NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+23WSH

WSH

17-55

133110

UTAH

21-52

NBAWed, Mar 25FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasUTAH -3.5

WSH · top performer

Julian Reese

F · #15

23.0Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

UTAH · top performer

Blake Hinson

F · #2

18.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowWSH ↔ UTAH

Biggest swing: 43pp · 1st Quarter · 4:54

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
L. BlackF · #12	40	11	4-6	3-4	—	+20	7	3
J. ReeseF · #15	30	26	12-16	—	2-4	+7	17	0
B. CarringtonG · #7	24	12	4-7	2-3	2-2	+22	2	3
B. CoulibalyG · #0	19	11	4-9	0-1	3-4	+16	2	3
W. RileyG · #27	22	19	6-14	1-4	6-8	+19	10	5
Bench
A. GillF · #16	22	8	4-5	0-1	—	+18	6	5
S. CooperG · #13	25	17	7-12	1-3	2-2	0	4	6
J. WatkinsG · #5	29	8	3-7	1-3	1-2	+9	6	2
J. HardyG · #8	27	21	8-18	5-13	0-2	+4	2	0
Team		133	52-94	13-32	16-24		56	27
DNP: J. Champagnie, A. Sarr, T. Johnson

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
C. WilliamsF · #5	37	24	11-20	0-3	2-4	-18	4	1
J. KoncharG · #55	38	8	4-9	0-3	—	-25	14	5
E. HarklessG · #16	30	10	4-12	1-4	1-2	-18	3	6
A. BaileyG · #19	29	15	7-19	1-6	—	-8	5	3
B. MbengG · #21	44	11	5-10	0-2	1-3	-28	5	6
Bench
B. HinsonF · #2	11	21	6-8	4-5	5-6	+15	0	1
O. TshiebweC · #34	17	7	2-4	—	3-4	-17	8	4
K. ChandlerG · #0	34	14	6-14	1-6	1-6	-16	1	8
Team		110	45-96	7-29	13-25		40	34
DNP: K. Love, B. Sensabaugh, S. Mykhailiuk, I. Collier

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

UTAH

Home

52-94

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

45-96

FG %

13-32

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

7-29

16-24

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

13-25

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Mar 6

UTAH122@

WSH112

Mar 26

WSH133@

UTAH110today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTAH -3.5

Between — and 5

Total

239.5

High-scoring · +13.5 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH+13043%

UTAH-15561%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTAH -3.5↗SpreadBet UTAH -3.5↗

Line movement · 17 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

3.5

0.0 since open

Total

239.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WSH beat UTAH 133-110. J. Reese paced them with 26 PTS, 17 REB, 0 AST. WSH outscored the other side 39-25 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

UTAH vs WSH

Starters vs bench

production by unit

WSHstarters 59% of pts

Starters(5)

79 PTS · 38 REB · 14 AST

GS 75

Bench(4)

54 PTS · 18 REB · 13 AST

GS 37

UTAHstarters 62% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 31 REB · 21 AST

GS 57

Bench(3)

42 PTS · 9 REB · 13 AST

GS 35

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

UTAH1st Quarter · 4:54 · 18-13

+43pp→ 45% WP

Jamir Watkins · misses 2-foot tip shot

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
WSH	33	39	32	29	133
UTAH	20	25	30	35	110

Period scoring

WSH won 3 · UTAH won 1

Riley 11

Williams 6

Reese 10

Chandler 8

Hardy 9

Konchar 34

Cooper 13

Hinson 13

WSH

UTAH

Shooting comparison

WSH

UTAH

55%

52-94

47%

45-96

41%

13-32

3PT

24%

7-29

67%

16-24

52%

13-25

Play-by-play · 489 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 133·UTAH 110
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 133·UTAH 110
Q4·11.7
shot clock turnover
WSH 133·UTAH 110
Q4·36.0
Cody Williams makes driving layup
WSH 133·UTAH 110
Q4·52.6
Julian Reese makes 1-foot alley oop dunk (Sharife Cooper assists)
·
WSH 133·UTAH 108
Q4·1:06
Sharife Cooper defensive rebound
WSH 131·UTAH 108
Q4·1:09
Cody Williams misses driving dunk
WSH 131·UTAH 108
Q4·1:20
Sharife Cooper makes driving layup
WSH 131·UTAH 108
Q4·1:33
Bez Mbeng makes driving layup (Kennedy Chandler assists)
·
WSH 129·UTAH 108
Q4·1:43
Leaky Black makes 24-foot running jump shot (Sharife Cooper assists)
·
WSH 129·UTAH 106
Q4·1:48
Leaky Black defensive rebound
WSH 126·UTAH 106
Q4·1:51
John Konchar misses 24-foot three point jumper
WSH 126·UTAH 106
Q4·2:00
Sharife Cooper out of bounds bad pass turnover
WSH 126·UTAH 106
Q4·2:14
Cody Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 126·UTAH 106
Q4·2:14
Cody Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 126·UTAH 105
Q4·2:14
Jamir Watkins personal foul
WSH 126·UTAH 104
Q4·2:31
Jaden Hardy makes 15-foot step back jumpshot
WSH 126·UTAH 104
Q4·2:50
Leaky Black defensive rebound
WSH 124·UTAH 104
Q4·2:51
Cody Williams misses free throw 2 of 2
WSH 124·UTAH 104
Q4·2:51
Jazz offensive team rebound
WSH 124·UTAH 104
Q4·2:51
Cody Williams misses free throw 1 of 2
WSH 124·UTAH 104
Q4·2:51
Jazz Full timeout
WSH 124·UTAH 104
Q4·2:51
Sharife Cooper shooting foul
WSH 124·UTAH 104
Q4·3:09
Sharife Cooper makes 26-foot three pointer
WSH 124·UTAH 104
Q4·3:23
Kennedy Chandler makes two point shot
WSH 121·UTAH 104
Q4·3:33
Sharife Cooper makes two point shot
WSH 121·UTAH 102
Q4·3:50
Leaky Black defensive rebound
WSH 119·UTAH 102
Q4·3:52
Ace Bailey misses 10-foot pullup jump shot
WSH 119·UTAH 102
Q4·4:13
Julian Reese makes two point shot
WSH 119·UTAH 102
Q4·4:13
Julian Reese offensive rebound
WSH 117·UTAH 102

Betting line

UTAH -3.5·O/U 239.5·WSH +130/UTAH -155

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ashington Wizards went into Utah Jazz and beat them, 133–110. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

WSH +3.5 cashed (UTAH lost outright). Total cleared the 239.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Bez MbengUTAH · G
DEFL3.998
Blake HinsonUTAH · F
TS%68.497
Anthony GillWSH · F
TS%68.297
Kennedy ChandlerUTAH · G
TOUCHES72.194
Bilal CoulibalyWSH · G
DEFL3.194

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.0%

ensemble · UTAH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
34%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
33%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(UTAH win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

UTAH vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 130 high confidence

Points

Lauri MarkkanenUTAH
24.2± 5.0high
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH
21.4± 8.8high
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH
20.7± 4.8high

Rebounds

Jusuf NurkicUTAH
11.4± 4.1high
Anthony DavisWSH
11.3± 4.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
10.5± 6.4low

Assists

Trae YoungWSH
8.1± 3.5medium
Isaiah CollierUTAH
6.6± 2.5high
Jusuf NurkicUTAH
5.5± 4.5high

Blocks

Anthony DavisWSH
1.7± 1.5high
Alex SarrWSH
1.6± 1.4high
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH
1.3± 1.3high

Steals

Bez MbengUTAH
2.5± 1.7medium
John KoncharUTAH
1.9± 1.7high
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH
1.5± 1.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

WSH

league avg

UTAH

53.5%

Effective FG%

54.4

53.6%

46.3%

FG%

47.0

46.7%

112.9

PPG

114.9

▶

117.6

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

▶

29.6

15.1

Turnovers / G

14.0

15.0

Team pages

Washington WizardsUtah Jazz

Elsewhere in the NBA

Data via ESPN · hoopR