · #50
2000
Tyrus Wheat · #90
200.50
Jonathan Mingo · #81
1100
Marist Liufau · #35
1101
Jordan Hudson · #18
1100
Tommy Dunn Jr. · #95
1100
Shavon Revel Jr. · #28
1100
Derion Kendrick · #15D
1000
Alijah Clark · #38
1000
LT Overton · #99
1000
Team653335

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Israel Abanikanda · #30
125250
Jaydon Blue · #23
123230
Team248250

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Traeshon Holden · #80
1000
Team1000

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Brandon Aubrey · #17S
1/1292/25
Team1/1292/25

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Bryan Anger · #5
314648.70
Team314648.70

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Drew Lock · #2
9/134010
Jalen Milroe · #6
5/83600
Team14/214910

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
George Holani · #36
124208
Jalen Milroe · #6
536020
Velus Jones Jr. · #33O
71905
Drew Lock · #2
1606
Justin Jones · #25
1303
TJ Harden · #30O
2101
Team28107020

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Montorie Foster Jr. · #87
536115
Jake Bobo · #19
31309
Elijah Arroyo · #18
112012
Nick Vannett · #83
110010
Nick Kallerup · #89
1606
Ricky White III · #86
1404
Cody White · #82
0000
TJ Harden · #30O
0000
Velus Jones Jr. · #33O
2-50-1
Team1476115

Fumbles

fumbles box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jalen Milroe · #6
101
TJ Harden · #30O
001
Team102

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Tyrice Knight · #48
10700
Chazz Surratt · #44
6200
Aaron Smith · #42
5300
Patrick O'Connell · #52
5200
Rodney Thomas II · #24
5100
Jalan Gaines · #47
4201
Andre Fuller · #35D
3300
Jared Ivey · #51
3200
Bud Clark · #9
3100
Connor O'Toole · #57
3100
Jordan Washington · #33D
2200
Nehemiah Pritchett · #28
2100
Marvin Jones Jr. · #59
2100
J.R. Singleton · #70
2100
Uso Seumalo · #92
2100
Michael Dansby · #37
2000
Maxen Hook · #43
2000
D'Anthony Bell · #23
2000
Shemar Jean-Charles · #34
1100
AJ Finley · #30D
1101
Bubba Thomas · #69
1100
Mike Morris · #94
1100
Aidan Hubbard · #93
1100
Justin Jones · #25
1100
Brady Russell · #38
1000
Brandon Pili · #95
1000
Rylie Mills · #98
1000
Team723602

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Rashad Rochelle · #35O
240220
Cody White · #82
234180
Team474220

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Rashad Rochelle · #35O
152520
Cody White · #82
118180
Team270520

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jason Myers · #5
0/101/11
Team0/101/11

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Michael Dickson · #4
314147.02
Team314147.02

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

338

Total yds

156

137

Rush yds

107

1

TO

0

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

338

Total yards

156

137

Rushing yds

107

1

Turnovers

0

13-103

totalPenaltiesYards

8-71

32:55

possessionTime

27:05

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Between — and 3

↗0.5pt· 6.1h

Total

37.5

Defensive · -9.5 vs avg

Moneyline

DALDAL+12045%
SEASEA-14259%

↘6· 6.1h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗SpreadBet SEA -1.5↗

How it ended

DAL beat SEA 17-7. Joe Milton III led the way — 12/15 · 107 YDS · 1 TD · 118.6 QBR. DAL outscored the other side 10-0 in the 2nd quarter.

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
DAL0107017
SEA70007

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 37.5·DAL +120/SEA -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NFL

Dallas Cowboys went into Seattle Seahawks and beat them, 17–7.

DAL +1.5 cashed (SEA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 37.5 by 13.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

+0.5 since open

Total

37.5

0.0 since open

Win probability

SEA vs DAL

0255075100

Period scoring

DAL won 2 · SEA won 1

0
7

Q1

10
0

Q2

7
0

Q3

0
0

Q4

DAL
SEA

Play-by-play · 173 plays

event
  1. —

  2. —

    +1pp

  3. —

    −0.8pp

  4. —

  5. —

    +4pp

  6. —

  7. —

    +2pp

  8. —

  9. —

    −3pp

  10. —

    +0.8pp

  11. —

    BIG MOMENT

    +7pp

  12. —

    −3pp

  13. —

    +4pp

  14. —

  15. —

    −2pp

  16. —

    BIG MOMENT

    +6pp

  17. —

  18. —

  19. —

    +1pp

  20. —

  21. —

    +2pp

  22. —

    +2pp

  23. —

  24. —

  25. —

    −2pp

  26. —

    −1.0pp

  27. —

    −2pp

  28. —

    +1pp

  29. —

  30. —

    −2pp

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

DAL

DAL

league avg

SEA

SEA

28.2

Pts / game

◀

23.5

24.4

404

Yds / game

◀

342

362

279

Pass yds / G

◀

225

239

126

Rush yds / G

◀

117

123

1.2

TO / G

0.9

1.2