NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3VGK

23-19-14

VGK

27-16-14

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Feb 5FinalSeriesVGK leads series 2-1VegasVGK -142

Recap · NHL

egas Golden Knights held off Los Angeles Kings, 4–1.

VGK -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

LA · top performer

Joel Armia

RW · #40

1Points

—

SOG

VGK · top performer

Mark Stone

RW · #61

3Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

LA23-19-14

VGK27-16-14

LA23-19-14VGK27-16-14

23-19-14

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

VGK

27-16-14

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

VGK leads series 2-1

Oct 9

LA6@

VGK5

Jan 15

VGK3@

LA2

Feb 6

LA1@

VGK4today

Feb 26

VGK6@

LA4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

VGK -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LA+12045%

VGK-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗SpreadBet VGK -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

VGK beat LA 4-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
LA	1	0	0	1
VGK	4	0	0	4

Period scoring

LA won 0 · VGK won 1

VGK

Play-by-play · 344 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·19:57
Kaedan Korczak hit Jacob Moverare
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·19:55
Jacob Moverare Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·19:35
Kai Uchacz faceoff won against Samuel Helenius
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·19:35
Icing
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·19:32
Taylor Ward hit Kai Uchacz
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·19:25
Samuel Helenius shot blocked by Ben Hutton
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·19:20
Giveaway by Kaedan Korczak
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·18:58
Adrian Kempe Snap Shot saved by Adin Hill
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·18:53
Giveaway by Kai Uchacz
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:47
Alex Laferriere hit Braeden Bowman
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:46
Giveaway by Braeden Bowman
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:31
Kai Uchacz faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:31
Puck in Penalty Benches
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:25
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Kai Uchacz
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:25
Goalie Stopped
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:23
Cole Reinhardt Tip-In saved by Anton Forsberg
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:06
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Kai Uchacz
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:06
Quinton Byfield Holding the stick against Braeden Bowman
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·17:03
Takeaway by Braeden Bowman
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·16:18
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Tomas Hertl
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·16:18
Icing
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·16:04
Jeff Malott Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·15:41
Jeremy Lauzon hit Kevin Fiala
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·15:10
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Mitch Marner
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·15:10
Off-side
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·14:48
Samuel Helenius shot blocked by Braeden Bowman
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·14:27
Kai Uchacz faceoff won against Samuel Helenius
·
LA 1·VGK 4
3rd·14:27
Icing
LA 1·VGK 4

Team stats

Away

Stat

VGK

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

VGK -1.5·O/U 5.5·LA +120/VGK -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 skaters with EDGE

Jack EichelVGK · C
DIST MI58.999+
Shea TheodoreVGK · D
SKATE MPH23.399
Mitch MarnerVGK · RW
DIST MI53.598
Noah HanifinVGK · D
BURSTS1998
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
DIST MI54.196

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · VGK favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VGK win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VGK win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(VGK win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-142

Close price

-142

Open no-vig

56.3%

Close no-vig

56.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit