NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2STL

STL

37-33-12

UTA

43-33-6

NHLThu, Apr 16FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasUTAH -122

Recap · NHL

t. Louis Blues went into Utah Mammoth and beat them, 5–3.

STL +1.5 cashed (UTA lost outright). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

STL · top performer

Robert Thomas

C · #18

3Points

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

Michael Carcone

LW · #53

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. BerggrenRW · #29	0	0	-2	0	1	0	0	15:03
P. BuchnevichLW · #89	1	0	2	2	0	1	0	14:42
D. DvorskyRW · #54	0	0	-2	2	0	0	0	14:05
J. FinleyC · #37	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	14:13
D. HollowayLW · #81	0	2	2	2	2	2	0	17:06
J. KyrouRW · #25	0	1	2	2	0	1	0	13:48
J. NeighboursLW · #63	0	0	-2	2	3	2	0	14:47
J. SnuggerudRW · #21	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	16:34
P. SuterC · #22	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	13:38
R. ThomasC · #18	3	0	2	3	0	2	0	16:54
A. ToropchenkoRW · #13	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	14:25
N. WalkerLW · #26	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	14:23

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
P. BrobergD · #6	0	1	3	2	0	1	2	22:11
C. FowlerD · #17	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	18:44
J. HollD · #4	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	18:04
L. MaillouxD · #23	1	0	3	2	1	1	0	22:34
C. ParaykoD · #55	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	17:58
T. TuckerD · #75	0	0	-1	1	0	1	0	18:51

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. HoferG · #30	23	3	20	.870	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	17:49
L. CooleyC · #92	0	0	-2	0	0	1	2	13:51
L. CrouseLW · #67	1	0	-2	2	4	0	0	18:35
C. KellerRW · #9	0	2	-1	1	0	0	0	20:14
A. KerfootC · #15	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	16:29
L. O'BrienC · #38	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	12:06
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	1	-1	3	0	0	0	21:02
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	0	-2	1	0	1	0	18:15
K. StenlundC · #82	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	14:25
B. TanevLW · #13	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	11:52
K. YamamotoRW · #56	1	0	-1	2	0	0	0	14:11

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	0	-1	0	0	2	0	16:21
N. DeSimoneD · #57	0	0	-1	2	2	2	0	16:27
J. MarinoD · #6	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	19:14
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	16:25
M. SergachevD · #98	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	20:25
D. SimashevD · #26	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	12:19
M. WeegarD · #52	0	2	0	1	1	1	2	17:29

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	18	3	15	.833	40:00
V. VanecekG · #41	10	1	9	.900	18:31

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 2-2

Oct 24

UTA7@

STL4

Nov 30

UTA0@

STL1

Jan 10

STL2@

UTA4

Apr 16

STL5@

UTA3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STL+10250%

UTA-12255%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 43 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

STL

R. Thomas

Top skaterHat trick

3 G · 3 SOG

J. Hofer

Goaltender

20 SV · 3 GA · .870

UTA

M. Carcone

Top skater

1 G · 3 SOG

K. Vejmelka

Goaltender

15 SV · 3 GA · .833

How it ended

STL beat UTA 5-3. R. Thomas led the way — 3 G · 3 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
STL	1	2	2	5
UTA	1	2	0	3

Period scoring

STL won 1 · UTA won 0

STL

UTA

Play-by-play · 311 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
STL 5·UTA 3
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
STL 5·UTA 3
3rd·19:22
Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Jack Finley
·
STL 5·UTA 3
3rd·19:22
Robert Thomas Goal (25) Wrist Shot, assists: Jimmy Snuggerud (30), Philip Broberg (28)
· ·
STL 5·UTA 3
3rd·19:13
Clayton Keller shot blocked by Dylan Holloway
· ·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:11
Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Robert Thomas
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:11
Timeout - Home
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:11
Icing
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:07
Dylan Holloway Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·19:07
Lawson Crouse shot blocked by Robert Thomas
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:37
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:37
Icing
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:33
Joel Hofer Snap Shot Wide Left
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·18:11
Nick Schmaltz shot blocked by Philip Broberg
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:57
Giveaway by Mikhail Sergachev
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:53
Nick Schmaltz faceoff won against Robert Thomas
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:53
Puck in Crowd
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:50
John Marino shot blocked by Jake Neighbours
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:43
Kailer Yamamoto Wrist Shot Off Crossbar
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:20
Michael Carcone shot blocked by Cam Fowler
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:17
Alexander Kerfoot faceoff won against Dalibor Dvorsky
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:17
Puck in Benches
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:03
Logan Cooley faceoff won against Dalibor Dvorsky
·
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:03
Logan Mailloux Goal (5) Backhand, assists: none
STL 4·UTA 3
3rd·17:02
Giveaway by Clayton Keller
STL 3·UTA 3
3rd·16:37
Nathan Walker hit Nate Schmidt
·
STL 3·UTA 3
3rd·16:18
Tyler Tucker Snap Shot saved by Vitek Vanecek
·
STL 3·UTA 3
3rd·16:08
Michael Carcone hit Justin Holl
·
STL 3·UTA 3
3rd·16:08
Justin Holl Slap Shot Wide Left
·
STL 3·UTA 3
3rd·16:05
Alexey Toropchenko Snap Shot Wide Left
·
STL 3·UTA 3

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·STL +102/UTA -122

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Philip BrobergSTL · D
BURSTS15898
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RW
SHOT MPH95.697
Colton ParaykoSTL · D
BURSTS9494
Cam FowlerSTL · D
DIST MI260.294
Dylan HollowaySTL · LW
SHOT MPH93.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

57.7%

ensemble · UTA favored

Elo Static
61.8%
P(UTA win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
61.8%
P(UTA win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
61.8%
P(UTA win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-122

Close price

-122

Open no-vig

52.6%

Close no-vig

52.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss