Live · 9
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1MIN
DET

DET

31-16-5

34
MIN

MIN

29-14-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 22FinalSeriesMIN leads series 1-0VegasMIN -162

Recap · NHL

innesota Wild held off Detroit Red Wings, 4–3 in overtime.

DET +1.5 cashed (MIN won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DET · top performer

DET
Lucas Raymond

Lucas Raymond

LW · #23

2Points

2

G

0

A

—

SOG

MIN · top performer

MIN
Kirill Kaprizov

Kirill Kaprizov

LW · #97

3Points

2

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
3
4
DET31-16-5MIN29-14-9
DET

DET

31-16-5

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
MIN

MIN

29-14-9

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

4

Season series

MIN leads series 1-0

Jan 23DETDET3@MINMIN4today
Apr 5MINMIN5@DETDET4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MIN -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET+13642%
MINMIN-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗SpreadBet MIN -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

MIN beat DET 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
DET11103
MIN10214

Period scoring

DET won 1 · MIN won 2

1
1

1

1
0

2

1
2

3

0
1

OT

DET
MIN

Play-by-play · 333 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·0:45

    Game End

    DET 3·MIN 4

  2. OT·0:45

    End of OT

    DET 3·MIN 4

  3. OT·0:45

    Kirill Kaprizov Goal (27) Wrist Shot, assists: Quinn Hughes (43)

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 4

  4. OT·0:13

    Dylan Larkin Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  5. OT·0:00

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  6. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    DET 3·MIN 3

  7. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    DET 3·MIN 3

  8. 3rd·19:57

    Jacob Bernard-Docker Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  9. 3rd·19:51

    Dylan Larkin Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  10. 3rd·19:18

    Giveaway by Joel Eriksson Ek

    DET 3·MIN 3

  11. 3rd·19:16

    Giveaway by Moritz Seider

    DET 3·MIN 3

  12. 3rd·19:10

    Giveaway by Brock Faber

    DET 3·MIN 3

  13. 3rd·18:42

    Patrick Kane Wrist Shot saved by Filip Gustavsson

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  14. 3rd·18:40

    Andrew Copp faceoff won against Joel Eriksson Ek

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  15. 3rd·18:40

    Goalie Stopped

    DET 3·MIN 3

  16. 3rd·18:38

    Jacob Bernard-Docker Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  17. 3rd·18:30

    Ryan Hartman hit Lucas Raymond

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  18. 3rd·18:22

    Marco Kasper hit Ryan Hartman

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  19. 3rd·18:18

    Lucas Raymond shot blocked by Ryan Hartman

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  20. 3rd·18:14

    Dylan Larkin shot blocked by Ryan Hartman

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  21. 3rd·17:16

    Yakov Trenin Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  22. 3rd·17:13

    Jared Spurgeon shot blocked by Ben Chiarot

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  23. 3rd·16:23

    Alex DeBrincat Wrist Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  24. 3rd·15:45

    Kirill Kaprizov Snap Shot saved by Cam Talbot

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  25. 3rd·15:24

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

  26. 3rd·15:24

    Puck in Benches

    DET 3·MIN 3

  27. 3rd·15:15

    Takeaway by Dylan Larkin

    DET 3·MIN 3

  28. 3rd·15:04

    Giveaway by Dylan Larkin

    DET 3·MIN 3

  29. 3rd·14:50

    Giveaway by Jared Spurgeon

    DET 3·MIN 3

  30. 3rd·14:24

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Ryan Hartman

    ·

    DET 3·MIN 3

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

MIN

Home

34

Shots

39

50.0

PCT

25.0

8

PIM

4

40

Faceoffs W

20

18

Blocks

20

14

Giveaways

16

4

Takeaways

3

Betting line

MIN -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET +136/MIN -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE
  • Brock FaberMIN · D
    BURSTS2799+
  • Moritz SeiderDET · D
    DIST MI299.899
  • Vinnie HinostrozaFLA · C
    SKATE MPH23.696
  • Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
    DIST MI252.196
  • Marcus JohanssonMIN · LW
    SKATE MPH23.296

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MIN favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MIN win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+136

Close price

+136

Open no-vig

40.7%

Close no-vig

40.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR