Live · 9
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+8CAR
FLA

FLA

24-19-3

19
CAR

CAR

29-15-4

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLFri, Jan 16FinalSeriesFLA wins series 2-1VegasCAR -180

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Florida Panthers, 9–1.

CAR -1.5 cashed (won by 8). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FLA · top performer

FLA
Mackie Samoskevich

Mackie Samoskevich

RW · #11

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

CAR
Nikolaj Ehlers

Nikolaj Ehlers

LW · #27

4Points

3

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
9
FLA24-19-3CAR29-15-4
FLA

FLA

24-19-3

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CAR

CAR

29-15-4

9
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

29

PIM

19

Season series

FLA wins series 2-1

Dec 20CARCAR3@FLAFLA4
Dec 24FLAFLA5@CARCAR2
Jan 17FLAFLA1@CARCAR9today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

FLAFLA+15040%
CARCAR-18064%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CAR beat FLA 9-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
FLA0101
CAR1269

Period scoring

FLA won 0 · CAR won 3

0
1

1

1
2

2

0
6

3

FLA
CAR

Play-by-play · 319 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    FLA 1·CAR 9

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    FLA 1·CAR 9

  3. 3rd·19:48

    Giveaway by Donovan Sebrango

    FLA 1·CAR 9

  4. 3rd·18:35

    Luke Kunin faceoff won against Mark Jankowski

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 9

  5. 3rd·18:35

    Eric Robinson Goal (10) Snap Shot, assists: Jesperi Kotkaniemi (5), Mark Jankowski (6)

    · ·

    FLA 1·CAR 9

  6. 3rd·18:23

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Evan Rodrigues

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 8

  7. 3rd·18:23

    Taylor Hall Goal (11) Snap Shot, assists: Jackson Blake (14)

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 8

  8. 3rd·18:19

    Takeaway by Jackson Blake

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  9. 3rd·18:06

    Jackson Blake Tip-In Wide Left

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  10. 3rd·17:58

    Logan Stankoven Snap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  11. 3rd·17:21

    Jesperi Kotkaniemi hit Donovan Sebrango

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  12. 3rd·17:01

    Giveaway by Jeff Petry

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  13. 3rd·16:53

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Luke Kunin

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  14. 3rd·16:53

    Goalie Stopped

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  15. 3rd·16:51

    Evan Rodrigues Snap Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  16. 3rd·16:43

    Giveaway by Jeff Petry

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  17. 3rd·16:04

    Jesper Boqvist shot blocked by Nikolaj Ehlers

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  18. 3rd·15:42

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Luke Kunin

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  19. 3rd·15:42

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  20. 3rd·15:19

    Anton Lundell Tip-In Wide Right

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  21. 3rd·15:09

    Sam Bennett Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  22. 3rd·14:46

    Giveaway by Sandis Vilmanis

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  23. 3rd·14:20

    Mackie Samoskevich shot blocked by K'Andre Miller

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  24. 3rd·13:51

    Jordan Staal faceoff won against Evan Rodrigues

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  25. 3rd·13:51

    Mike Reilly Tripping against Eetu Luostarinen

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  26. 3rd·13:27

    Gustav Forsling Wrist Shot saved by Brandon Bussi

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  27. 3rd·13:15

    Giveaway by Mike Reilly

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  28. 3rd·13:03

    Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Anton Lundell

    ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  29. 3rd·13:03

    Objects on Ice

    FLA 1·CAR 7

  30. 3rd·13:03

    Nikolaj Ehlers Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: Logan Stankoven (14), Jackson Blake (13)

    · ·

    FLA 1·CAR 7

Team stats

FLA

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

16

Shots

36

0.0

PCT

80.0

29

PIM

19

20

Faceoffs W

38

13

Blocks

8

16

Giveaways

20

5

Takeaways

8

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·FLA +150/CAR -180

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Sean WalkerCAR · D
    SKATE MPH22.998
  • Gustav ForslingFLA · D
    SHOT MPH100.497
  • Taylor HallCAR · LW
    BURSTS4696
  • Uvis BalinskisFLA · D
    SKATE MPH23.195
  • Sebastian AhoCAR · C
    DIST MI44.795

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CAR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CAR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+150

Close price

+150

Open no-vig

38.4%

Close no-vig

38.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR