NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+3CAR

DAL

25-10-8

CAR

26-14-3

NHLTue, Jan 6FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCAR -142

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Dallas Stars, 6–3.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DAL · top performer

Jason Robertson

LW · #21

3Points

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

Andrei Svechnikov

RW · #37

4Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
O. BackC · #10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	12:38
C. BlackwellC · #15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	13:20
M. BourqueC · #22	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	14:35
M. DucheneC · #95	0	0	-3	0	0	0	0	15:35
A. ErneLW · #73	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	6:57
R. FaksaC · #12	0	0	0	1	3	1	0	12:48
R. HintzC · #24	0	0	-1	3	5	1	2	16:17
J. HryckowianC · #49	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	11:56
W. JohnstonC · #53	1	0	-2	3	2	0	0	18:30
M. RantanenRW · #96	1	1	-3	3	0	0	2	20:24
J. RobertsonLW · #21	1	2	0	2	0	1	2	19:42
S. SteelC · #18	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	14:00

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
T. HarleyD · #55	0	0	-2	3	2	0	0	22:50
M. HeiskanenD · #4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	22:47
E. LindellD · #23	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	21:09
N. LundkvistD · #5	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	13:44
I. LyubushkinD · #46	0	0	-2	1	2	3	0	19:32
A. PetrovicD · #28	0	0	-2	1	3	1	0	16:27

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. OettingerG · #29	15	5	10	.667	26:59
C. DeSmithG · #1	18	1	17	.944	32:56

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
S. AhoC · #20	0	1	2	2	0	0	2	16:45
J. BlakeRW · #53	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	16:45
W. CarrierLW · #28	1	0	1	3	4	1	4	11:55
N. EhlersLW · #27	0	3	2	1	0	1	0	15:45
T. HallLW · #71	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	16:45
S. JarvisC · #24	1	1	0	6	4	0	0	18:01
J. MartinookLW · #48	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	15:42
N. PhilpC · #15	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	7:38
E. RobinsonLW · #50	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	11:47
J. StaalC · #11	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	17:05
L. StankovenC · #22	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	15:43
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	0	4	1	2	4	1	0	18:53

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	1	1	2	2	1	0	20:05
S. GostisbehereD · #4	1	0	0	4	1	3	0	21:31
K. MillerD · #19	2	1	3	2	0	0	0	20:20
A. NikishinD · #21	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	15:24
J. NystromD · #64	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:17
S. WalkerD · #26	0	0	2	1	3	2	0	19:56

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
B. BussiG · #32	23	3	21	.913	59:41

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 26

CAR2@

DAL3

Jan 7

DAL3@

CAR6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL+12045%

CAR-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 16 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat DAL 6-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DAL	1	0	2	3
CAR	3	2	1	6

Period scoring

DAL won 1 · CAR won 2

DAL

CAR

Play-by-play · 342 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·19:25
William Carrier Backhand saved by Casey DeSmith
· ·
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·19:19
Joel Nystrom shot blocked by Radek Faksa
·
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·19:17
Jordan Martinook faceoff won against Radek Faksa
·
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·19:17
Puck Frozen - Skater
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·19:14
Jackson Blake Snap Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·19:10
Takeaway by Jackson Blake
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·18:39
Giveaway by Taylor Hall
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·18:31
Giveaway by Ilya Lyubushkin
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·18:28
Logan Stankoven faceoff won against Matt Duchene
·
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·18:28
Goalie Stopped
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·18:26
Taylor Hall Snap Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·18:11
Logan Stankoven faceoff won against Matt Duchene
·
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·18:11
Wyatt Johnston Goal (23) Batted, assists: Mikko Rantanen (42), Jason Robertson (27)
· ·
DAL 3·CAR 6
3rd·18:08
Mikko Rantanen Snap Shot Off Crossbar
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·17:03
Wyatt Johnston Backhand saved by Brandon Bussi
· ·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·16:41
Jordan Staal faceoff won against Roope Hintz
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·16:41
William Carrier Holding the stick against Roope Hintz
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·16:05
Roope Hintz faceoff won against Jordan Martinook
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·16:05
Off-side
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·16:03
William Carrier hit Wyatt Johnston
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·15:58
Sean Walker Slap Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·15:29
Justin Hryckowian hit Jackson Blake
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·15:22
Matt Duchene Snap Shot Wide Left
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·15:21
Mavrik Bourque Snap Shot Wide Left
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·15:02
Andrei Svechnikov hit Matt Duchene
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·14:53
Andrei Svechnikov hit Justin Hryckowian
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·14:45
Thomas Harley shot blocked by Shayne Gostisbehere
·
DAL 2·CAR 6
3rd·14:40
Justin Hryckowian Backhand saved by Brandon Bussi
· ·
DAL 2·CAR 6

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

Shots

66.7

PCT

40.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·DAL +120/CAR -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 26 skaters with EDGE

Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
CORSI%6699+
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
CORSI%6599+
Roope HintzDAL · C
xGF%6599
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
CORSI%6499
Jackson BlakeCAR · RW
CORSI%6499

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

53.2%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
56.1%
P(CAR win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
56.1%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
56.1%
P(CAR win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.