NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CBJ

DAL

28-14-9

CBJ

23-20-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 22FinalSeriesCBJ win series 2-0VegasDAL -110

Recap · NHL

olumbus Blue Jackets held off Dallas Stars, 1–0.

CBJ +1.5 cashed (DAL lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 5.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DAL · top performer

Oskar Back

C · #10

0Points

—

SOG

CBJ · top performer

Isac Lundestrom

C · #21

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

DAL28-14-9

CBJ23-20-7

DAL28-14-9CBJ23-20-7

DAL

28-14-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CBJ

23-20-7

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CBJ win series 2-0

Oct 22

CBJ5@

DAL1

Jan 23

DAL0@

CBJ1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL-11052%

CBJ-11052%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 18 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CBJ beat DAL 1-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DAL	0	0	0	0
CBJ	1	0	0	1

Period scoring

DAL won 0 · CBJ won 1

DAL

CBJ

Play-by-play · 296 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·19:59
Miro Heiskanen Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·19:56
Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Zach Werenski
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·19:48
Boone Jenner faceoff won against Roope Hintz
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·19:48
Off-side
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·19:06
Takeaway by Damon Severson
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·18:51
Roope Hintz faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·18:51
Puck in Netting
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·18:49
Justin Hryckowian Wrist Shot Off Crossbar
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·18:05
Boone Jenner hit Roope Hintz
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·17:03
Wyatt Johnston Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:47
Wyatt Johnston faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:47
Puck in Netting
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:45
Nils Lundkvist Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:43
Jamie Benn hit Boone Jenner
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:40
Oskar Bäck Deflected Wide Left
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:26
Zach Werenski Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:24
Justin Hryckowian faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:24
Goalie Stopped
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:20
Kirill Marchenko Backhand saved by Casey DeSmith
· ·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:14
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Roope Hintz
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:14
Icing
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:07
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Justin Hryckowian
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·16:07
Puck Frozen - Goalie
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·14:56
Mathieu Olivier Slap Shot saved by Casey DeSmith
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·14:20
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Roope Hintz
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·14:20
Puck Frozen - Goalie
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·14:12
Alexander Petrovic shot blocked by Erik Gudbranson
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1
3rd·13:43
Cole Sillinger hit Esa Lindell
·
DAL 0·CBJ 1

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

CBJ

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 6.5·DAL -110/CBJ -110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
DIST MI299.999+
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RW
BURSTS30199
Roope HintzDAL · C
BURSTS25998
Zach WerenskiCBJ · D
DIST MI289.198
Adam FantilliCBJ · C
DIST MI256.696

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CBJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-110

Close price

-110

Open no-vig

50.0%

Close no-vig

50.0%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

CBJ vs DAL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 138 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jason RobertsonDAL
3.9± 2.0high
Zach WerenskiCBJ
3.4± 2.5high
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ
2.8± 1.6high

Goals

Jason RobertsonDAL
0.8± 0.6high
Wyatt JohnstonDAL
0.6± 0.7high
Mavrik BourqueDAL
0.4± 1.0high

Points

Jason RobertsonDAL
1.3± 0.9high
Matt DucheneDAL
1.2± 1.2high
Mikko RantanenDAL
1.1± 0.8high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands