Live · 9
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+4DET
DET

DET

27-15-4

40
MTL

MTL

25-14-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 10FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasMTL -135

Recap · NHL

etroit Red Wings went into Montreal Canadiens and beat them, 4–0.

DET +1.5 cashed (MTL lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DET · top performer

DET
Alex DeBrincat

Alex DeBrincat

RW · #93

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

MTL · top performer

MTL
Owen Beck

Owen Beck

C · #62

0Points

0

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Montreal Canadiens · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
4
0
DET27-15-4MTL25-14-6
DET

DET

27-15-4

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
MTL

MTL

25-14-6

0
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

10

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Oct 9MTLMTL5@DETDET1
Jan 11DETDET4@MTLMTL0today
Mar 19MTLMTL1@DETDET3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

MTL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET+11447%
MTLMTL-13557%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗SpreadBet MTL -1.5↗

Line movement · 11 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

DET beat MTL 4-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
DET0224
MTL0000

Period scoring

DET won 2 · MTL won 0

0
0

1

2
0

2

2
0

3

DET
MTL

Play-by-play · 304 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    DET 4·MTL 0

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    DET 4·MTL 0

  3. 3rd·19:46

    Samuel Blais Tip-In saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 4·MTL 0

  4. 3rd·19:15

    Arber Xhekaj Snap Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 4·MTL 0

  5. 3rd·18:53

    Michael Rasmussen faceoff won against Owen Beck

    ·

    DET 4·MTL 0

  6. 3rd·18:53

    Andrew Copp Goal (7) Tip-In, assists: Alex DeBrincat (23), Dylan Larkin (19)

    · ·

    DET 4·MTL 0

  7. 3rd·18:40

    Lane Hutson Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  8. 3rd·18:37

    Phillip Danault faceoff won against Dylan Larkin

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  9. 3rd·18:37

    Icing

    DET 3·MTL 0

  10. 3rd·18:30

    Dylan Larkin faceoff won against Phillip Danault

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  11. 3rd·18:30

    Goalie Stopped

    DET 3·MTL 0

  12. 3rd·18:28

    Lane Hutson Snap Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  13. 3rd·17:51

    Nick Suzuki faceoff won against Dylan Larkin

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  14. 3rd·17:51

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    DET 3·MTL 0

  15. 3rd·17:48

    Cole Caufield Slap Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  16. 3rd·17:37

    Nick Suzuki faceoff won against J.T. Compher

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  17. 3rd·17:37

    Off-side

    DET 3·MTL 0

  18. 3rd·17:19

    Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Elmer Soderblom

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  19. 3rd·17:11

    Zachary Bolduc shot blocked by Mason Appleton

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  20. 3rd·16:45

    Zachary Bolduc Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  21. 3rd·16:38

    Mike Matheson shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  22. 3rd·16:25

    Noah Dobson Slap Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  23. 3rd·16:14

    Oliver Kapanen Batted Wide Left

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  24. 3rd·16:13

    Mike Matheson Snap Shot saved by John Gibson

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  25. 3rd·16:08

    Alexandre Texier shot blocked by Brendan Gallagher

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  26. 3rd·16:05

    Oliver Kapanen faceoff won against Michael Rasmussen

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  27. 3rd·16:05

    Icing

    DET 3·MTL 0

  28. 3rd·16:00

    Giveaway by Ivan Demidov

    DET 3·MTL 0

  29. 3rd·15:49

    Ben Chiarot hit Juraj Slafkovský

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

  30. 3rd·15:34

    Phillip Danault faceoff won against Mason Appleton

    ·

    DET 3·MTL 0

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

MTL

Home

24

Shots

27

20.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

10

30

Faceoffs W

22

16

Blocks

17

8

Giveaways

12

1

Takeaways

9

Betting line

MTL -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET +114/MTL -135

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Lane HutsonMTL · D
    DIST MI71.899+
  • Moritz SeiderDET · D
    DIST MI299.899
  • Mike MathesonMTL · D
    DIST MI62.999
  • Cole CaufieldMTL · RW
    DIST MI56.699
  • Arber XhekajMTL · D
    SHOT MPH98.598

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · MTL favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MTL win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MTL win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(MTL win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-135

Close price

-135

Open no-vig

55.1%

Close no-vig

55.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR