CHI
29-43
PHI
40-33
Recap · NBA
hiladelphia 76ers held off Chicago Bulls, 157–137. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
PHI -6.5 cashed (won by 20). Total cleared the 241.5 OVER by 52.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer
Josh Giddey
G · #3
23
Pts
9
Reb
12
Ast
PHI · top performer
Joel Embiid
C · #21
35
Pts
6
Reb
7
Ast
NBA · Chicago Bulls at Philadelphia 76ers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | -5 | 1 | 0 | |
| 30 | 18 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 2-2 | -15 | 8 | 2 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1-3 | — | — | -9 | 5 | 0 | |
| 28 | 15 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 7-8 | -8 | 4 | 7 | |
| 33 | 23 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | -15 | 9 | 12 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 22 | 11 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | -7 | 4 | 0 | |
| 20 | 10 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | -14 | 3 | 1 | |
| 23 | 13 | 5-10 | 3-6 | — | -22 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 15 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | +5 | 7 | 2 | |
| 6 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | +13 | 2 | 0 | |
| 19 | 16 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | -29 | 1 | 4 | |
| 23 | 12 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | +6 | 2 | 1 | |
| Team | 137 | 48-98 | 15-47 | 26-31 | 48 | 30 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 26 | 28 | 11-22 | 6-13 | — | +14 | 6 | 4 | |
| 26 | 9 | 3-5 | — | 3-4 | +27 | 5 | 5 | |
| 28 | 35 | 12-17 | 3-3 | 8-9 | +33 | 6 | 7 | |
| 31 | 13 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | +16 | 6 | 5 | |
| 30 | 22 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 4-5 | +32 | 6 | 6 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 15 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 | — | +7 | 2 | 1 | |
| 7 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | -14 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | — | -14 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | -13 | 0 | 2 | |
| 14 | 12 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | +20 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | — | -11 | 2 | 0 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1-2 | — | 2-2 | -2 | 8 | 0 | |
| 24 | 15 | 5-8 | 5-8 | — | +16 | 4 | 3 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | — | -11 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 157 | 57-103 | 22-47 | 21-28 | 45 | 34 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
49
FG %
55
30
Ast
34
Season series
CHI wins series 2-1
PHI111@CHI113PHI102@CHI109CHI137@PHI157todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PHI -6.5
Half-pt below key 7
Total
241.5
High-scoring · +15.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CHI+20033%PHI-24571%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
6.5
0.0 since open
Total
241.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
CHIJ. Giddey
GGame leader · 33 minDouble-double
23 PTS · 9 REB · 12 AST
PHIJ. Embiid
CGame leader · 28 min30-point game
35 PTS · 6 REB · 7 AST
How it ended
PHI beat CHI 157-137. J. Embiid led the way with 35 points and 7 assists. PHI outscored the other side 51-32 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
PHI vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 42% of ptsStarters(5)
58 PTS · 27 REB · 21 AST
GS 51
Bench(7)
79 PTS · 21 REB · 9 AST
GS 58
PHIstarters 68% of ptsStarters(5)
107 PTS · 29 REB · 27 AST
GS 110
Bench(9)
50 PTS · 16 REB · 7 AST
GS 34
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 26 | 26 | 32 | 53 | 137 |
| PHI | 38 | 33 | 51 | 35 | 157 |
Period scoring
CHI won 1 · PHI won 3
Q1
Sexton 8
Embiid 15
Q2
Giddey 10
Embiid 8
Q3
Okoro 6
Embiid 12
Q4
Miller 13
George 13
Shooting comparison
49%
48-98
FG
55%
57-103
32%
15-47
3PT
47%
22-47
84%
26-31
FT
75%
21-28
Play-by-play · 515 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 137·PHI 157
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 137·PHI 157
- Q4·0.1
Bulls offensive team rebound
CHI 137·PHI 157
- Q4·0.2
Matas Buzelis misses 29-foot three point pullup jump shot
CHI 137·PHI 157
- Q4·4.0
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
CHI 137·PHI 157
- Q4·7.3
Kyle Lowry misses 27-foot three point jumper
CHI 137·PHI 157
- Q4·18.1
Leonard Miller makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 137·PHI 157
- Q4·18.1
Leonard Miller makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 136·PHI 157
- Q4·18.1
Jabari Walker shooting foul
CHI 135·PHI 157
- Q4·25.2
Kyle Lowry makes 26-foot three pointer (Dalen Terry assists)
·
CHI 135·PHI 157
- Q4·34.8
Rob Dillingham makes 2-foot two point shot
CHI 135·PHI 154
- Q4·39.3
Dalen Terry makes free throw 1 of 1
CHI 133·PHI 154
- Q4·39.3
Leonard Miller shooting foul
CHI 133·PHI 153
- Q4·39.3
Dalen Terry makes 16-foot driving floating jump shot
CHI 133·PHI 153
- Q4·46.8
Leonard Miller makes 25-foot three point jumper
CHI 133·PHI 151
- Q4·53.5
Jabari Walker kicked ball violation
CHI 130·PHI 151
- Q4·55.8
Rob Dillingham defensive rebound
CHI 130·PHI 151
- Q4·58.7
Kyle Lowry misses 22-foot three point jumper
CHI 130·PHI 151
- Q4·1:10
Lachlan Olbrich makes two point shot (Leonard Miller assists)
·
CHI 130·PHI 151
- Q4·1:21
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
CHI 128·PHI 151
- Q4·1:23
MarJon Beauchamp misses free throw 2 of 2
CHI 128·PHI 151
- Q4·1:23
76ers offensive team rebound
CHI 128·PHI 151
- Q4·1:23
MarJon Beauchamp misses free throw 1 of 2
CHI 128·PHI 151
- Q4·1:23
Rob Dillingham shooting foul
CHI 128·PHI 151
- Q4·1:29
Patrick Williams makes tip shot
CHI 128·PHI 151
- Q4·1:29
Patrick Williams offensive rebound
CHI 126·PHI 151
- Q4·1:30
Lachlan Olbrich misses 24-foot three point jumper
CHI 126·PHI 151
- Q4·1:45
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
CHI 126·PHI 151
- Q4·1:47
Andre Drummond misses two point shot
CHI 126·PHI 151
- Q4·2:00
Matas Buzelis makes 26-foot running pullup jump shot
CHI 126·PHI 151
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
PHI
Home
48-98
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
57-103
49
FG %
55
15-47
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
22-47
26-31
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
21-28
30
Assists
34
13
Turnovers
8
Betting line
PHI -6.5·O/U 241.5·CHI +200/PHI -245
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
3 of 7 players in cohort- Joel EmbiidPHI · CUSG%34.399+
Paul GeorgePHI · FDEFL3.595
VJ EdgecombePHI · GTOUCHES66.189
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
PHI vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
170
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI25.0± 6.5high
- Collin SextonCHI17.9± 4.5high
Rebounds
- Josh GiddeyCHI8.1± 4.3high
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
- Nick RichardsCHI6.7± 2.5high
Assists
- Josh GiddeyCHI9.9± 4.4high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
- Tre JonesCHI5.2± 2.9high
Blocks
- Matas BuzelisCHI1.5± 1.4high
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
- Adem BonaPHI1.1± 1.3high
Steals
- Collin SextonCHI1.6± 1.3high
- Paul GeorgePHI1.5± 1.1high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI1.2± 0.9high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
CHI
league avg
PHI
54.7%
Effective FG%
54.4
52.9%
46.9%
FG%
47.0
46.0%
116.3
PPG
114.9
114.3
28.5
Assists / G
25.0
24.1
14.6
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶12.8