NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2DAL

DAL

27-10-9

19-16-10

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLMon, Jan 12FinalSeriesDAL wins series 2-1VegasDAL -120

Recap · NHL

allas Stars went into Los Angeles Kings and beat them, 3–1.

DAL -1.5 cashed (won by 2). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DAL · top performer

Sam Steel

C · #18

2Points

—

SOG

LA · top performer

Quinton Byfield

RW · #55

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

DAL27-10-9

LA19-16-10

DAL27-10-9LA19-16-10

DAL

27-10-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

19-16-10

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

DAL wins series 2-1

Oct 24

LA3@

DAL2

Dec 16

LA1@

DAL4

Jan 13

DAL3@

LA1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DAL-12055%

LA+10050%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DAL beat LA 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
DAL	1	0	2	3
LA	0	0	1	1

Period scoring

DAL won 2 · LA won 0

DAL

Play-by-play · 251 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
DAL 3·LA 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
DAL 3·LA 1
3rd·19:42
Samuel Helenius faceoff won against Matt Duchene
·
DAL 3·LA 1
3rd·19:42
Matt Duchene Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Mikko Rantanen (44), Sam Steel (12)
· ·
DAL 3·LA 1
3rd·19:36
Miro Heiskanen hit Corey Perry
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·19:12
Sam Steel Wrist Shot Hit Right Post
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·18:54
Drew Doughty shot blocked by Mikko Rantanen
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·18:14
Giveaway by Miro Heiskanen
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·18:02
Miro Heiskanen Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:59
Wyatt Johnston faceoff won against Adrian Kempe
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:59
Goalie Stopped
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:58
Mavrik Bourque shot blocked by Alex Laferriere
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:37
Giveaway by Thomas Harley
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:20
Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:17
Alex Laferriere faceoff won against Roope Hintz
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:17
Off-side
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:06
Joel Edmundson Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:04
Jeff Malott Wrist Shot Short
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:02
Warren Foegele Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·17:00
Alex Laferriere shot blocked by Sam Steel
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·16:57
Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot saved by Jake Oettinger
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·16:51
Sam Steel faceoff won against Quinton Byfield
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·16:51
Hand Pass
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·16:36
Alex Laferriere hit Roope Hintz
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·16:23
Roope Hintz faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·16:23
Icing
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·16:14
Roope Hintz faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·16:14
Jason Robertson Goal (27) Backhand, assists: Roope Hintz (22), Esa Lindell (16)
· ·
DAL 2·LA 1
3rd·15:43
Giveaway by Warren Foegele
DAL 1·LA 1
3rd·15:10
Quinton Byfield faceoff won against Matt Duchene
·
DAL 1·LA 1

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 5.5·DAL -120/LA +100

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

2 of 15 skaters with EDGE

Roope HintzDAL · C
BURSTS25998
Warren FoegeleOTT · LW
SKATE MPH22.786

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · LA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+100

Close price

+100

Open no-vig

47.8%

Close no-vig

47.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

LA vs DAL.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 138 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jason RobertsonDAL
3.9± 2.0high
Alex LaferriereLA
3.0± 1.6high
Quinton ByfieldLA
3.0± 2.2high

Goals

Jason RobertsonDAL
0.8± 0.6high
Wyatt JohnstonDAL
0.6± 0.7high
Adrian KempeLA
0.5± 0.7high

Points

Jason RobertsonDAL
1.3± 0.9high
Matt DucheneDAL
1.2± 1.2high
Mikko RantanenDAL
1.1± 0.8high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands