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FINAL+2CAR
CAR

CAR

36-15-6

20
NYR

NYR

22-29-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Feb 5FinalSeriesCAR wins series 3-1VegasCAR -225

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes went into New York Rangers and beat them, 2–0.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CAR · top performer

CAR
Jackson Blake

Jackson Blake

RW · #53

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

NYR
Anton Blidh

Anton Blidh

LW · #25

0Points

0

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
0
CAR36-15-6NYR22-29-6
CAR

CAR

36-15-6

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NYR

NYR

22-29-6

0
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

CAR wins series 3-1

Nov 5CARCAR3@NYRNYR0
Nov 27NYRNYR4@CARCAR2
Dec 30NYRNYR2@CARCAR3
Feb 6CARCAR2@NYRNYR0today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CARCAR-22569%
NYRNYR+18535%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat NYR 2-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CAR1012
NYR0000

Period scoring

CAR won 2 · NYR won 0

1
0

1

0
0

2

1
0

3

CAR
NYR

Play-by-play · 298 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CAR 2·NYR 0

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CAR 2·NYR 0

  3. 3rd·19:32

    Urho Vaakanainen shot blocked by Shayne Gostisbehere

    ·

    CAR 2·NYR 0

  4. 3rd·19:28

    Noah Laba shot blocked by Mark Jankowski

    ·

    CAR 2·NYR 0

  5. 3rd·19:15

    Noah Laba hit Mark Jankowski

    ·

    CAR 2·NYR 0

  6. 3rd·19:06

    Noah Laba faceoff won against Mark Jankowski

    ·

    CAR 2·NYR 0

  7. 3rd·19:06

    Jordan Staal Goal (15) Wrist Shot, assists: Nikolaj Ehlers (29), Jackson Blake (17)

    · ·

    CAR 2·NYR 0

  8. 3rd·17:56

    Sean Walker hit Gabe Perreault

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  9. 3rd·17:56

    Giveaway by Gabe Perreault

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  10. 3rd·16:20

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Noah Laba

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  11. 3rd·16:20

    Off-side

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  12. 3rd·16:14

    Seth Jarvis hit Will Borgen

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  13. 3rd·15:27

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  14. 3rd·15:27

    Puck in Netting

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  15. 3rd·15:25

    Will Cuylle shot blocked by K'Andre Miller

    · ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  16. 3rd·15:24

    Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Jordan Staal

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  17. 3rd·15:24

    Icing

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  18. 3rd·15:16

    Will Cuylle shot blocked by K'Andre Miller

    · ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  19. 3rd·14:25

    Jaccob Slavin Slap Shot saved by Jonathan Quick

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  20. 3rd·14:23

    Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Mika Zibanejad

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  21. 3rd·14:23

    Icing

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  22. 3rd·14:15

    Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Sebastian Aho

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  23. 3rd·14:15

    Goalie Stopped

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  24. 3rd·14:13

    Nikolaj Ehlers Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  25. 3rd·13:29

    Seth Jarvis Snap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  26. 3rd·13:16

    Jaccob Slavin Slap Shot saved by Jonathan Quick

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  27. 3rd·13:01

    William Carrier Wrist Shot saved by Jonathan Quick

    ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  28. 3rd·12:50

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against J.T. Miller

    · ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  29. 3rd·12:50

    Icing

    CAR 1·NYR 0

  30. 3rd·12:41

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against J.T. Miller

    · ·

    CAR 1·NYR 0

Team stats

CAR

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

43

Shots

16

0.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

27

Faceoffs W

19

10

Blocks

21

18

Giveaways

15

5

Takeaways

4

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR -225/NYR +185

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • J.T. MillerNYR · LW
    SHOT MPH102.699+
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    DIST MI44.795
  • Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
    BURSTS3995

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+185

Close price

+185

Open no-vig

33.6%

Close no-vig

33.6%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR