MLBTop 1
SEA 1@HOU 0
-19.1ppmedium
MLBBot 9
SD 5@CLE 0
-50.9pplow
WNBA1.4 - 1st
POR 18@PHX 20
WNBA10.4 - OT
IND 93@ATL 88
TONIGHTGraded picks 7-7 so far (MLB 7-6, WNBA 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Detmers (LAA): 8.0 IP · 11 K in a win over KC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Baez (STL): 3 H · 3 HR · 5 RBI in a win over CHC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Arenado (ARI): 2 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over ATL
TRANSACTION · MLBTwins: Sent C Alex Jackson outright to St (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBRoyals: Sent RHP Eli Morgan outright to Omaha (IL) (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Recalled RHP Kyle Hurt from Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 16)
MLBTop 1
SEA 1@HOU 0
-19.1ppmedium
MLBBot 9
SD 5@CLE 0
-50.9pplow
WNBA1.4 - 1st
POR 18@PHX 20
WNBA10.4 - OT
IND 93@ATL 88
TONIGHTGraded picks 7-7 so far (MLB 7-6, WNBA 0-1)
LAST NIGHT · MLBR. Detmers (LAA): 8.0 IP · 11 K in a win over KC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBJ. Baez (STL): 3 H · 3 HR · 5 RBI in a win over CHC — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBN. Arenado (ARI): 2 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over ATL
TRANSACTION · MLBTwins: Sent C Alex Jackson outright to St (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBRoyals: Sent RHP Eli Morgan outright to Omaha (IL) (Aug 16)
TRANSACTION · MLBDodgers: Recalled RHP Kyle Hurt from Oklahoma City (PCL) (Aug 16)
HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
  • WNBA logo
  • MLB logo
  • UFC logo
  • NFL logo
  • NHL logo
  • NBA logo
THE ONE Analytics
Beta
NFL logoNFLHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersFantasyDraft '26LeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Kansas City, MO
72,451 attended
FINAL+8LAR
LAR

LAR

1-0

20
12
KC

KC

0-1

NFL · Drive chart

19 drives · 2 TD · 6 FG · 9 Punt
  1. PuntLAR3p · 7y
  2. PuntKC5p · 16y
  3. FGLAR13p · 73y
  4. PuntKC5p · 15y
  5. PuntLAR3p · 8y
  6. FGKC13p · 46y
  7. FGLAR7p · 42y
  8. FGKC10p · 42y
  9. ½LAR5p · 26y
  10. PuntKC3p · 7y
  11. PuntLAR5p · 21y
  12. FGKC11p · 46y
  13. PuntLAR3p · 2y
  14. PuntKC3p · -11y
  15. TDLAR4p · 23y
  16. PuntKC6p · 19y
  17. TDLAR8p · 87y
  18. FGKC12p · 65y
  19. EndLAR3p · 27y

↳ Data via ESPN · nflverse · Next Gen Stats (via nflverse)

Build your edge. Every week.

Weekly research digest

One email per week · unsubscribe anytime

THE ONE Analytics

Elite sports analytics across NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, NCAA football, and NCAA basketball. Statcast-style advanced metrics, AI-graded prop analysis, and a model edge against Vegas refreshed every night.

6 leagues live · model running
Beta · every feature free

Sports

  • NFL
  • WNBA
  • CFB
  • NBA
  • CBB
  • MLB
  • NHL
  • UFC
  • Soccer
  • Horse Racing

Product

  • Features
  • Sports coverage
  • Best bets
  • Live games
  • Futures
  • 2026 Draft Big Board
  • Fantasy football
  • Cross-sport rankings
  • Model accuracy
  • Calibration Grade
  • Free tools & calculators
  • Matchup Predictor
  • Hedge calculator
  • Same-game parlay calculator
  • Odds converter
  • Yesterday's recap
  • NFL player directory
  • NBA head-to-head
  • Box scores · cross-sport
  • Sportsbooks by state
  • My bets
  • Methodology
  • Glossary
  • Pricing

Company

  • About
  • Notes
  • Partners
  • Press kit
  • Roadmap
  • Changelog
  • Brand kit
  • Sign in

Legal

  • Terms of Service
  • Betting Terms
  • Privacy Policy
  • Responsible Gambling
21+

Analytics for entertainment + research. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Resources →

© 2026 The One Analytics. All rights reserved. · [email protected]

Analytical research only · not gambling advice · bet responsibly

Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 65-43
62%Last 30 · 299-182
Receipts →

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · KC favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(KC win)

    33%

    weight

  • Qb Elo

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(KC win)

    33%

    weight

  • Dvoa Proxy

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(KC win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

On the call · NFL

7 officials

Umpire

Barry Anderson

Side Judge

Keith Washington

Referee

Ronald Torbert

Field Judge

Ryan Dickson

Down Judge

Danny Short

Line Judge

Tripp Sutter

Back Judge

Courtney Brown

Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.

Team pages

Los Angeles RamsatKansas City Chiefs

Elsewhere in the NFL

  • Panthers14@Bills29Final
  • Browns10@Bears34Final
  • Vikings13@Giants10Final
  • Jaguars24@Saints20Final
  • Eagles7@Ravens24Final
  • Cowboys17@Seahawks7Final
NFL·Sat, Aug 15·Final/VegasKC -1.5

LAR · top performer

LAR
Ty Simpson

Ty Simpson

· #15

190Pass yds

21/25

C/A

2

TD

0

INT

KC · top performer

KC
Garrett Nussmeier

Garrett Nussmeier

· #14O

98Pass yds

13/19

C/A

0

TD

0

INT

Game flowLAR ↔ KC

Biggest swing: 13pp · —

NFL · Los Angeles Rams at Kansas City Chiefs · final

NFL · Box scoreNGS

Final

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Ty Simpson · #15
21/2519020
Stetson Bennett IV · #13
4/63800
Team25/3122820

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jordan Waters · #32
537026
Jarquez Hunter · #27
935013
Dean Connors · #33
622011
Ty Simpson · #15
1-10-1
Team2193026

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Brennan Presley · #81
458023
Mark Redman · #83
347023
Max Klare · #86
737011
Dean Connors · #33
429213
Xavier Smith · #19
426013
CJ Daniels · #6
218016
Tyler Scott · #82
113013
Team25228223

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Nick Andersen · #45
9401
Tanner Ingle · #34
5500
Nate Valcarcel · #43
5300
Daniel Rickert · #40
5201
Tim Keenan III · #96
5110
Darryl Peterson III · #59
5100
Bill Norton · #93
5000
Monty Rice · #8
4301
Nyzier Fourqurean · #25
4300
Alex Cook · #39
4100
Cam Lampkin · #21
3200
Nikhai Hill-Green · #54
3200
Al'zillion Hamilton · #31
3200
Payton Zdroik · #62
3200
Desjuan Johnson · #94
2211
Zech McPhearson · #41
2100
Wesley Bailey · #47
2100
Ty Hamilton · #57
2100
Jaxson Moi · #98
2100
Joe Cardona · #49
1100
Keir Thomas II · #11
1100
Dean Connors · #33
1100
Alex Johnson · #36
1000
Team774024

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Brennan Presley · #81
259300
Mario Williams · #14
251270
Team4110300

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Xavier Smith · #19
352400
Team352400

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Harrison Mevis · #92
2/2402/28
Team2/2402/28

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Ethan Evans · #42
424360.82
Team424360.82

Passing

passing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Garrett Nussmeier · #14O
13/199800
Chris Oladokun · #19O
5/116300
Justin Fields · #6
4/44100
Team22/3418900

Rushing

rushing box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Emmett Johnson · #10
1259013
Chris Oladokun · #19O
327015
Brashard Smith · #24O
82107
Justin Fields · #6
2908
Emari Demercado · #25O
3905
Team28125015

Receiving

receiving box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jaydn Ott · #42
240027
Jake Briningstool · #88
329010
Nikko Remigio · #81
220017
Cyrus Allen · #13
220013
Andrew Armstrong · #85
117017
Jalen Royals · #11
217011
Brashard Smith · #24O
21208
Noah Gray · #83
110010
Tre Watson · #49
21005
Emmett Johnson · #10
310011
Jared Wiley · #12
1909
Jeff Weimer · #5O
1808
Jason Brownlee · #89
0000
Omari Evans · #7O
0000
Jeff Caldwell · #8O
0000
Jacob De Jesus · #80
0000
Team22202027

Defense

defensive box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Jaden Hicks · #21
7501
Jadon Canady · #22
4300
Jeffrey Bassa · #31
4200
Nohl Williams · #20
4200
Wesley Bissainthe · #59
4100
Jack Cochrane · #43
4000
Xavier Nwankpa · #29
3200
Kristian Fulton · #8D
3100
Alohi Gilman · #17D
3100
Vincent Anthony Jr. · #98
3100
DeShon Singleton · #25D
3100
Melvin Smith Jr. · #39
3100
Kam Arnold · #53
2200
Kaiir Elam · #24D
2200
Cooper McDonald · #44
2100
Kevin Knowles · #35D
2100
Chris Roland-Wallace · #30
2000
R Mason Thomas · #51
2000
Matt Araiza · #14S
1100
Jason Brownlee · #89
1100
D'Arco Perkins-McAllister · #19D
1100
Khyiris Tonga · #92
1000
Tyreke Smith · #57
1000
Tanner McCalister · #34
1000
Emari Demercado · #25O
1000
Ethan Hurkett · #54
1000
Felix Anudike-Uzomah · #91
1000
Team662901

Kick Returns

kickReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
EJ Smith · #35O
130300
Omari Evans · #7O
124240
Team254300

Punt Returns

puntReturns box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Nikko Remigio · #81
119190
Jacob De Jesus · #80
216100
Brashard Smith · #24O
114140
Team449190

Kicking

kicking box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Harrison Butker · #7S
4/4590/012
Team4/4590/012

Punting

punting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Matt Araiza · #14S
522244.43
Team522244.43

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

321

Total yds

314

93

Rush yds

125

0

TO

0

Team stats

LAR

Away

Stat

KC

Home

321

Total yards

314

93

Rushing yds

125

0

Turnovers

0

4-26

totalPenaltiesYards

12-83

26:35

possessionTime

33:25

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

KC -1.5

Between — and 3

Total

36.5

Defensive · -10.5 vs avg

↘1.0pt· 6.1h

Moneyline

LARLAR+10549%
KCKC-12556%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet KC -1.5↗SpreadBet KC -1.5↗

How it ended

LAR beat KC 20-12. Ty Simpson led the way — 21/25 · 190 YDS · 2 TD · 125.0 QBR. LAR outscored the other side 14-3 in the 4th quarter.

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
LAR3301420
KC063312

Betting line

KC -1.5·O/U 36.5·LAR +105/KC -125

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NFL

Los Angeles Rams went into Kansas City Chiefs and beat them, 20–12.

LAR +1.5 cashed (KC lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 36.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

+1.0 since open

Total

36.5

-1.0 since open

Win probability

KC vs LAR

0255075100

Period scoring

LAR won 2 · KC won 2

3
0

Q1

3
6

Q2

0
3

Q3

14
3

Q4

LAR
KC

Play-by-play · 179 plays

event
  1. —

  2. —

    −2pp

  3. —

    +1pp

  4. —

    −0.9pp

  5. —

    +4pp

  6. —

  7. —

    +0.5pp

  8. —

    +1pp

  9. —

    −0.8pp

  10. —

    −4pp

  11. —

    −1pp

  12. —

  13. —

  14. —

  15. —

    −2pp

  16. —

    −2pp

  17. —

    +1pp

  18. —

    −3pp

  19. —

    +2pp

  20. —

    BIG MOMENT

    −6pp

  21. —

    −3pp

  22. —

    +0.8pp

  23. —

    +2pp

  24. —

  25. —

    +2pp

  26. —

    +4pp

  27. —

    −0.9pp

  28. —

  29. —

    +2pp

  30. —

    −2pp

Team rate stats · season-to-date

Tale of the tape

nflverse · weekly aggregates

LAR

LAR

league avg

KC

KC

38.5

Pts / game

◀

23.5

21.5

404

Yds / game

◀

342

339

277

Pass yds / G

◀

225

232

127

Rush yds / G

◀

117

107

0.8

TO / G

0.9

0.8