Live · 3
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1OTT
OTT

OTT

28-22-7

21
PHI

PHI

25-20-11

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Feb 5FinalSeriesOTT wins series 3-0VegasOTT -130

Recap · NHL

ttawa Senators went into Philadelphia Flyers and beat them, 2–1 in overtime.

PHI +1.5 cashed (OTT won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

OTT · top performer

OTT
Michael Amadio

Michael Amadio

RW · #22

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

PHI · top performer

PHI
Bobby Brink

Bobby Brink

RW · #10

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
2
1
OTT28-22-7PHI25-20-11
OTT

OTT

28-22-7

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
PHI

PHI

25-20-11

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

2

Season series

OTT wins series 3-0

Oct 23PHIPHI1@OTTOTT2
Nov 8OTTOTT3@PHIPHI2
Feb 6OTTOTT2@PHIPHI1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

OTT -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

OTTOTT-13057%
PHIPHI+11048%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗SpreadBet OTT -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

OTT beat PHI 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
OTT01012
PHI00101

Period scoring

OTT won 2 · PHI won 1

0
0

1

1
0

2

0
1

3

1
0

OT

OTT
PHI

Play-by-play · 282 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·0:47

    Game End

    OTT 2·PHI 1

  2. OT·0:47

    End of OT

    OTT 2·PHI 1

  3. OT·0:47

    Tim Stützle Goal (28) Backhand, assists: Brady Tkachuk (23)

    ·

    OTT 2·PHI 1

  4. OT·0:38

    Travis Konecny Wrist Shot saved by James Reimer

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  5. OT·0:15

    Tim Stützle Backhand Wide Left

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  6. OT·0:00

    Claude Giroux faceoff won against Christian Dvorak

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  7. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  8. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  9. 3rd·19:14

    Jordan Spence Slap Shot saved by Dan Vladar

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  10. 3rd·18:52

    Claude Giroux hit Travis Sanheim

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  11. 3rd·18:46

    Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Tim Stützle

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  12. 3rd·18:46

    Jamie Drysdale Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Bobby Brink (11), Trevor Zegras (29)

    · ·

    OTT 1·PHI 1

  13. 3rd·18:27

    Owen Tippett shot blocked by Michael Amadio

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  14. 3rd·18:16

    Trevor Zegras Snap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  15. 3rd·17:59

    Owen Tippett Tip-In saved by James Reimer

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  16. 3rd·17:52

    Cam York Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  17. 3rd·17:49

    Giveaway by Jake Sanderson

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  18. 3rd·17:21

    Matvei Michkov hit Ridly Greig

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  19. 3rd·17:20

    Bobby Brink hit Dylan Cozens

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  20. 3rd·17:20

    Matvei Michkov Wrist Shot saved by James Reimer

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  21. 3rd·16:52

    Giveaway by Jamie Drysdale

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  22. 3rd·16:51

    Giveaway by Tim Stützle

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  23. 3rd·16:38

    Jamie Drysdale shot blocked by Nick Cousins

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  24. 3rd·15:52

    Christian Dvorak faceoff won against Lars Eller

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  25. 3rd·15:52

    Puck in Netting

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  26. 3rd·15:50

    Travis Konecny shot blocked by Thomas Chabot

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  27. 3rd·14:45

    Lars Eller faceoff won against Sean Couturier

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  28. 3rd·14:45

    Icing

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  29. 3rd·14:19

    Bobby Brink Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

  30. 3rd·13:59

    Trevor Zegras hit Ridly Greig

    ·

    OTT 1·PHI 0

Team stats

OTT

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

27

Shots

16

0.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

2

25

Faceoffs W

21

18

Blocks

6

15

Giveaways

21

5

Takeaways

3

Betting line

OTT -1.5·O/U 6.5·OTT -130/PHI +110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
    SKATE MPH23.098
  • Travis SanheimPHI · D
    SKATE MPH22.795
  • Cam YorkPHI · D
    SKATE MPH22.693
  • Christian DvorakPHI · C
    BURSTS3492
  • Nick JensenOTT · D
    SKATE MPH22.785

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · PHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+110

Close price

+110

Open no-vig

45.7%

Close no-vig

45.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR